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Canberra Raiders vs. Dolphins Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Dolphins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: April 27, 2025
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium Canberra

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders (3rd place) host the Dolphins in a Round 8 clash following recent strong form. The Dolphins arrive after a shock 42-22 win against Melbourne, seeking a club-record fourth consecutive victory. The Raiders have won five of seven games and named an unchanged lineup, while the Dolphins debut Francis Molo and reshuffle their pack.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Raiders have shown resilience (e.g., overcoming 16-0 deficit vs Titans), while Dolphins demonstrated high-scoring potential against top teams.
  • Raiders lead 2-1 in three meetings, with all games decided by ≤6 points.
  • Dolphins lose Felise Kaufusi (knee), while Raiders have full squad availability.
  • Dolphins’ forward reshuffle (Mark Nicholls to lock) could impact bench rotation efficiency.
  • Dolphins aim for historic fourth straight win; Raiders seek to cement top-four positioning.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -176, away: +148, draw: 2100 Canberra Raiders ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Raiders -4.5 (-110), Dolphins +4.5 (-120) Dolphins +4.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under 48.5 (Over -115/Under -115) Over 48.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Raiders by 1-6 points in a tight contest, leveraging home advantage and defensive consistency. Dolphins’ attacking firepower keeps it competitive.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 26-22 Dolphins


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Dolphins vs. Melbourne Storm Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Dolphins vs Melbourne Storm – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: Friday, 18th April, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium

Game Overview

The Dolphins are set to face off against the Melbourne Storm in a Round 7 matchup of the NRL season. The Storm, currently in second place, has been performing strongly, while the Dolphins are positioned lower in the standings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm has shown consistent form, with key players like Cameron Munster and Jahrome Hughes contributing significantly. The Dolphins will face a tough challenge to match Storm's strength and cohesion.
  • Historically, head-to-head matches between these teams have favored the Storm, given their consistent performance and depth in talent.
  • Moses Leo's injury for the Storm is notable, but Jahrome Hughes's recovery boosts their lineup. The Dolphins need to capitalize on any Storm weaknesses.
  • The match is on Good Friday, which might affect crowd dynamics and team morale. Additionally, transport and public holiday schedules could impact fan attendance.
  • The Storm's motivation to maintain their high position in the standings is strong, while the Dolphins seek to improve their ranking and gain momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dolphins: 355 / Storm: -480 / Draw: 2500 Melbourne Storm to win ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Dolphins: +13.5 -115 / Storm: -13.5 -115 Melbourne Storm will cover the spread ★★★★☆ 70%
Over_under Over: 48.5 -125 / Under: 48.5 -105 Over 48.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the performance and position of both teams, Melbourne Storm is favored to win the match.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 32 – 18 Dolphins


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Dolphins vs. Penrith Panthers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Dolphins vs Penrith Panthers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-10
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium

Game Overview

The Dolphins, as the newcomers in the NRL, face a challenging match against the reigning premiers, Penrith Panthers. The Panthers are favourites with a significant edge in experience and past performance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Panthers have shown consistent top-level performance, having won the premiership in 2024. The Dolphins, while improving, still lag in terms of overall team cohesion and experience against top-tier teams.
  • While specific historical data for this matchup is limited due to the Dolphins' recent entry into the league, past performances of both teams against similar opponents suggest the Panthers have a significant advantage.
  • The Dolphins will be without Ray Stone due to suspension, while the Panthers face injuries such as Mitch Kenny's shoulder issue, but are expected to welcome back key players like Dylan Edwards and Scott Sorensen.
  • The match is at Suncorp Stadium, which could provide a supportive environment for the Dolphins, but the Panthers' experience in big games makes them less likely to be affected by external factors.
  • Both teams have strong motivation; the Dolphins aim to upset the reigning champions, while the Panthers seek to maintain their dominance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence EV Pick
Moneyline Dolphins: 190, Panthers: -240 Panthers ★★★★☆ 75% Panthers -100%
Spread Dolphins +7.5: -115, Panthers -7.5: -115 Panthers -7.5 ★★★☆☆ 56% Panthers -7.5 -100%
Over_under Over 48.5: -110, Under 48.5: -120 Under 48.5 ★★★☆☆ 60% Under 48.5 -100%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Penrith Panthers 11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Penrith Panthers at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the Panthers' experience and recent form, they are likely to win, with a predicted final score of 27-16.

Predicted Score: Panthers 27, Dolphins 16


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Gold Coast Titans vs. Dolphins Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Gold Coast Titans vs Dolphins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-05
  • Time: 6:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Cbus Super Stadium, Gold Coast, Australia

Game Overview

Gold Coast Titans, striving for their third consecutive win in the NRL, face the Dolphins. The Titans have shown strong defensive form, conceding only three tries in their last two matches, while the Dolphins struggle with an average of just 14 points per game this season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Titans have a strong recent form with two wins in their last five games, while the Dolphins are yet to secure a win in 2025. The Titans' solid defense and the Dolphins' scoring struggles are significant factors.
  • The head-to-head record between the teams is almost even, with each having won one match. This close competitive history suggests a potentially tight contest.
  • The Titans face minor lineup changes, with Sean Mullany making his NRL debut and Jaimin Jolliffe returning from injury. The Dolphins also face some lineup adjustments.
  • Both teams are part of Multicultural Round, which may influence team spirit and fan engagement.
  • The Titans are highly motivated to secure a third consecutive win, while the Dolphins seek their first win of the season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gold Coast Titans: -186, Dolphins: 156 Gold Coast Titans ★★★☆☆ 67%
Spread Gold Coast Titans: -4.5 -115, Dolphins: 4.5 -115 Gold Coast Titans -4.5 ★★★☆☆ 50%
Over_under Over 53.5: -115, Under 53.5: -115 Under 53.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Gold Coast Titans are favored to win due to their recent form and strong defensive performance.

Predicted Score: Gold Coast Titans 24 – 16 Dolphins


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Dolphins vs. Brisbane Broncos Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Dolphins vs Brisbane Broncos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: March 28, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Game Overview

A highly anticipated Round 4 match between the Dolphins and Brisbane Broncos, with the Broncos favored to win.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Broncos have been performing strongly, while the Dolphins face an upward battle as underdogs. Recent simulations give the Broncos a significant advantage.
  • Historically, the Broncos have had more success in head-to-head matches, though specific recent statistics are not available for this season.
  • No significant injury reports have been highlighted for this match, but any last-minute changes could impact performance.
  • The home crowd can affect motivation and energy levels, though in this case, the Dolphins are listed as the home team but play at Suncorp Stadium, which is more commonly associated with the Broncos.
  • Both teams are motivated to perform well, but the Broncos have more to prove given their favored status and higher expectations.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Broncos -480, Dolphins 385 Broncos ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Broncos -13.5 (-115), Dolphins +13.5 (-115) Broncos -13.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over 51.5 (-115), Under 51.5 (-115) Over 51.5 ★★★☆☆ 52%

Predicted Outcome

Brisbane Broncos are predicted to win.

Predicted Score: Broncos 27, Dolphins 20


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Dolphins vs. Wests Tigers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Dolphins vs Wests Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: Saturday, 22 March 2025
  • Time: 6:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Kayo Stadium, Redcliffe / Kabi Kabi

Game Overview

The Dolphins and Wests Tigers face off in NRL Round 3, with both teams seeking their first win for the Dolphins and a second for the Tigers. The Dolphins have struggled in their opening matches, while the Tigers have shown mixed form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dolphins have started the season poorly, losing both their opening matches. In contrast, the Tigers have won one and lost one, showing more consistency.
  • In their last three meetings, the Dolphins have won two matches, and the Tigers have won one. The head-to-head record slightly favors the Dolphins.
  • No significant injury reports have been highlighted for either team, but this could change closer to the match.
  • The match is at Kayo Stadium, which could provide a home advantage for the Dolphins. However, the Tigers have shown resilience in away games.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to secure a win, but the Dolphins may have an edge due to their need to turn their season around.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dolphins: -122, Wests Tigers: -118 Dolphins ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Dolphins: -1.5 -120, Wests Tigers: 1.5 -120 Dolphins -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 56%
Over_under Over: 47.5 -118, Under: 47.5 -120 Under 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Predicted Outcome

Dolphins to win

Predicted Score: Dolphins 24, Wests Tigers 20


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Newcastle Knights vs. Dolphins Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs Dolphins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-03-13
  • Time: 9:00 AM UTC
  • Location: McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle, Australia

Game Overview

The Newcastle Knights host the Dolphins in Round 2 of the NRL. Both teams are looking to improve their standings after mixed performances in recent matches.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Newcastle Knights have shown inconsistency, while the Dolphins have demonstrated resilience in recent games. The Knights' defensive lapses are a concern.
  • The head-to-head record shows a slight edge for the Knights, but the Dolphins have been competitive in their encounters.
  • No specific injury reports are available for this match, but both teams may have players missing from previous games.
  • Home advantage could favor the Knights, but the Dolphins have shown they can perform well away from home.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to secure a win and improve their position in the league.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Newcastle Knights -150, Dolphins 130 Newcastle Knights ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Newcastle Knights -1.5 -115, Dolphins 1.5 -115 Newcastle Knights -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over 45.5 -115, Under 45.5 -115 Over 45.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Predicted Outcome

Newcastle Knights are favored to win due to home advantage and recent form.

Predicted Score: Newcastle Knights 24 – 20 Dolphins


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Dolphins vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Dolphins vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-03-07
  • Time: 9:05 AM UTC
  • Location: CommBank Stadium

Game Overview

The Dolphins face the South Sydney Rabbitohs in a relocated Round 1 NRL match due to weather conditions. Both teams are looking to start their season strong, with the Dolphins favored at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dolphins are entering their second season in the NRL, seeking to improve from their inaugural year. The Rabbitohs, under Wayne Bennett's guidance, aim to leverage their experience and depth to secure a win.
  • This is one of the early matches between these teams, with limited historical data. However, the Dolphins' home advantage could play a significant role.
  • No significant injury reports have been highlighted for either team, but the Dolphins' home advantage might be slightly diminished by the venue change.
  • The relocation to CommBank Stadium due to Cyclone Alfred could affect team dynamics and fan support. Weather conditions are less of a concern at the new venue.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to start the season with a win, but the Dolphins might have an edge due to their desire to prove themselves in their second year.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dolphins: -172, South Sydney Rabbitohs: 132 Dolphins ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Dolphins: -4.5 114, South Sydney Rabbitohs: 4.5 -154 Dolphins ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over: 40.5 -147, Under: 40.5 107 Over ★★★☆☆ 58%

Predicted Outcome

Dolphins to win

Predicted Score: Dolphins 24 – 18 South Sydney Rabbitohs


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