Match Analysis: CJ Vergara vs Edgar Chairez – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: Saturday, March 29, 2025
- Time: 8:10 PM UTC
- Location: Arena CDMX, Mexico City, Mexico
Game Overview
Edgar Chairez, with a 11-6 record, faces CJ Vergara, who holds a 12-6-1 record, in a Flyweight bout at UFC on ESPN 64. Both fighters seek to bounce back from recent losses.
Key Factors to Consider
- Edgar Chairez has shown resilience in his fights, recently losing to Joshua Van via unanimous decision. CJ Vergara, with a higher striking rate (5.10 strikes per minute compared to Chairez's 3.45), is coming off a first-round TKO loss to Ramazonbek Temirov.
- There is no head-to-head data between the fighters as they have not previously faced each other.
- No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the match.
- Fighting in Mexico City could favor Chairez due to the home crowd advantage, but Vergara's past experiences might help him adapt.
- Both fighters are highly motivated to secure a win after recent losses. Chairez aims to leverage his submission skills, while Vergara looks to utilize his higher striking output.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -258 (Chairez), +210 (Vergara) | Edgar Chairez | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Spread | -3.5 (Chairez) -135, +3.5 (Vergara) +100 | CJ Vergara +3.5 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Over_under | Over 2.5 -160, Under 2.5 +124 | Over 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Predicted Outcome
Edgar Chairez is favored to win due to better odds and slightly higher expectations from bookies.
Predicted Score: Given the nature of MMA and the unpredictability of knockouts, the fight is likely to last at least 2 rounds, favoring the Over 2.5.