Match Analysis: Stephan Shaw vs Raphael Akpejiori – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-12
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Maryland Live Casino, Hanover, MD
Game Overview
This heavyweight contest features Stephan Shaw (20-2, 15 KOs) against Raphael Akpejiori (18-1, 17 KOs). Both fighters are in desperate need of a victory to remain relevant in the heavyweight division, making this match critical for their careers.
Key Factors to Consider
- Shaw has struggled in recent bouts, with doubts about his hunger and aggression, while Akpejiori's power has been effective against less experienced opponents but showed vulnerabilities against better fighters.
- This is the first meeting between Shaw and Akpejiori, with both aiming to establish dominance.
- No significant injuries reported for either fighter ahead of the match.
- The fight being held at Maryland Live Casino adds a local audience element, potentially benefiting Shaw.
- Both fighters are highly motivated, as a win could lead to significant opportunities in the heavyweight ranks, while a loss could end their chances of title contention.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Stephan Shaw 239% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 6.5 8% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Stephan Shaw at 239% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 73.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Stephan Shaw is favored to win due to his technical boxing skills and experience, assuming he maintains aggression throughout the fight.
Predicted Score: Shaw wins by unanimous decision, likely on points with a score of 98-92.