Match Analysis: Krzysztof Jotko vs Ion Surdu – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 26/04/2025
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Data unavailable
Game Overview
Middleweight clash between veteran Krzysztof Jotko (25-6-1) and OKTAGON WW champion Ion Surdu (16-6). Surdu shows KO dominance (11 KOs), while Jotko relies on decisions (14 wins) and holds a significant experience edge.
Key Factors to Consider
- Surdu: 11/16 wins by KO | Jotko: 14/25 wins by decision
- No direct H2H history per available records[1][3][5]
- No reported injuries in available data[2][4]
- Weight difference notable (Jotko last weighed 93kg vs Surdu's 78kg, though likely typo as both listed at ~185cm height[5])
- Surdu defending champion status vs Jotko's experience against higher-level competition
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Surdu -150 | Jotko +110 | Jotko moneyline (+110) | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ion Surdu 16% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Ion Surdu at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Jotko by decision (55% confidence) – Superior technical striking and cardio likely to overcome Surdu's power in later rounds
Predicted Score: Jotko via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)