Match Analysis: Middlesbrough vs Leeds United – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 8 April 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough, England
Game Overview
Middlesbrough and Leeds United face off in a crucial Championship match. Both teams have different forms and objectives. Middlesbrough seeks to capitalize on their recent home victories to enhance their playoff prospects, while Leeds United aims to regain their automatic promotion momentum.
Key Factors to Consider
- Middlesbrough are on a three-game winning streak at home, while Leeds United have struggled with three consecutive draws. Middlesbrough have scored more goals at home than away.
- Leeds United have generally dominated Middlesbrough with more wins historically, but recent encounters have shown close matches. Middlesbrough did win an EFL Cup tie against Leeds this season.
- Middlesbrough are missing several key defenders, including Dael Fry and Luke Ayling, while Leeds United have recently welcomed back injured players like Patrick Bamford.
- Weather conditions are not likely to affect the game significantly, with low temperatures but minimal wind and precipitation expected.
- Both teams are highly motivated due to the promotion stakes. Middlesbrough need to secure a strong playoff position, while Leeds aim to reclaim an automatic spot.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence | EV Pick |
---|---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Middlesbrough: 350, Leeds United: -140, Draw: 275 | Middlesbrough To Win | ★★★☆☆ 60% | Middlesbrough To Win -100% |
Spread | Leeds United: -0.75 -105, Middlesbrough: 75 -115 | Middlesbrough +0.75 | ★★★☆☆ 55% | Middlesbrough +0.75 -100% |
Over_under | Over 2.5: -120, Under 2.5: 100 | Over 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% | Over 2.5 -100% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Leeds United 103% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 1% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Leeds United at 103% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Middlesbrough 2-1 Leeds United
Predicted Score: 2-1