Match Analysis: FBC Melgar vs Deportes Tolima – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-02-27
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Estadio Monumental de la UNSA, Arequipa

Game Overview

Melgar hosts Deportes Tolima in the second leg of the Copa Libertadores 2025, with Melgar needing only a draw to advance after winning the first leg 1-0. The match is crucial for both teams as they vie for a spot in the next round.

Key Factors to Consider

• Melgar is on a high after winning the first leg and recently defeating Alianza Atlético 2-1 in the league. Deportes Tolima, however, drew 0-0 with América de Cali and faces the challenge of playing at high altitude in Arequipa.
• The recent head-to-head favors Melgar, who won the first leg 1-0. However, Deportes Tolima will seek to overturn this deficit.
• No significant injury reports have been highlighted for either team.
• The high altitude of Arequipa could be a significant factor affecting Deportes Tolima's performance.
• Both teams are highly motivated, but Melgar has the advantage of needing only a draw to advance.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Deportes Tolima: 280, FBC Melgar: 105, Draw: 240	Draw	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	Deportes Tolima: 0.25 105, FBC Melgar: -0.25 -135	FBC Melgar -0.25	★★★☆☆ 52%
Over_under	Over: 2.5 133, Under: 2.5 -177	Under 2.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Melgar is likely to secure a draw or a narrow win, given their current form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: 1-1

Match Analysis: Deportes Tolima vs FBC Melgar – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-02-20
• Time: 00:30 UTC
• Location: Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro

Game Overview

Deportes Tolima hosts FBC Melgar in the first leg of the Copa Libertadores 2025. Tolima is favored due to home advantage, while Melgar aims to exploit the second leg's altitude advantage in Peru.

Key Factors to Consider

• Deportes Tolima has a strong defensive setup and excels in physical matches, but struggles with consistency in scoring. Melgar benefits from recent international experience and home advantage in high-altitude matches.
• Limited recent head-to-head data, but both teams have shown resilience in continental competitions.
• No significant injury reports available for either team.
• Tolima's home conditions, including high humidity, could affect Melgar's performance. The altitude in Arequipa will be a significant factor in the second leg.
• Both teams are highly motivated to advance in the tournament, with Tolima seeking to capitalize on home advantage and Melgar aiming to use their home leg to secure progression.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-134 (Tolima), 475 (Melgar), 230 (Draw)	Deportes Tolima	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	-0.75 (Tolima) -110, 0.75 (Melgar) -120	Deportes Tolima -0.75	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over 2.5: 143, Under 2.5: -190	Under 2.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Tolima is likely to win the first leg but may struggle in the second leg due to altitude.

Predicted Score: Tolima 2-1 Melgar (first leg)