Match Analysis: Charlotte FC vs San Diego FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-19
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC
Game Overview
Charlotte FC hosts San Diego FC in an important MLS regular season clash. Charlotte FC is unbeaten at home this season and currently sits 2nd in the Eastern Conference with a record of 5 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses and a +6 goal difference. San Diego FC is 6th in the Western Conference with 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses and also a +6 goal difference. Both teams have shown solid attacking and defensive performances, but Charlotte FC’s home form and recent results give them slight edge.
Key Factors to Consider
- Charlotte FC has scored 12 goals and conceded 7 in 8 matches, with 2 clean sheets. San Diego has scored 13 and conceded 6 in their 8 matches, with 3 clean sheets. Key players for Charlotte include Pep Biel (2 goals, 5 assists) and Anders Dreyer (3 goals, multiple assists). San Diego’s notable contributors are Pep Biel (midfielder with 3 goals, 5 assists) and Anders Dreyer (3 goals, 3 assists). Charlotte has a stronger home form while San Diego is competitive but less consistent on the road.
- There are no recent head-to-head records available between Charlotte FC and San Diego FC, as San Diego is a newer MLS team. This will be a key early matchup to establish dominance and rivalry.
- Charlotte FC's Wilfried Zaha (hand injury) is unavailable for the match, which reduces their attacking options slightly. No significant injury reports for San Diego FC have been noted.
- The match is played at the fortress-like Bank of America Stadium with strong fan support and pre-match entertainment boosting Charlotte's morale. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be neutral. No major external disruptions forecasted.
- Both teams are motivated to gain points, with Charlotte FC aiming to consolidate their top Eastern Conference position and San Diego FC pushing to improve their standing in the West. Charlotte’s unbeaten home streak adds an additional psychological advantage.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Charlotte FC: 130, San Diego FC: 200, Draw: 255 | Charlotte FC to win | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | Charlotte FC: -0.25 +100, San Diego FC: +25 -120 | Charlotte FC -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 2.75: -102, Under 2.75: -118 | Under 2.75 goals | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Charlotte FC 1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.75 -4% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Charlotte FC at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Charlotte FC’s strong home form, slightly better recent results, and home advantage, they are favored to win a closely contested match. The match is likely to be competitive with potential for goals from both sides, but Charlotte edges the outcome.
Predicted Score: 2-1 Charlotte FC