Match Analysis: New York Red Bulls vs D.C. United – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-19
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison, NJ
Game Overview
The MLS Regular Season match between New York Red Bulls and D.C. United will take place on April 19, 2025, at the Sports Illustrated Stadium in Harrison, NJ. The Red Bulls are unbeaten at home so far this season, while D.C. United has struggled with a record of 2-2-2 away and 1-2-3 overall. Both teams have moderate goal scoring and defensive records, with New York slightly stronger defensively.
Key Factors to Consider
- New York Red Bulls have a home unbeaten streak and have managed to keep 3 clean sheets so far with 9 goals scored and 7 conceded. D.C. United ranks 26th in the MLS with 9 goals scored but a weaker defense conceding 18 goals and only 1 clean sheet. Recent form favors New York with two wins and a draw versus multiple losses for D.C. United.
- Recent encounters show competitive matches but New York Red Bulls have the better form and home advantage. The teams have mixed results in past matches, with D.C. United managing draws and some wins but struggling overall against the Red Bulls at the Sports Illustrated Stadium.
- New York Red Bulls will miss Raheem Edwards (knee) and Julian Hall (injury sustained recently). D.C. United has no major injury updates but players like Aaron Herrera and Brandon Servania have been active despite recent team losses.
- Weather in Newark, NJ is expected to be mild to warm on match day with temperatures reaching up to 72°F, favorable for playing conditions. The match will be streamed on Apple TV MLS Season Pass, indicating good exposure and fan engagement.
- New York Red Bulls seek to maintain their unbeaten home record and improve their standings, motivated by recent solid performances. D.C. United aims to break their poor run with a win, but recent heavy defeats reduce their confidence.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | New York Red Bulls: -110, D.C. United: 295, Draw: 270 | New York Red Bulls win | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Spread | New York Red Bulls -0.5: -110, D.C. United +50: -110 | New York Red Bulls -0.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over 2.75: 102, Under 2.75: -122 | Under 2.75 goals | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | New York Red Bulls 7% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.75 9% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
New York Red Bulls are favored to win due to home advantage, better recent form, and stronger defensive statistics. The match is likely to be competitive, but Red Bulls have the edge to secure 3 points.
Predicted Score: 2-1