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Heili Alateng vs. Da'Mon Blackshear Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Heili Alateng vs Da'Mon Blackshear – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-26
  • Time: 11:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Kansas City, Missouri, United States

Game Overview

The Bantamweight bout between Heili Alateng and Da'Mon Blackshear at UFC Fight Night promises a competitive matchup. Alateng, known as 'The Mongolian Knight', is a fighter with a balanced record of 17-9-2, bringing a mixture of striking power and submission capability with 5 KOs and 3 subs. Blackshear, 'The Monster', holds a 16-7-1 record and is known for his submission skills, having secured 10 submission wins compared to fewer knockouts. Standing taller and with longer reach, Blackshear could use his physical attributes for control, while Alateng’s aggressive striking and experience make him a dangerous opponent. The odds favor Blackshear but the contest could hinge on stylistic execution in striking and grappling exchanges.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Blackshear has a UFC record of 4-3-1 and a career record of 16-7-1, showing solid performance with a preference and success in submissions. Alateng's UFC record is 5-2-1 with an overall 17-9-2, showing a more balanced attack with knockouts and submissions, indicating versatility. Both fighters have recent wins and losses, but Blackshear’s submission game and physical reach offer an advantage.
  • There is no direct head-to-head history between Heili Alateng and Da'Mon Blackshear, making this their first professional fight against each other.
  • No reported injuries or health concerns for either fighter ahead of the match, suggesting both will be at full strength.
  • The fight takes place in Kansas City, Missouri, a neutral site with no significant home advantage. Both fighters weigh in close to the Bantamweight limit with no reported issues.
  • Both fighters are seasoned UFC competitors motivated to climb the Bantamweight rankings. Blackshear’s grappling style and recent form provide motivation to consolidate his position, while Alateng aims to leverage his striking and experience to secure a pivotal win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Da'Mon Blackshear: -460, Heili Alateng: 360 Da'Mon Blackshear ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over: -150, Under: 120 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Da'Mon Blackshear -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 32%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Da'Mon Blackshear favored to win due to superior grappling, physical advantages, and recent form, with potential for submission finish or decision. Alateng’s striking and resilience make an upset plausible but less likely.

Predicted Score: Blackshear wins by submission in round 2


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Cameron Saaiman vs. Malcolm Wellmaker Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Cameron Saaiman vs Malcolm Wellmaker – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-26
  • Time: 11:20 PM UTC
  • Location: Not Provided

Game Overview

This upcoming UFC Bantamweight Prelims fight between Cameron Saaiman and Malcolm Wellmaker promises to be an exciting matchup. Saaiman, with a record of 9-2, faces off against Wellmaker, who is undefeated at 8-0. Both fighters have different strengths and weaknesses, with Saaiman known for his aggression and Wellmaker for his knockout power.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cameron Saaiman is an aggressive fighter with a penchant for pushing the pace, which could force Wellmaker into his first real test at the UFC level. Wellmaker is a slow-paced but powerful fighter who relies on timing his knockout blows.
  • No previous head-to-head matches between these fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • Mental preparation and crowd support may play a role, but both fighters are accustomed to high-pressure situations.
  • Wellmaker seeks his first UFC win, while Saaiman aims to regain momentum after recent struggles.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Saaiman: -104, Wellmaker: -116 Saaiman via decision Not available
Over/under over: -165, under: 135 Under 2.5 rounds Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cameron Saaiman 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 41%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 41% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Saaiman's aggressive style and Wellmaker's power, the fight leans towards a decision victory for Saaiman.

Predicted Score: Predicting the fight goes the full three rounds, resulting in a decision victory.


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Jaqueline Amorim vs. Polyana Viana Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jaqueline Amorim vs Polyana Viana – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-26
  • Time: 10:50 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC (unspecified venue)

Game Overview

Strawweight prelims bout between Jaqueline Amorim (Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu specialist) and Polyana Viana (BJJ-focused veteran). Amorim's detailed record is unavailable, while Viana shows recent losses via KO/TKO and submissions.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Viana shows inconsistency (13-7-0 record) with recent losses against grapplers. Amorim's stylistic details sparse but implied grappling focus from available data.
  • First meeting between fighters
  • No reported injuries
  • Standard UFC prelims environment
  • Viana needs rebound win after 3 losses in last 5. Amorim's career trajectory undisclosed.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Amorim -850 | Viana +600 Amorim ★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under Over 2.5 (+195) | Under 2.5 (-245) Under 2.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jaqueline Amorim -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Amorim by submission (Round 2) based on stylistic assumptions and Viana's recent sub loss to Lucindo

Predicted Score: Submission finish – No official score


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Timothy Cuamba vs. Roberto Romero Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Timothy Cuamba vs Roberto Romero – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: April 26, 2025
  • Time: 10:45 PM UTC
  • Location: T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, Missouri, United States

Game Overview

Featherweight prelims bout between two fighters looking for their first UFC win. Romero (8-4-1) enters as a slight favorite against Cuamba (8-3), who is 0-2 in UFC fights. Expect a technical striking battle between evenly matched competitors with similar physical attributes.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cuamba is 0-2 in UFC (decision losses), showing defensive holes while absorbing 60+ strikes in both fights[5]. Romero went 1-1 in Dana White's Contender Series before UFC debut loss[3].
  • First professional meeting between the fighters[2].
  • No reported injuries pre-fight[3].
  • Event occurs at standard elevation in Kansas City. Romero has more regional experience against Mexican competition[1][3].
  • High stakes for both – potential roster cuts loom for fighters who start 0-3 (Cuamba) or 0-2 (Romero) in UFC[3][5].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Romero -135 / Cuamba +115 Romero ML ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-245) / Under 2.5 (+195) Over 2.5 Rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Roberto Romero 16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Roberto Romero at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Romero via decision (55-45% edge) due to slightly superior composure under pressure and cleaner striking output. Cuamba's UFC experience against higher-caliber competition could surprise, but his defensive liabilities (60+ strikes absorbed in both UFC fights) make him vulnerable[5][3].

Predicted Score: Romero via Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)


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Joselyne Edwards vs. Chelsea Chandler Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Joselyne Edwards vs Chelsea Chandler – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-26
  • Time: 10:05 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

This matchup will feature Joselyne Edwards, a highly athletic bantamweight with a record of 14-6, facing Chelsea Chandler, who has a record of 6-3. Edwards, known for her physical advantages but history of close fights due to decision-making issues, looks to build on her last performance where she finished Tamires Vidal. Chandler, a wrestler struggling to adapt fully to bantamweight, may find success by exploiting Edwards' defensive wrestling weaknesses.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Edwards' athleticism and potential for complete performances against Chandler's wrestling skills.
  • No prior head-to-head match between Edwards and Chandler.
  • No reported injuries affecting the fighters.
  • Edwards' experience in close fights could play a role, but she has shown improvement recently.
  • Both fighters are likely highly motivated for victory, but Edwards' recent success could boost her confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Edwards -290, Chandler +245 Joselyne Edwards ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 -450, Under 2.5 +350 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Joselyne Edwards -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Joselyne Edwards is favored to win by decision.

Predicted Score: Decision for Joselyne Edwards


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Chris Gutierrez vs. John Castaneda Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Chris Gutierrez vs John Castaneda – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-27
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not Specified

Game Overview

Chris Gutierrez and John Castaneda are set for a bantamweight (or possibly featherweight as per some sources) fight in the UFC, with Gutierrez slightly favored in the moneyline odds. Both fighters have a strong record, with Gutierrez being slightly more favored due to his recent performance and statistics.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Chris Gutierrez has a win-loss-draw record of 21-6-2, while John Castaneda stands at 21-7-0. Gutierrez has shown better striking accuracy and defense.
  • There is no previous head-to-head fight between the two, so we rely on general performance metrics.
  • No recent injury information is available for either fighter.
  • The fight environment, such as crowd support and card placement, could influence the fighters' performance.
  • Both fighters will be motivated to win, given the stakes in the UFC.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gutierrez: -140, Castaneda: 120 Gutierrez to win ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: -380, Under 2.5: 305 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chris Gutierrez 28%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Chris Gutierrez at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on recent form and statistics, Chris Gutierrez is likely to emerge victorious.

Predicted Score: Gutierrez by Decision


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Adrian Bartosinski vs. Andrzej Grzebyk Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Adrian Bartosinski vs Andrzej Grzebyk – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-26
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: PreZero Arena, Gliwice, Poland

Game Overview

This MMA match between Adrian Bartosinski and Andrzej Grzebyk is part of KSW 105, competing in the welterweight division. The event occurs on April 26, 2025, at PreZero Arena in Gliwice, Poland.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Adrian Bartosinski, at 29 years old, faces Andrzej Grzebyk, aged 34. Both fighters will rely on their skill sets in the welterweight division. Performance indicators such as recent victories, strike accuracy, and grappling skills will be crucial.
  • There is no detailed history provided on past matches between the two fighters, but Grzebyk's experience might impact the head-to-head dynamics.
  • No specific injury updates are provided for either fighter, but monitoring their physical condition is essential.
  • Home advantage can influence Bartosinski, but Grzebyk's experience might help counter any such benefits.
  • Both fighters will be highly motivated, with the event being part of a significant KSW event.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Adrian Bartosinski: -310, Andrzej Grzebyk: 205 Adrian Bartosinski to win ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Adrian Bartosinski -18%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Adrian Bartosinski at -18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on the odds and age difference, Adrian Bartosinski appears to be the favorite. However, Andrzej Grzebyk's experience could make this a competitive fight.

Predicted Score: Decision or late-round finish in favor of Adrian Bartosinski


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Ruslan Tokhtarov vs. Navid Mansouri Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Ruslan Tokhtarov vs Navid Mansouri – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-26
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Palazzo Wanny, Florence, Italy

Game Overview

Ruslan Tokhtarov, nicknamed 'The Storm,' is set to face Navid Mansouri in a highly anticipated bare-knuckle fighting match. With Mansouri favored at -150 and Tokhtarov at +110 on the moneyline, this match promises to be intense. Both fighters have shown prowess in their respective careers, but specific performance data is limited. Mansouri's favored status suggests confidence from bookmakers.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both fighters have demonstrated skill in bare-knuckle fighting, but specific match statistics and recent performance trends are not detailed in available data.
  • There is no recorded match history between Ruslan Tokhtarov and Navid Mansouri.
  • No injury reports are mentioned for either fighter.
  • Venue and fan support could play a role, but neither fighter is significantly favored based on location since both are international fighters.
  • Both fighters are motivated to win, given the stakes of competing in a major BKFC event.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Navid Mansouri: -150, Ruslan Tokhtarov: 110 Navid Mansouri to win ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Navid Mansouri -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Navid Mansouri at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Navid Mansouri is favored to win due to higher odds, suggesting a slight edge over Ruslan Tokhtarov.

Predicted Score: N/A


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Josef Hala vs. Giovanni Carpentieri Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Josef Hala vs Giovanni Carpentieri – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: April 26, 2025
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified in available data

Game Overview

Light Heavyweight bout (84 kg) between Josef Hala (home team) and Giovanni Carpentieri (away team) in a BKFC event. Hala maintains an undefeated professional bare-knuckle record pre-debut according to BKFC records, though specific debut outcomes are unclear. Carpentieri's record shows competitive experience but lacks detailed historical results in provided sources.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Hala demonstrated success in bare-knuckle transitions with an undefeated pre-BKFC record. Carpentieri's BKFC performance history remains unclear from available sources.
  • No previous match history found between fighters.
  • No reported injury information available.
  • Event occurs within BKFC's international expansion framework (Italy reference in card mentions), though specific venue details remain unclear.
  • Both fighters likely seek to establish dominance in BKFC's growing light heavyweight division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Carpentieri: +170 | Hala: -245 Hala via decision or late KO ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Josef Hala 92%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Josef Hala at 92% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 53.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Hala holds statistical advantage through undefeated bare-knuckle pedigree. Carpentieri's +170 moneyline suggests underdog status but presents potential value given BKFC's unpredictable nature.

Predicted Score: N/A (BKFC uses stoppage/decision scoring rather than point-based results)


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Paddy Mccorry vs. Ghassan Abdenabi Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Paddy Mccorry vs Ghassan Abdenabi – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-26
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not Specified

Game Overview

This MMA match between Paddy McCorry and Ghassan Abdenabi is part of Cage Warriors 188 in Dublin. Paddy McCorry, known for his victory over Samir Kadi with a guillotine choke in his last CW appearance, faces Ghassan Abdenabi with significant betting odds favoring him.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Paddy McCorry has shown strong performance with recent wins in Cage Warriors, while Ghassan Abdenabi's recent form is less documented in available sources.
  • No head-to-head data available between these fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The home advantage may play in McCorry's favor, though this is speculative without specific venue details.
  • McCorry's recent wins could enhance his confidence, but Abdenabi might be motivated by the underdog role.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Paddy McCorry: -1150, Ghassan Abdenabi: 700 Paddy McCorry High (80%)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Paddy Mccorry -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Paddy McCorry is predicted to win due to favorable betting odds and recent performance.

Predicted Score: Not Applicable for MMA


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