Match Analysis: Palmeiras-SP vs Cerro Porteño – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-10
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Allianz Parque, São Paulo, Brazil
Game Overview
Palmeiras-SP hosts Cerro Porteño in the Conmebol Copa Libertadores. Palmeiras has historically outperformed Cerro Porteño in head-to-head matches, with significant gaps in odds reflecting their favorites status.
Key Factors to Consider
- Palmeiras has shown consistent performance at home, while Cerro Porteño's away form has been variable.
- Palmeiras has won 5 out of 10 matches against Cerro Porteño, with Cerro Porteño winning 2 and 3 draws.
- No significant injury reports available for this match.
- The match is at Allianz Parque, which generally favors Palmeiras due to home advantage.
- Both teams are motivated to advance in the Copa Libertadores.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence | EV Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -375 (Palmeiras), 1000 (Cerro Porteño), 440 (Draw) | Palmeiras | ★★★★☆ 80% | Palmeiras -68% |
| Spread | -1.5 (Palmeiras) -122, 1.5 (Cerro Porteño) -108 | Palmeiras -1.5 | ★★★★☆ 75% | Palmeiras -1.5 -100% |
| Over_under | Over 2.5 -128, Under 2.5 -102 | Over 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% | Over 2.5 -100% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Palmeiras-SP -11% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 -2% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Palmeiras is likely to win based on historical performance and current odds.
Predicted Score: Palmeiras 3, Cerro Porteño 1