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Yair Rodriguez vs. Patricio Pitbull Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Yair Rodriguez vs Patricio Pitbull – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: April 12, 2025
  • Time: 3:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Kaseya Center, Miami

Game Overview

This match pits Yair Rodriguez, a skilled and aggressive fighter, against Patricio 'Pitbull' Freire, a highly decorated veteran from Bellator. Both fighters are motivated to secure a win, with Pitbull seeking to prove himself in the UFC and Rodriguez looking to end a losing streak.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Yair Rodriguez is known for his dynamic striking and submission skills, while Patricio Pitbull brings a well-rounded skillset with success in knockouts, submissions, and decisions.
  • This is their first meeting, with no prior head-to-head competition.
  • No significant injury updates have been reported for either fighter.
  • The UFC debut of Patricio Pitbull adds pressure, but both fighters are highly motivated for this bout.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Pitbull seeking UFC gold and Rodriguez trying to break his losing streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Yair Rodriguez -194, Patricio Pitbull 169 Yair Rodriguez ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over_under Over 2.5 -145, Under 2.5 115 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Yair Rodriguez 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Yair Rodriguez is favored due to his current UFC experience and strong striking, but Patricio Pitbull's vast experience and well-rounded skills make him a formidable opponent.

Predicted Score: Yair Rodriguez via decision or late-round finish


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Yair Rodriguez vs. Patricio Freire Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Yair Rodriguez vs Patricio Freire – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-12
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Kaseya Center, Miami, Florida

Game Overview

This match between Yair Rodriguez and Patricio Freire is highly anticipated, with both fighters known for their dynamic styles and explosive performances. Yair Rodriguez, as a striker, is noted for his impressive victories over top contenders like Brian Ortega and Jung Chan-Sung. Patricio Freire, known as 'Pitbull,' brings a wealth of experience from his time in Bellator, having secured titles in both the featherweight and lightweight divisions. This bout marks Pitbull's UFC debut, and he's been confidently preparing to challenge the division's best.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both fighters have impressive resumes. Rodriguez has shown his capabilities against top opponents, while Pitbull boasts a decorated career with notable victories over Michael Chandler and AJ McKee. Pitbull's multi-disciplinary fighting style, including striking and grappling, presents a strong challenge.
  • This is their first meeting, though both fighters have been observed by each other due to their prominence in the MMA world.
  • No recent major injuries have been reported for either fighter.
  • The high level of competition in the UFC could impact Pitbull's transition, but his extensive experience may mitigate this. Rodriguez's familiarity with the UFC environment could give him an edge.
  • Pitbull is highly motivated for his UFC debut and the chance to eventually secure a UFC title, while Rodriguez seeks to maintain his standing in the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Patricio Freire +164, Yair Rodriguez -198 Yair Rodriguez ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Patricio Freire +3.5 -150, Yair Rodriguez -3.5 110 Yair Rodriguez (Cover the spread) ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over 2.5 rounds -160, Under 2.5 rounds 124 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline N/A
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Yair Rodriguez is favored to win due to his youth and familiarity with the UFC environment. However, Patricio Pitbull's experience and skills cannot be underestimated.

Predicted Score: Yair Rodriguez wins via decision or late finish.


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3 Pick Parlay for MMA/Boxing – April 12, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Nora Cornolle vs. Hailey Cowan Prediction Nora Cornolle Win -180 ★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Yair Rodriguez vs. Patricio Pitbull Prediction Yair Rodriguez Win -194 ★★★☆☆ 65% (65%)
Bryce Mitchell vs. Jean Silva Prediction Jean Silva Win -230 ★★★☆☆ 65% (65%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +238

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $67.65

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