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Atlético Madrid vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Atlético Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-24
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid, Spain

Game Overview

Atlético Madrid hosts Rayo Vallecano in a La Liga match at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano in Madrid. Atlético Madrid enter as clear favorites based on form, home advantage, and betting odds, while Rayo Vallecano is seen as the underdog. Both teams have had recent competitive encounters, including a 1-1 draw in the last away fixture, adding intrigue to this matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid has displayed solid form at home, leveraging strong defensive organization and efficient attack. Rayo Vallecano, although competitive, have struggled to secure wins against top teams and face difficulties scoring away.
  • The recent head to head includes a 1-1 draw at Rayo Vallecano's stadium and a narrow 2-1 victory for Atlético Madrid at home, showing close matches but slight edge to Atlético on home turf.
  • No specific injury information is provided in the current data, so the squads are presumed near full strength with standard rotation.
  • Playing in Madrid affords Atlético Madrid strong home support and familiarity with the pitch environment. No unusual external circumstances are reported.
  • Atlético Madrid likely have higher motivation to secure points to maintain or improve their league standing, while Rayo Vallecano may focus on defensive resilience and counter-attacks.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlético Madrid: -185, Rayo Vallecano: 500, Draw: 320 Atlético Madrid ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Atlético Madrid: -1 -108, Rayo Vallecano: +1 -112 Atlético Madrid -1 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: 105, Under 2.5: -125 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Madrid -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid are predicted to win this match, leveraging their home advantage, superior form, and tactical discipline. A competitive but controlled game is expected with Atlético Madrid managing a narrow victory.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Las Palmas vs. Atlético Madrid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Las Palmas vs Atlético Madrid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-19
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Spain

Game Overview

This La Liga match features Las Palmas hosting Atlético Madrid. Las Palmas is struggling in the league, positioned low with 29 points from 31 games, while Atlético Madrid is third with 63 points, strongly contending for the title. Atlético's recent form includes dominant wins over Las Palmas, showcasing their superiority both home and away. Las Palmas has shown resilience but faces a tough challenge against a top-tier Atlético side who have strong attacking players and a solid defensive record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid has a strong performance record with 18 wins, 9 draws, 4 losses, and a +27 goal difference. They have been consistent in scoring and attacking, led by players like J Álvarez (14 goals) and A Sørloth (12 goals). Las Palmas, by contrast, has 7 wins, 8 draws, and 16 losses, with a -15 goal difference, indicating defensive vulnerabilities and inconsistent form.
  • In their last five meetings, Atlético Madrid has won 4 matches decisively, including 5-0 and 2-0 wins in the most recent encounters. Las Palmas managed a single 2-1 win in November 2023 but largely struggle against Atlético. This trend emphasizes Atlético's dominance in the fixture.
  • No specific injury updates were provided in available data, but Atlético Madrid typically maintains a strong squad depth. Las Palmas may face challenges if key players are unavailable, which could further weaken their position.
  • The game is played at Las Palmas' home stadium, where home advantage can be a factor, though Atlético Madrid’s superior quality often offsets this. Weather or pitch conditions were not highlighted as impacting factors.
  • Atlético Madrid is motivated to secure points to remain in the title race, whereas Las Palmas is motivated to gain crucial points to avoid relegation, making it a highly motivated encounter for both sides albeit on different stakes.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlético Madrid: -175, Las Palmas: 460, Draw: 330 Atlético Madrid to win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Atlético Madrid: -1 -105, Las Palmas: 1 -115 Atlético Madrid -1 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 2.5: -122, Under 2.5: 102 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Madrid 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid is heavily favored to win this match given their superior league position, form, and historical dominance over Las Palmas. A controlled Atlético Madrid victory is expected, though Las Palmas may try to exploit home advantage for a positive result.

Predicted Score: Atlético Madrid 2 – 0 Las Palmas


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Atlético Madrid vs. Valladolid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Atlético Madrid vs Valladolid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 14 Apr 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid, Spain

Game Overview

Atlético Madrid, currently ranked 3rd in La Liga, hosts Real Valladolid, who are struggling in 20th position. Atlético Madrid has a strong historical advantage against Valladolid, winning 18 out of their last 27 matches. Valladolid's poor form and Atlético's solid defensive record make this a challenging fixture for the visitors.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid has shown consistent form this season with 17 wins, 9 draws, and 4 losses, while Real Valladolid has struggled with only 4 wins. Atlético Madrid averages 2.00 goals per match, while Valladolid averages 1.03 goals.
  • Atlético Madrid leads in head-to-head matches with 18 wins to Valladolid's 5. The last few matches have seen Atlético dominate Valladolid.
  • Atlético Madrid has several players missing due to injury, including Rodrigo De Paul, Angel Correa, and others. This could potentially affect their performance.
  • Atlético Madrid's home advantage combined with Valladolid's poor away record could significantly influence the outcome.
  • Atlético Madrid will be highly motivated to maintain their position in La Liga, while Valladolid needs points to avoid relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Madrid -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid is likely to win due to their strong form and historical advantage over Valladolid.

Predicted Score: Atlético Madrid 3 – 0 Real Valladolid


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Sevilla vs. Atlético Madrid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-06
  • Time: 2:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan, Seville, Spain

Game Overview

The upcoming La Liga match between Sevilla FC and Atlético Madrid is set to pit two teams with different current standings against each other. Sevilla has been inconsistent lately, while Atlético Madrid remains strong, ranking higher in the league standings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid has a stronger overall performance, sitting third in La Liga with 57 points, while Sevilla ranks 11th with 36 points. Atlético Madrid has scored more goals and conceded fewer than Sevilla.
  • Historically, the most common result between them is a 1-1 draw, but Atlético Madrid has a slight edge overall in their meetings.
  • Notable absences include Nianzou for Sevilla and Correa for Atlético Madrid.
  • The match is crucial for both teams' league positions, but Atlético Madrid's higher league ranking might give them an edge in terms of pressure and expectations.
  • Both teams are motivated, but Atlético Madrid may have more to gain in terms of maintaining their league position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlético Madrid: 125, Sevilla: 235, Draw: 230 Atlético Madrid to win ★★☆☆☆ 43%
Spread -0.25 for Atlético Madrid (-110), 25 for Sevilla (-110) Atlético Madrid to cover ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over_under Over 2.25: +100, Under 2.25: -120 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid is favored to win due to their better league position and overall performance.

Predicted Score: 0-1 in favor of Atlético Madrid


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Espanyol vs. Atlético Madrid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: March 29, 2025
  • Time: 3:15 PM UTC
  • Location: RCDE Stadium, Cornella, Spain

Game Overview

Espanyol, currently ranked 15th in LaLiga, is hosting Atlético Madrid, who are third in the league. Atlético Madrid leads the defensive lineup in LaLiga, allowing only 0.8 goals per match, while Espanyol ranks 16th offensively with an average of 1 goal per match.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid has a strong defensive record with a goal differential of +24, while Espanyol struggles with a goal differential of -13. Atlético Madrid also dominates in shot differential with +33, compared to Espanyol's -162.
  • In their last match, Atlético Madrid and Espanyol drew 0-0. Atlético Madrid generally outperforms Espanyol in head-to-head encounters.
  • No significant injury updates available for either team.
  • The match will be played at Espanyol's home ground, which might give them a slight motivational edge, but Atlético Madrid's superior form and team performance are expected to dominate.
  • Atlético Madrid has higher stakes in maintaining their third-place standing, while Espanyol seeks to improve their mid-table position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlético Madrid: -170, Espanyol: 500, Draw: 295 Atlético Madrid ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Atlético Madrid: -1 (+105), Espanyol: +1 (-125) Atlético Madrid -1 ★★☆☆☆ 45%
Over_under Over: 2.25 (-112), Under: 2.25 (-108) Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 52%

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid is expected to win due to their strong defensive record and higher team performance compared to Espanyol.

Predicted Score: Espanyol 0, Atlético Madrid 2


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Atlético Madrid vs. Barcelona Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-03-16
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Game Overview

Atlético Madrid hosts FC Barcelona in a crucial La Liga match. Both teams are in strong form, with Barcelona currently second in the league and Atlético Madrid close behind.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid has been consistent, with a record of 16 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses. Barcelona has been impressive as well, with 18 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses. Both teams have strong attacking forces, with Barcelona's Robert Lewandowski leading the scoring charts.
  • Recent matches between the two have been closely contested. In their last five encounters, Barcelona has generally had the upper hand, but Atlético Madrid has shown resilience, especially in their recent league win against Barcelona.
  • No significant injury updates are available for this match, but both teams are expected to field strong lineups.
  • The match is crucial for both teams' league standings and Champions League qualification. External factors like weather and crowd support could play a role, but both teams are accustomed to high-pressure games.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, with Atlético Madrid seeking to close the gap in the league and Barcelona aiming to maintain their position near the top.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlético Madrid: 210, Barcelona: 120, Draw: 265 Barcelona ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Atlético Madrid: 25 -110, Barcelona: -0.25 -110 Barcelona -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over 3: -110, Under 3: -110 Over 3 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Barcelona to win or draw.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Barcelona


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Getafe vs. Atlético Madrid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Getafe vs Atlético Madrid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-03-09
  • Time: 1:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Coliseum Alfonso Pérez

Game Overview

Getafe hosts Atlético Madrid in a La Liga match where Atlético Madrid is favored due to their strong form and head-to-head record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid is in excellent form, currently leading La Liga with 56 points, while Getafe is in mixed form, sitting 14th with 31 points. Atlético Madrid averages 2.14 goals per match, while Getafe averages 0.78.
  • In their head-to-head matches, Atlético Madrid has dominated with 31 wins out of 46 matches, while Getafe has won only 4 times.
  • No specific injury reports are available for this match.
  • The match is at Getafe's home ground, which might slightly favor them, but Atlético Madrid's away performance has been strong.
  • Atlético Madrid is highly motivated to maintain their lead in La Liga, while Getafe seeks to improve their standing and avoid relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlético Madrid: 105, Getafe: 320, Draw: 215 Atlético Madrid ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Atlético Madrid: -0.5 105, Getafe: 50 -125 Atlético Madrid -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over_under Over 2: 105, Under 2: -125 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid is likely to win due to their superior form and head-to-head record.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Atlético Madrid


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Atlético Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Atlético Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-03-01
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Civitas Metropolitano

Game Overview

Atlético Madrid and Athletic Bilbao face off in a crucial La Liga match. Atlético Madrid is currently third in the league with 53 points, while Athletic Bilbao is fourth with 48 points. Both teams have shown strong performances recently, with Atlético Madrid coming off a 3-0 win over Valencia and Athletic Bilbao securing a 7-1 victory over Real Valladolid.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid has been solid defensively, conceding only 0.6 goals per game, while Athletic Bilbao scores 1.8 goals per match. Atlético Madrid's recent form includes a draw with Barcelona and a win over Valencia, while Athletic Bilbao has had a mix of wins and draws.
  • In their last meeting, Atlético Madrid won 3-1 against Athletic Bilbao. However, Athletic Bilbao has shown improvement and resilience in recent matches.
  • No significant injury updates are available for this match, but both teams are expected to field strong lineups.
  • The match will be played at Atlético Madrid's home stadium, which could provide an advantage. However, Athletic Bilbao's recent form and confidence from their last win might counterbalance this.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, with Atlético Madrid aiming to stay in the top three and Athletic Bilbao seeking to secure a top-four spot.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Athletic Bilbao: 280, Atlético Madrid: 100, Draw: 230 Atlético Madrid ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Athletic Bilbao: 0.5 -128, Atlético Madrid: -0.5 108 Atlético Madrid -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over 2.25: -110, Under 2.25: -110 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Predicted Outcome

The match is expected to be closely contested, with a slight edge to Atlético Madrid due to their home advantage.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Atlético Madrid


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Valencia vs. Atlético Madrid Prediction – February 22, 2025 La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Valencia vs Atlético Madrid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-02-22
  • Time: 5:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Mestalla

Game Overview

Valencia, currently 18th in LaLiga, hosts third-placed Atlético Madrid. Valencia has struggled this season, while Atlético Madrid has been consistent, with a strong defensive record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid has been performing well, with 50 points from 24 games, while Valencia has only 23 points. Atlético Madrid's defense is one of the best in the league, conceding just 16 goals.
  • In their last meeting, Atlético Madrid won 3-0 against Valencia. Atlético has shown dominance in recent encounters.
  • No specific injury reports are available for this match.
  • The match is at Valencia's home ground, which could provide some advantage, but Atlético's away form has been strong.
  • Atlético Madrid is highly motivated to maintain their position in the league, while Valencia needs points to avoid relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlético Madrid: -115, Valencia: 333, Draw: 240 Atlético Madrid ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Atlético Madrid: -0.5 -108, Valencia: 0.5 -112 Atlético Madrid -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over_under Over 2.5: 115, Under 2.5: -150 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid is likely to win due to their superior form and defensive strength.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Atlético Madrid


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