Match Analysis: Carlos Prates vs Ian Garry – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: April 26, 2025
- Time: 1:15 AM UTC
- Location: T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, Missouri
Game Overview
Ian Machado Garry and Carlos Prates will face off in a highly anticipated welterweight bout at UFC Fight Night. Garry, who recently suffered his first professional loss, seeks redemption against Prates, who is on an impressive winning streak with 10 consecutive knockouts. Prates' recent form and current undefeated UFC streak pose significant challenges for Garry.
Key Factors to Consider
- Prates has not lost since 2019 and has a strong knockout record, while Garry is returning from his first career loss.
- This will be the first meeting between the two fighters, making past direct comparisons irrelevant.
- No reported injuries for either fighter at this time.
- Garry may face pressure to rebound from his first loss, while Prates will aim to capitalize on his momentum.
- Both fighters are highly motivated, with Garry seeking redemption and Prates aiming for a career-defining win.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Carlos Prates: +110, Ian Garry: -130 | Ian Garry | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
| Spread | Carlos Prates: +5.5 (-165), Ian Garry: -5.5 (+120) | Carlos Prates +5.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 3.5: -125, Under 3.5: -105 | Over 3.5 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ian Garry -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 3.5 -8% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Ian Garry at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ian Garry is favored due to his experience and skillset, but Prates' recent form suggests a competitive bout.
Predicted Score: Decision or late-round finish for Ian Garry