Kai Kamaka vs. Joshua Weems Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Kai Kamaka vs Joshua Weems – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-26
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Tuff-N-Uff 143, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States

Game Overview

The upcoming featherweight bout between Kai Kamaka III and Joshua Weems is set for the co-main event at Tuff-N-Uff 143. Kamaka III, an experienced fighter with a background in wrestling and extensive competition in UFC, Bellator, and PFL, faces Joshua Weems in what promises to be a tactical and endurance-heavy match. Kamaka is favored strongly according to live odds, indicating a perceived superior skill and record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kai Kamaka III fights out of 808 Fight Factory Xtreme Couture and has a professional record of 14 wins, 6 losses, and 1 draw with a tendency to win by decision. Joshua Weems' recent performance details are limited, but the odds imply Kamaka's dominance in recent fights.
  • No direct previous fights between Kai Kamaka III and Joshua Weems are recorded, making this their first encounter.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the match.
  • The match is held in Las Vegas, which is a neutral ground but close to Kamaka’s training base. Kamaka also has a strong support system with his cousin Ray Cooper III, the PFL welterweight champion, serving as his cornerman.
  • Kamaka seeks to rebound and maintain his standing after recent fights and build momentum, while Weems aims to upset a favored opponent on a significant stage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kai Kamaka: -800, Joshua Weems: 425 Kai Kamaka ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Kai Kamaka: -1.5, Joshua Weems: +1.5 Kai Kamaka -1.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under over: 2.5 rounds, under: 2.5 rounds Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Kai Kamaka -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Kai Kamaka at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kai Kamaka III is predicted to win via decision or close tactical dominance given his experience, wrestling base, and fight IQ. The fight is expected to remain competitive but controlled by Kamaka.

Predicted Score: Kai Kamaka by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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