Match Analysis: Utica Comets vs Syracuse Crunch – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-18
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Upstate Medical University Arena, Utica, NY
Game Overview
The upcoming AHL match between Utica Comets and Syracuse Crunch is a tightly contested rivalry with both teams nearly even in historical results. Syracuse holds a slight edge in recent form and head-to-head playoff implications, having recently won in overtime against Utica. Both teams have clinched playoff berths, and this match carries significance for postseason seeding.
Key Factors to Consider
- Syracuse Crunch enter with a strong recent record of 8 wins and 2 losses in their last 10 games, averaging 2.6 goals scored and 1.7 goals against. Utica Comets have a more balanced recent form with 6 wins and 4 losses in their last 10, and show a tendency for higher scoring games at home, often exceeding 4.5 total goals.
- Historically, the two teams have met 121 times with a near even split in wins (60 each), though Syracuse leads slightly on total goals scored (380 vs 342). In their latest meeting on April 9, Syracuse defeated Utica 2-1 in overtime, illustrating a close competition. Utica has not lost the first period in 7 of their last 8 encounters against Syracuse, and recent games favor overs in total goals, especially considering strong offensive outputs from both.
- No specific injury reports are available currently for either squad, suggesting both teams should have their key players available for this matchup.
- The game is at Utica's home arena, which historically results in higher scoring outputs for the Comets. The playoff atmosphere adds motivation for both teams to secure favorable seeding. Weather or other external disruptions are not factors for this indoor event.
- Both teams have clinched playoff spots and are motivated to improve positioning. Syracuse’s recent victory and better form provide them with momentum, while Utica is driven to defend home ice and avenge the previous loss.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Syracuse Crunch: -157, Utica Comets: 112 | Syracuse Crunch win | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Spread | Syracuse Crunch -1.5: 180, Utica Comets +1.5: -265 | Utica Comets +1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over 5: -125, Under 5: -110 | Over 5 goals | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Syracuse Crunch -7% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 5 22% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Syracuse Crunch are favored to win this match narrowly due to their stronger recent form and psychological edge from the last overtime victory. Expect a competitive, moderately high-scoring game with Syracuse edging Utica by one goal.
Predicted Score: Syracuse Crunch 3 – 2 Utica Comets