Match Analysis: Como vs Genoa – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-27
- Time: 10:30 AM UTC
- Location: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Game Overview
Como faces Genoa in a key Serie A match. Como has shown mixed form while Genoa's performance has also been inconsistent.
Key Factors to Consider
- Como averages 1.31 goals per match and is in mixed form, while Genoa averages 1.44 goals per match with similar inconsistency.
- Recent head-to-head matches have seen 3 consecutive draws, with an average of 2.71 goals per match.
- Current injury information is not available for this analysis.
- Home advantage could influence Como's performance, as they have won 6 home games.
- Both teams are motivated to climb the league table.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Como: -120, Genoa: 350, Draw: 250 | Draw or Como win | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Spread | Como: -0.5 -115, Genoa: 50 -105 | Como win by less than 1 goal | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Over/under | Over 2.25: 100, Under 2.25: -120 | Under 2.25 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Como -18% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 6% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The match is likely to be closely contested, with a low probability of a high-scoring outcome due to recent trends.
Predicted Score: 1-1