Match Analysis: CF Montreal vs Orlando City SC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-19
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Stade Saputo, Montreal
Game Overview
CF Montréal hosts Orlando City SC in an MLS Eastern Conference match at Stade Saputo. Montréal has struggled this season with a 0-2-6 record while Orlando City has performed better with a 3-3-2 record. Last season's encounter was a thrilling 2-2 draw at the same venue, indicating a potentially competitive match despite Montréal's poor current form.
Key Factors to Consider
- CF Montréal is currently bottom of the Eastern Conference with only 2 points from 8 games, having lost 6 and drawn 2, showing significant struggles both offensively and defensively. Orlando City SC is mid-table with 12 points, balancing 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses. Orlando's attacking players like M. Ojeda (4 goals) and M. Pasalic (4 goals) have been productive, while Montréal has failed to find consistency.
- Recent meetings highlight some dominance by Orlando City SC with a 4-1 win in July 2024 Leagues Cup and a 3-0 MLS win in September 2023. However, the last MLS match at Stade Saputo ended in a 2-2 draw, indicating that Montréal can challenge Orlando at home.
- No specific injury updates were provided in the current data. Both teams appear to have their core squads available, though Montréal’s form suggests possible fitness or depth issues.
- Montréal will benefit from home advantage at Stade Saputo with strong fan support expected. Orlando City SC recently secured a contract extension for head coach Oscar Pareja, which could boost team morale and stability. Weather and pitch conditions in Montreal in April could be cooler, possibly favoring the home side accustomed to the environment.
- Montréal is desperate for points having not won this season, driven by the need to climb out of last place. Orlando City is motivated to maintain or improve their standing in the playoff race, especially with recent positive management news. The historic competitiveness of recent matches between the two also provides motivation for a contested game.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | CF Montreal: 180, Orlando City SC: 145, Draw: 255 | Orlando City SC win | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | CF Montreal: 105, Orlando City SC: -125 | Orlando City SC to cover the spread (0) | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -120, Under 2.5: 100 | Over 2.5 goals | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Orlando City SC 23% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 1% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Orlando City SC at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Orlando City SC is favored to win due to better season form, attacking efficiency, and overall confidence with an experienced coach. However, Montréal's home advantage and recent competitive draws against Orlando suggest a close match likely to see goals from both sides.
Predicted Score: CF Montréal 1 – 2 Orlando City SC