Match Analysis: Gabriela Fundora vs Marilyn Badillo – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: April 19, 2025
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: Frontwave Arena, Oceanside, California
Game Overview
Undisputed women’s flyweight title bout between undefeated champion Gabriela Fundora (15-0, 7 KOs) and Marilyn Badillo (19-0-1, 3 KOs). Fundora, the youngest undisputed champion in boxing history, defends her WBA, WBC, WBO, and IBF belts for the first time. Badillo enters as a technical challenger with a 16% KO rate compared to Fundora’s 47%.
Key Factors to Consider
- Fundora has stopped 3 of her last 4 opponents, including a seventh-round TKO to unify the titles. Badillo’s recent decision-heavy performances suggest reliance on volume over power.
- First meeting between fighters. Fundora holds a 6-inch height and 4-inch reach advantage.
- No reported injuries pre-fight.
- DAZN-streamed event with California crowd favoring local fighter Fundora. Weight class strictly enforced at 112 lbs.
- Fundora aims to cement legacy as women’s boxing’s new face. Badillo seeks career-defining upset.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Fundora -2500 / Badillo +900 | Fundora wins | ★★★★★ 95% |
| Over/under | Over 8.5 (-140) / Under 8.5 (+110) | Under 8.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Gabriela Fundora 862% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 8.5 47% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Gabriela Fundora at 862% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 95.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Fundora by mid-round KO (Rounds 5-7) due to superior power and championship experience.
Predicted Score: TKO/KO for Fundora before Round 8.5