CJ Vergara vs. Edgar Chairez Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: CJ Vergara vs Edgar Chairez – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: Saturday, March 29, 2025
  • Time: 8:10 PM UTC
  • Location: Arena CDMX, Mexico City, Mexico

Game Overview

Edgar Chairez, with a 11-6 record, faces CJ Vergara, who holds a 12-6-1 record, in a Flyweight bout at UFC on ESPN 64. Both fighters seek to bounce back from recent losses.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Edgar Chairez has shown resilience in his fights, recently losing to Joshua Van via unanimous decision. CJ Vergara, with a higher striking rate (5.10 strikes per minute compared to Chairez's 3.45), is coming off a first-round TKO loss to Ramazonbek Temirov.
  • There is no head-to-head data between the fighters as they have not previously faced each other.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the match.
  • Fighting in Mexico City could favor Chairez due to the home crowd advantage, but Vergara's past experiences might help him adapt.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to secure a win after recent losses. Chairez aims to leverage his submission skills, while Vergara looks to utilize his higher striking output.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -258 (Chairez), +210 (Vergara) Edgar Chairez ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread -3.5 (Chairez) -135, +3.5 (Vergara) +100 CJ Vergara +3.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over 2.5 -160, Under 2.5 +124 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Predicted Outcome

Edgar Chairez is favored to win due to better odds and slightly higher expectations from bookies.

Predicted Score: Given the nature of MMA and the unpredictability of knockouts, the fight is likely to last at least 2 rounds, favoring the Over 2.5.


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