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Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Florida Panthers Prediction NHL in Ice Hockey

Match Analysis: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-24
  • Time: 10:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Amalie Arena, Tampa Bay, FL

Game Overview

Game 1 of the first-round NHL playoff series saw the Florida Panthers decisively defeat the Tampa Bay Lightning 6-2 at Amalie Arena. Matthew Tkachuk, returning from a two-month injury, scored two power-play goals and added an assist, fueling the Panthers' strong offensive showing. The Panthers dominated the second period with four consecutive goals, turning the tide decisively. Tampa Bay struggled defensively and had limited offensive impact despite outshooting Florida early in the match.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Florida Panthers showed superior offensive depth and power play execution, scoring six goals on only 16 shots. Tampa Bay Lightning had moments of control but faltered in critical moments, especially giving up quick goals at the end of the first and start of the second period. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy faced 26 shots and allowed 6 goals, indicating defensive breakdowns.
  • The Panthers currently hold momentum in the playoff first-round series with a commanding Game 1 victory over the Lightning. Historically, both teams are competitive rivals in the Eastern Conference, but Florida's recent form and return of key players give them an edge.
  • Matthew Tkachuk returned from a two-month injury absence and performed excellently for Florida. Tampa Bay played the final 33:30 without center Anthony Cirelli, affecting their lineup depth. No other significant injuries reported for this match.
  • Game played at Tampa Bay's home Amalie Arena, but Florida’s recent strong showings on the road and momentum from the opening game could neutralize home-ice advantage. Tampa Bay's morale was affected negatively by the Game 1 loss.
  • Florida Panthers are defending Stanley Cup champions and showed strong motivation to start their playoff defense with a win. Tampa Bay Lightning aims to rebound strongly in Game 2 to avoid falling into a deep series hole.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Florida Panthers: -104, Tampa Bay Lightning: -118 Tampa Bay Lightning to win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Florida Panthers +1.5: -275, Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5: 215 Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 5.5: -120, Under 5.5: -103 Over 5.5 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tampa Bay Lightning -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 5.5 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 5.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Considering Florida Panthers' dominant performance in Game 1, the momentum from key players like Tkachuk returning, and Tampa Bay’s struggles including key absences, Florida is favored to win Game 2, though Tampa Bay is likely to fight hard on home ice.

Predicted Score: Florida Panthers 4 – Tampa Bay Lightning 3


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New York Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction NHL in Ice Hockey

Match Analysis: New York Rangers vs Tampa Bay Lightning – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: April 17, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Madison Square Garden, New York, USA

Game Overview

The New York Rangers host the Tampa Bay Lightning in a crucial NHL matchup. Both teams are seeking to solidify their standings and improve their playoff prospects.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The New York Rangers have struggled with consistency, while the Tampa Bay Lightning have shown strong form, particularly with players like Nikita Kucherov and Brayden Point.
  • Recent head-to-head statistics show the Lightning have an edge, but past performances may not be indicative of the current form.
  • Injury reports for both teams are sparse, but any last-minute updates could significantly impact team dynamics.
  • Home advantage could play a significant role for the Rangers, though the Lightning's away record is commendable.
  • Both teams are driven to secure wins, but the Rangers might have an added push to perform well at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline New York Rangers -120, Tampa Bay Lightning 100 New York Rangers ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread New York Rangers -1.5 200, Tampa Bay Lightning 1.5 -245 Tampa Bay Lightning +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 5.5 -125, Under 5.5 105 Over 5.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New York Rangers 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 5.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 5.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New York Rangers win

Predicted Score: New York Rangers 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 2


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Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Buffalo Sabres Prediction NHL in Ice Hockey

Match Analysis: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Buffalo Sabres – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: April 13, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Amalie Arena, Tampa, USA

Game Overview

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Buffalo Sabres face off in a highly anticipated NHL match. The Lightning, being the favorites, have a strong home advantage and recent form. Buffalo, despite being underdogs, have shown resilience and improved performance lately.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tampa Bay is currently stronger, with 44 wins out of 75 games. Buffalo has struggled more, winning only 32 out of 74 games. However, Buffalo has shown significant improvement in recent games.
  • The head-to-head performance between these teams is not provided, but historically, Tampa Bay has had the edge.
  • No specific injury reports are available, but both teams should be nearly full strength for this matchup.
  • Tampa Bay's home ice advantage could be crucial. Fans often boost team morale and performance.
  • Tampa Bay is motivated to maintain their playoff form, while Buffalo will look to end the season on a high note despite being eliminated from playoff contention.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Buffalo Sabres +180, Tampa Bay Lightning -225 Tampa Bay Lightning ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tampa Bay Lightning -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tampa Bay Lightning is predicted to win this game due to their form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Buffalo Sabres 2


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3 Pick Parlay for Ice Hockey – April 13, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Buffalo Sabres Prediction Tampa Bay Lightning Win -225 ★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Coachella Valley Firebirds vs. San Diego Gulls Prediction Coachella Valley Firebirds Win -170 ★★★☆☆ 65% (65%)
Anaheim Ducks vs. Colorado Avalanche Prediction Colorado Avalanche Win -159 ★★★☆☆ 60% (60%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +274

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $74.74

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Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction NHL in Ice Hockey

Match Analysis: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: April 09, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Amalie Arena, Tampa, FL

Game Overview

The Tampa Bay Lightning host the Toronto Maple Leafs in what promises to be a high-scoring game, given both teams' offensive prowess. The Lightning boast strong home performances, while the Maple Leafs have shown resilience on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tampa Bay Lightning are strong at home (27-8-2), while the Toronto Maple Leafs have a solid away record (22-12-3). Key players like Nikita Kucherov for Tampa and Mitch Marner for Toronto are crucial to their teams' success.
  • Recent matches have seen both teams exchange wins, with offensive battles expected.
  • No significant injury updates are available for this match, but both teams rely heavily on their top scorers.
  • Energy and support from the home crowd could boost Tampa's chances.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure important wins as the season nears its end.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Tampa Bay Lightning: -125, Toronto Maple Leafs: 102 Tampa Bay Lightning win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Not specified, but often around 1.5 goals for this type of matchup Tampa Bay Lightning cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Assumedly 6.5 goals, given the expected high-scoring nature Over 6.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tampa Bay Lightning -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Tampa Bay Lightning are slightly favored due to their strong home record.

Predicted Score: Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3


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Buffalo Sabres vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction NHL in Ice Hockey

Match Analysis: Buffalo Sabres vs Tampa Bay Lightning – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-05
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: KeyBank Center, Buffalo, NY

Game Overview

The Buffalo Sabres will face off against the Tampa Bay Lightning in a crucial Atlantic Division matchup. Both teams are looking for a win to improve their playoff positions.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tampa Bay Lightning hold a record of 43-25-5, with a strong offensive averaging 3.5 goals per game. The Buffalo Sabres, at 30-36-6, have struggled this season but have shown improvement at home.
  • In their last encounter on March 5, 2025, the Lightning narrowly defeated the Sabres 6-5 in a high-scoring game. Historically, the Lightning have the upper hand in head-to-head matchups.
  • Buffalo's Jordan Greenway is expected to miss the game due to a lower body injury, impacting their scoring depth. Tampa Bay is expected to be at full strength.
  • The game is being played at KeyBank Center, where the Sabres have a better home record compared to their away performance. Weather conditions are favorable for the game.
  • Both teams are vying for playoff spots, making this a highly motivated matchup, particularly for the Lightning who are aiming to solidify their current position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence EV Pick
Moneyline Tampa Bay -150, Buffalo +130 Tampa Bay to win ★★★★☆ 75% Tampa Bay to win -100%
Spread Tampa Bay -1.5 (+160), Buffalo +1.5 (-180) Tampa Bay to cover the spread ★★★★☆ 70% Tampa Bay to cover the spread -100%
Over_under Over 6.5 (-110), Under 6.5 (-110) Over 6.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 65% Over 6.5 goals -100%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home -100%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Tampa Bay is predicted to win, leveraging their stronger season performance and recent head-to-head success.

Predicted Score: Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Buffalo Sabres 2


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Ottawa Senators vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction NHL in Ice Hockey

Match Analysis: Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: April 3, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Canadian Tire Centre

Game Overview

The Ottawa Senators face the Tampa Bay Lightning as both teams seek crucial points in the NHL playoff race.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tampa Bay Lightning maintain a strong season, ranking second in goals scored. Ottawa Senators have a solid home record but recently suffered a loss to Buffalo.
  • Ottawa has a 4-1 record in their last five home meetings against Tampa Bay, but the Lightning recently won three out of four matchups this season.
  • Injury reports are not detailed in the current data.
  • Recent performances show both teams have strong offensive capabilities, but the Senators are fighting for their playoff spot.
  • Ottawa is highly motivated to secure their Wild Card spot, while Tampa seeks to improve their Atlantic Division standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ottawa Senators: +110, Tampa Bay Lightning: -134 Tampa Bay Lightning ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Ottawa Senators: +1.5 -240, Tampa Bay Lightning: -1.5 190 Tampa Bay Lightning ★★☆☆☆ 40%
Over_under Over: 6 100, Under: 6 -121 Over ★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Tampa Bay Lightning might win due to their overall performance, but Ottawa's motivation and home record make them competitive.

Predicted Score: Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Ottawa Senators 3


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New York Islanders vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction NHL in Ice Hockey

Match Analysis: New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-01
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: UBS Arena

Game Overview

The New York Islanders host the Tampa Bay Lightning on April 1, 2025, in a closely contested NHL matchup. Both teams are looking to secure important points in their respective division standings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tampa Bay Lightning have shown stronger recent form with 6 wins in their last 10 games compared to the Islanders' 3 wins. The Lightning averages 4 goals scored per game, while the Islanders average 2.9.
  • The teams have played each other 58 times with the Lightning winning 32 games. Their most recent match ended with a Lightning win (5:3) on March 29, 2025.
  • No significant injury updates are available that could impact this match.
  • Home advantage could play a role for the Islanders, as they have not lost in regulation time in 7 of their last 8 home games.
  • Both teams are motivated by the race for playoff positions, but Tampa Bay's recent performance suggests they may have an edge in determination.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline New York Islanders: 140, Tampa Bay Lightning: -175 Tampa Bay Lightning ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread New York Islanders: +1.5 -180, Tampa Bay Lightning: -1.5 148 Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 ★★☆☆☆ 40%
Over_under Over: 6 -110, Under: 6 -110 Over 6 ★★★★☆ 70%

Predicted Outcome

Tampa Bay Lightning to win by a close margin due to recent form and head-to-head performance.

Predicted Score: New York Islanders 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 4


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Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Islanders Prediction NHL in Ice Hockey

Match Analysis: Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-03-29
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Amalie Arena

Game Overview

The Tampa Bay Lightning host the New York Islanders in a pivotal NHL matchup, with Tampa seeking to capitalize on their strong home record and the Islanders aiming to break a losing streak.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tampa Bay Lightning have a strong home record of 24-8-2, while the New York Islanders are 15-15-5 away. Tampa Bay's high-level offense, led by Nikita Kucherov, faces an Islanders team struggling with consistency.
  • Recent matchups have not shown a significant historical advantage, but Tampa Bay's current form suggests they might have an edge in this encounter.
  • No significant injury news has been reported for this matchup.
  • The crowd at Amalie Arena often provides a significant home advantage for Tampa Bay, which could impact the Islanders' performance.
  • Both teams are motivated, with Tampa Bay seeking to solidify their playoff position and the Islanders trying to keep their postseason hopes alive.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline New York Islanders: 164, Tampa Bay Lightning: -198 Tampa Bay Lightning ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread New York Islanders: 1.5 -162, Tampa Bay Lightning: -1.5 136 New York Islanders +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over: 5.5 -135, Under: 5.5 114 Over 5.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Tampa Bay Lightning are favored to win based on their home record and current team performance.

Predicted Score: Tampa Bay Lightning 3, New York Islanders 2


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Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Utah Hockey Club Prediction NHL in Ice Hockey

Match Analysis: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Utah Hockey Club – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-03-27
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Tampa Bay Home Arena

Game Overview

Tampa Bay Lightning hosts the Utah Hockey Club in an NHL match. The Lightning are favorites against a competitive Utah team, which has shown strong performance lately.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tampa Bay has been consistent this season, while Utah has improved significantly with notable wins against top teams.
  • Recent head-to-head matches have been competitive, with Utah winning a recent encounter 6-4.
  • No major injury reports for both teams, which could impact the matchup.
  • The home advantage might favor Tampa Bay, but Utah's recent form suggests they can challenge.
  • Both teams are motivated, with Tampa seeking to regain momentum and Utah aiming to build on recent success.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -210:170 Tampa Bay Lightning ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread -1.5 -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under 6.5 Over ★★★☆☆ 65%

Predicted Outcome

Tampa Bay is likely to win due to home advantage and stronger season performance.

Predicted Score: 4-2 in favor of Tampa Bay Lightning


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