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Cerro Porteño vs. Sporting Cristal Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Cerro Porteño vs Sporting Cristal – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-24
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio la Nueva Olla

Game Overview

Crucial Group G match where Cerro Porteño seeks to extend their unbeaten home run in Libertadores (6 games), while Sporting Cristal aims to overcome historical struggles against the hosts.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cerro Porteño recently regained confidence with a league win, while Sporting Cristal arrives with potential injury concerns[1]. Cerro boasts a formidable home record (4W-2D in last 6 Libertadores home matches)[4].
  • Cerro Porteño remains undefeated in Libertadores against Cristal (2W-2D), including a 1-0 home win in 2023[4]. Historical dominance includes a 5-0 victory in 1973[4].
  • Sporting Cristal reportedly arrives 'herido' (injured/wounded)[1], though specific player absences aren't detailed.
  • Cerro's recent league struggles contrast with their Copa focus after exiting Apertura title race[1]. Cristal becomes the 10th team to reach 250 Libertadores matches[4].
  • High stakes for group positioning, with Cerro needing home wins and Cristal seeking to prove continental pedigree.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline CER: -135 | SCR: 370 | Draw: 255 Cerro Porteño Moneyline ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread CER -0.75 (-108) | SCR +75 (-122) Cerro Porteño -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.25 (-108) | Under 2.25 (-122) Under 2.25 Goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cerro Porteño 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Cerro Porteño at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Home advantage and historical dominance favor Cerro Porteño in a tight match, though goal difference suggests defensive caution.

Predicted Score: 1-0 (Cerro Porteño)


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Palmeiras-SP vs. Cerro Porteño Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Palmeiras-SP vs Cerro Porteño – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-10
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Parque, São Paulo, Brazil

Game Overview

Palmeiras-SP hosts Cerro Porteño in the Conmebol Copa Libertadores. Palmeiras has historically outperformed Cerro Porteño in head-to-head matches, with significant gaps in odds reflecting their favorites status.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Palmeiras has shown consistent performance at home, while Cerro Porteño's away form has been variable.
  • Palmeiras has won 5 out of 10 matches against Cerro Porteño, with Cerro Porteño winning 2 and 3 draws.
  • No significant injury reports available for this match.
  • The match is at Allianz Parque, which generally favors Palmeiras due to home advantage.
  • Both teams are motivated to advance in the Copa Libertadores.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence EV Pick
Moneyline -375 (Palmeiras), 1000 (Cerro Porteño), 440 (Draw) Palmeiras ★★★★☆ 80% Palmeiras -68%
Spread -1.5 (Palmeiras) -122, 1.5 (Cerro Porteño) -108 Palmeiras -1.5 ★★★★☆ 75% Palmeiras -1.5 -100%
Over_under Over 2.5 -128, Under 2.5 -102 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60% Over 2.5 -100%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Palmeiras-SP -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras is likely to win based on historical performance and current odds.

Predicted Score: Palmeiras 3, Cerro Porteño 1


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Cerro Porteño vs. Club Bolívar Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Cerro Porteño vs Club Bolívar – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-01
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio General Pablo Rojas, Asunción, Paraguay

Game Overview

Cerro Porteño hosts Club Bolívar in the Copa Libertadores, with Cerro Porteño favored to win. Both teams have strong recent form, but Cerro Porteño's home advantage could be crucial.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cerro Porteño has been solid at home, unbeaten in their last five games. Club Bolívar has a seven-match winning streak and hasn't lost in nine games.
  • Historically, Bolívar has more wins in head-to-heads, but recent matches have been more evenly contested. Cerro Porteño has won two of their last five encounters.
  • No significant injury reports are available for both teams.
  • Playing at home could give Cerro Porteño an edge, but Bolívar’s current form might counteract that advantage.
  • Both teams are highly motivated as they seek to start the Copa Libertadores campaign strongly.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -150 (Cerro Porteño), 390 (Bolívar), 280 (Draw) Cerro Porteño to win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread -0.75 (Cerro Porteño) @ -125, 75 (Bolívar) @ -105 Cerro Porteño -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over 2.75 @ -118, Under 2.75 @ -112 Over 2.75 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Cerro Porteño is likely to secure a tight victory given their home advantage.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Cerro Porteño vs. FBC Melgar Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Cerro Porteño vs FBC Melgar – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-03-12
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Asunción

Game Overview

Cerro Porteño hosts FBC Melgar in the second leg of the Copa Libertadores third stage, following a 1-0 win in the first leg. Cerro Porteño aims to secure a spot in the group stage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cerro Porteño has shown strong defensive discipline, while Melgar has struggled to impose their game despite strong possession. Cerro Porteño's recent form in Copa Libertadores has been better than in local tournaments.
  • This is the first head-to-head match between Cerro Porteño and FBC Melgar, with no previous history.
  • No specific injury reports are available for this match.
  • The altitude factor, which affected the first leg, is less relevant in Asunción. However, Cerro Porteño's home advantage could be significant.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, but Cerro Porteño has an advantage from the first leg and the home crowd.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -140 (Cerro Porteño), 420 (FBC Melgar), 235 (Draw) Cerro Porteño ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread -0.75 -112 (Cerro Porteño), 75 -118 (FBC Melgar) Cerro Porteño -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over 2.25 -102, Under 2.25 -128 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Cerro Porteño is likely to win or draw, securing their spot in the group stage.

Predicted Score: 1-0 or 1-1


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FBC Melgar vs. Cerro Porteño Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: FBC Melgar vs Cerro Porteño – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-03-05
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustín, Arequipa, Peru

Game Overview

FBC Melgar faces Cerro Porteño in the Copa Libertadores, with Melgar having recently secured a spot in Phase 3 after winning 1-0 in their previous match.

Key Factors to Consider

  • FBC Melgar has shown resilience by advancing to Phase 3, while Cerro Porteño will aim to leverage their experience in the competition.
  • There is limited recent head-to-head data available for these teams, making past performances less indicative of the outcome.
  • No specific injury reports are available for this match, but both teams will likely field their strongest lineups.
  • The match is played in Arequipa, which could give Melgar a home advantage, but Cerro Porteño's experience in international competitions may counteract this.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to advance in the Copa Libertadores, with Melgar seeking to continue their successful run and Cerro Porteño aiming to assert their dominance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline FBC Melgar: -110, Cerro Porteño: 300, Draw: 225 FBC Melgar ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread FBC Melgar: -0.5 -110, Cerro Porteño: 50 -120 FBC Melgar -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under Over 2.25: -115, Under 2.25: -115 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

FBC Melgar is favored to win due to their recent form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of FBC Melgar


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Cerro Porteño vs. Monagas SC Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Cerro Porteño vs Monagas SC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-02-27
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Home of Cerro Porteño

Game Overview

Cerro Porteño hosts Monagas SC in the Copa Libertadores, following a dominant 4-0 win in the first leg. Cerro Porteño aims to secure their spot in the next phase, while Monagas SC seeks a comeback.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cerro Porteño has shown strong form with a recent 4-0 victory over Monagas SC. However, they have struggled with consistency in their domestic league. Monagas SC faces a tough task after the first-leg defeat.
  • Cerro Porteño has a favorable head-to-head record, including a recent 4-0 win and past victories in Venezuela.
  • Abel Luciatti remains injured for Cerro Porteño, while key players from the U20s are missing. Monagas SC's injury status is not detailed.
  • Cerro Porteño has a significant upcoming match, the superclásico, which might affect team selection and focus.
  • Cerro Porteño is highly motivated to advance in the Copa Libertadores, while Monagas SC needs a significant turnaround to stay in contention.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cerro Porteño: -286, Monagas SC: 750, Draw: 440 Cerro Porteño ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Cerro Porteño: -1.25 -125, Monagas SC: 1.25 -105 Cerro Porteño -1.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under Over 2.5: -165, Under 2.5: 123 Over 2.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Predicted Outcome

Cerro Porteño is likely to win, given their recent form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Monagas SC vs. Cerro Porteño Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Monagas SC vs Cerro Porteño – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-02-20
  • Time: 22:00 UTC
  • Location: Estadio Monumental de Maturín

Game Overview

Monagas SC hosts Cerro Porteño in a Copa Libertadores qualifying match, with both teams seeking a crucial win.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Monagas SC has struggled at home, winning only one of their last eight matches. Cerro Porteño has scored and conceded in most of their recent games.
  • No recent head-to-head data available.
  • No specific injury reports available.
  • Home advantage for Monagas SC, but Cerro Porteño's recent form suggests they could capitalize on Monagas' struggles.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to secure a win in the Copa Libertadores.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cerro Porteño: 100, Monagas SC: 300, Draw: 235 Cerro Porteño ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Cerro Porteño: -0.5 -102, Monagas SC: 0.5 -128 Cerro Porteño -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over: 2.5 114, Under: 2.5 -150 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Predicted Outcome

Cerro Porteño is favored due to their recent scoring form and Monagas SC's home struggles.

Predicted Score: Monagas SC 1 – Cerro Porteño 2


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