Match Analysis: Ben Whittaker vs Liam Cameron – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-20
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: bp pulse LIVE, Birmingham
Game Overview
Ben Whittaker (8-0-1, 5 KOs) faces Liam Cameron (23-6-1, 10 KOs) in a 10-round light-heavyweight rematch after their controversial split draw in 2024. The fight headlines a BOXXER card featuring Frazer Clarke vs. Ebaneezer Tetteh and Lee Cutler vs. Sam Eggington. Whittaker holds physical advantages (3-inch height edge, 63% KO rate) while Cameron brings experience (12-year pro debut gap).
Key Factors to Consider
- Whittaker: Undefeated prospect with Olympic silver pedigree. Cameron: Resurgent underdog coming off IBO-caliber performances.
- Previous fight ended in split draw after both fighters fell through ropes in Rd 5, halted by accidental injury.
- No reported pre-fight injuries. Previous clash ended due to in-ring accident rather than pre-existing conditions.
- Controversy over rounds duration (settled at 10). High-stakes rematch potential for Riyadh Season opportunities.
- Whittaker aims to avenge disputed draw; Cameron seeks career-defining upset against rising star.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Whittaker -310, Cameron +235 | Whittaker moneyline | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Over/under | Over 8.5 rounds -300, Under 8.5 +225 | Over 8.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 80% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ben Whittaker 145% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 8.5 -0% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Ben Whittaker at 145% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 61.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Whittaker by decision (50% user prediction) via technical superiority, though Cameron's durability could force late drama. Low KO probability compared to first fight due to tactical adjustments.
Predicted Score: Whittaker via UD (98-92, 97-93, 96-94)