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Melbourne Storm vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Melbourne Storm vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-25
  • Time: 10:10 AM UTC
  • Location: AAMI Park

Game Overview

The Round 8 NRL clash between Melbourne Storm and South Sydney Rabbitohs is set at AAMI Park on Anzac Day. Melbourne Storm are coming off strong recent performances with key players returning from injury, while South Sydney face some injuries but remain competitive. The Storm are slight favorites due to home advantage and squad depth.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm have been performing solidly, highlighted by Nick Meaney's return and Kane Bradley's recent try-scoring form. South Sydney Rabbitohs have shown resilience but are weakened by multiple injuries affecting key positions.
  • Historically, Melbourne Storm have had the upper hand in recent encounters, with the predictive model granting Storm an 84% winning probability over Rabbitohs at this venue. Their home form and consistency contribute significantly to this dominance.
  • Melbourne Storm will miss Jack Howarth (dislocated shoulder) and Tui Kamikamica (ankle sprain). Nick Meaney returns from facial fracture. Harry Grant is out with hamstring strain, expected back in mid-May. Rabbitohs face absences including Bayleigh Bentley-Hape, Declan Casey, Jayden Sullivan, Salesi Ataata, and Thomas Fletcher, with Lachlan Hubner returning.
  • The match is played at Melbourne's home ground AAMI Park, providing a familiar environment and crowd support. The match day being Anzac Day may add emotional intensity. Weather and pitch conditions are normal and no unusual disruptions are expected.
  • Melbourne Storm aim to continue their strong season momentum and capitalize on home advantage. South Sydney Rabbitohs seek to upset the odds despite injury setbacks, motivated by rivalry and the prestige of an Anzac Day fixture.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Melbourne Storm: -480, South Sydney Rabbitohs: 340 Melbourne Storm ★★★★☆ 84%
Spread Storm -14.5: 1.91, Rabbitohs +14.5: 1.91 Storm to cover -14.5 point spread ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 47.5: -118, Under 47.5: -106 Over 47.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 47.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 47.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm are predicted to win comfortably based on their current form, home advantage, and superior squad fitness.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 28 – South Sydney Rabbitohs 14


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Canterbury Bulldogs vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canterbury Bulldogs vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-18
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: Accor Stadium

Game Overview

The Canterbury Bulldogs, currently the only unbeaten team in the competition, host the South Sydney Rabbitohs on Good Friday in what is expected to be a record-breaking NRL regular-season crowd of over 70,000 fans at Accor Stadium. The clash is part of the 'Codes Unite for Sick Kids' campaign and also supports Cystic Fibrosis awareness. The Bulldogs are boosted by the return of Matt Burton, while the Rabbitohs welcome back Cody Walker as halfback and captain.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Bulldogs have maintained an unbeaten record this season, riding high on their consistent performance. The Rabbitohs, under Wayne Bennett, have shown improved form but face a tough challenge against the in-form Bulldogs.
  • Historically, the South Sydney Rabbitohs have an advantage over the Bulldogs in recent matches, but the current form of the Bulldogs could tip the scales in their favor.
  • Both teams have named strong lineups for the match, with Matt Burton returning for the Bulldogs and Cody Walker back for the Rabbitohs.
  • A huge crowd and the pressure of a record-breaking event could influence team performances. External factors like the Easter Show nearby might affect crowd dynamics and player focus.
  • The Bulldogs are highly motivated by their unbeaten run and the urge to reward their passionate fans. The Rabbitohs are looking to upset and continue their improvement under Bennett.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -325 Bulldogs, 260 Rabbitohs, 2300 Draw Bulldogs to win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread -10.5 Bulldogs -115, +10.5 Rabbitohs -115 Bulldogs to cover ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under Over 44.5 -120, Under 44.5 -110 Over 44.5 points ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs -82%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Bulldogs are likely to win, given their current form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Bulldogs 28-18 Rabbitohs


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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. North Queensland Cowboys Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs North Queensland Cowboys – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-12
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Optus Stadium, Perth

Game Overview

This NRL Round 6 match between South Sydney Rabbitohs and North Queensland Cowboys will feature significant lineup changes for the Rabbitohs due to injuries. The Cowboys are favored, but the Rabbitohs enjoy strong support in Perth.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have had varying degrees of success this season. The Cowboys have a strong squad, while the Rabbitohs face injury challenges, particularly with Latrell Mitchell shifting to five-eighth.
  • Historically, head-to-head matches have been competitive, but recent form gives the Cowboys an edge.
  • The Rabbitohs face key absences, including Cody Walker and Jamie Humphreys, affecting their halves pairing.
  • The match is part of a double header in Perth, which may add to the atmosphere but could also impact performance due to potential crowd and logistical factors.
  • Both teams will be highly motivated, but the Cowboys might have an added edge due to their recent form and consistency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cowboys: -128, Rabbitohs: 112, Draw: 19 Cowboys win ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Cowboys -1.5: -120, Rabbitohs +1.5: -110 Cowboys to cover -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 54%
Over_under Over 49.5: -115, Under 49.5: -115 Under 49.5 ★★★☆☆ 66%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline North Queensland Cowboys 1060%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 49.5 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: North Queensland Cowboys at 1060% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 55.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Cowboys are likely to win due to their consistent performance and squad strength compared to the injured and reconfigured Rabbitohs lineup.

Predicted Score: Cowboys 23, Rabbitohs 20


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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. Sydney Roosters Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Sydney Roosters – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-04
  • Time: 9:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Accor Stadium

Game Overview

This match promises to be a closely contested encounter between two of the NRL's top teams. South Sydney Rabbitohs and Sydney Roosters have a long history of intense battles, with each team seeking to assert dominance early in the season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have shown strong form in previous seasons, though recent performance and lineup changes will influence the outcome. South Sydney looks to capitalize on their home advantage.
  • Head-to-head statistics show the Roosters have often had the upper hand, but South Sydney have been improving their performance against traditional rivals.
  • Injury reports indicate no significant absences from the squads, but any late updates could impact team dynamics.
  • Weather conditions could play a role if they deteriorate, but generally, Sydney weather in April is conducive to rugby league.
  • South Sydney are highly motivated to win at home against a major rival, while the Roosters will look to capitalize on their competitive drive.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -141 (Rabbitohs), 124 (Roosters) South Sydney Rabbitohs ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread -4.5 (Rabbitohs) 100, 4.5 (Roosters) -130 Sydney Roosters +4.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over: 49.5 -115, Under: 49.5 -115 Under 49.5 ★★★☆☆ 52%

Predicted Outcome

South Sydney Rabbitohs are favored to win due to their strong recent form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: South Sydney Rabbitohs 22, Sydney Roosters 20


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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. Penrith Panthers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Penrith Panthers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-03-27
  • Time: 9:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Accor Stadium

Game Overview

South Sydney Rabbitohs and Penrith Panthers face off in Round 4, with the Panthers looking to bounce back from a two-game losing streak despite injury issues.

Key Factors to Consider

  • South Sydney started strongly but fell to the Sharks last week, while Penrith, despite their losing streak, remain a formidable side due to their strong team structure. South Sydney must exploit Penrith's shaky defence to stay in the contest.
  • Penrith has a dominant record against South Sydney, winning nine of their last eleven regular season matches. However, South Sydney sees an opportunity to reverse this trend with key Panthers players missing.
  • Penrith is without Nathan Cleary and Dylan Edwards, while South Sydney welcomes back Alex Johnston but loses Campbell Graham. These injuries weaken Penrith's spine significantly.
  • The match is at Accor Stadium, which does not particularly favor either team, but the Panthers' system and squad depth are significant factors.
  • Both teams have strong motivation to win, but Penrith seeks to halt their losing streak and prove they can perform without key players.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Penrith Panthers: -325, South Sydney Rabbitohs: 260, Draw: 2500 Penrith Panthers ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Penrith Panthers: -10.5 -120, South Sydney Rabbitohs: 10.5 -110 South Sydney Rabbitohs +10.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over: 48.5 -115, Under: 48.5 -115 Over 48.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Penrith Panthers to win, given their strong team system and history against South Sydney.

Predicted Score: Penrith Panthers 28, South Sydney Rabbitohs 18


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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-03-22
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Sharks Stadium

Game Overview

The Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks face the South Sydney Rabbitohs in a highly anticipated NRL match. The Sharks are coming off a strong win against the Cowboys, while the Rabbitohs are undefeated under Wayne Bennett's guidance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Sharks have maintained their winning form with an unchanged team, while the Rabbitohs have bolstered their squad with key players returning. The Sharks' recent performance suggests a strong home advantage.
  • Historically, the Rabbitohs have had a significant edge over the Sharks, particularly under Wayne Bennett's coaching. However, recent form may favor the Sharks.
  • Tom Hazelton is out for the Sharks due to back soreness, while the Rabbitohs have several key players back in their lineup.
  • A capacity crowd at Sharks Stadium could provide an additional boost for the home team. The match will be broadcast on Fox League and Kayo.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, with the Rabbitohs seeking to maintain their undefeated start and the Sharks aiming to continue their winning streak at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: -667, South Sydney Rabbitohs: 392 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: -18.5 107, South Sydney Rabbitohs: 18.5 -147 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under Over: 48.5 -147, Under: 48.5 107 Under ★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks are likely to win due to their strong recent form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 24, South Sydney Rabbitohs 18


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St George Illawarra Dragons vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: St George Illawarra Dragons vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-03-15
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: WIN Stadium, Wollongong

Game Overview

The St George Illawarra Dragons face the South Sydney Rabbitohs in a highly anticipated NRL match. The Dragons are favored due to their strong lineup and home advantage, while the Rabbitohs face challenges with key player absences.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dragons have had a strong pre-season with notable signings like Valentine Holmes and Clint Gutherson. The Rabbitohs have shown inconsistency, despite impressive performances from Jamie Humphreys.
  • In their last meeting, the Dragons won 28-14 against the Rabbitohs. This historical advantage could influence the current match.
  • The Dragons have lost Ryan Couchman to a season-ending injury, while the Rabbitohs are without Jack Wighton due to suspension and Tyrone Munro due to injury.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support at WIN Stadium could favor the Dragons, potentially impacting the Rabbitohs' performance.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, but the Dragons' desire to capitalize on their strong pre-season and home advantage might give them an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -218 (Dragons), 180 (Rabbitohs) St George Illawarra Dragons ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread -6.5 -110 (Dragons), 6.5 -120 (Rabbitohs) St George Illawarra Dragons -6.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under Over 48.5 -145, Under 48.5 110 Over 48.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

St George Illawarra Dragons to win

Predicted Score: Dragons 28, Rabbitohs 18


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Dolphins vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Dolphins vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-03-07
  • Time: 9:05 AM UTC
  • Location: CommBank Stadium

Game Overview

The Dolphins face the South Sydney Rabbitohs in a relocated Round 1 NRL match due to weather conditions. Both teams are looking to start their season strong, with the Dolphins favored at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dolphins are entering their second season in the NRL, seeking to improve from their inaugural year. The Rabbitohs, under Wayne Bennett's guidance, aim to leverage their experience and depth to secure a win.
  • This is one of the early matches between these teams, with limited historical data. However, the Dolphins' home advantage could play a significant role.
  • No significant injury reports have been highlighted for either team, but the Dolphins' home advantage might be slightly diminished by the venue change.
  • The relocation to CommBank Stadium due to Cyclone Alfred could affect team dynamics and fan support. Weather conditions are less of a concern at the new venue.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to start the season with a win, but the Dolphins might have an edge due to their desire to prove themselves in their second year.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dolphins: -172, South Sydney Rabbitohs: 132 Dolphins ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Dolphins: -4.5 114, South Sydney Rabbitohs: 4.5 -154 Dolphins ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over: 40.5 -147, Under: 40.5 107 Over ★★★☆☆ 58%

Predicted Outcome

Dolphins to win

Predicted Score: Dolphins 24 – 18 South Sydney Rabbitohs


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