Match Analysis: Santos vs Bahia – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-06
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos, BRA
Game Overview
Santos hosts Bahia in the Brazilian Serie A. Both teams are early in the season with varying performances in their previous games. Santos recently lost to Vasco da Gama, while Bahia had a draw against Corinthians.
Key Factors to Consider
- Santos has a recent loss, and Bahia has managed draws. Historical stats favor Santos slightly.
- Recent head-to-head matches between Santos and Bahia have been closely contested, with Santos having an edge.
- Santos' star player Neymar is recovering from an injury and might miss the game, which could impact Santos' performance significantly.
- Weather conditions and home advantage might favor Santos.
- Bahia, looking for their first win, might be highly motivated, but Santos will be keen to improve their home record.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence | EV Pick |
---|---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Santos: 115, Bahia: 265, Draw: 220 | Santos to win | ★★★☆☆ 55% | Santos to win -100% |
Spread | Santos: -0.25 -120, Bahia: 25 100 | Bahia to cover | ★★★☆☆ 52% | Bahia to cover -100% |
Over_under | Over: 2.25 100, Under: 2.25 -120 | Under 2.25 goals | ★★★☆☆ 58% | Under 2.25 goals -100% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Santos -10% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 1% |
Predicted Outcome
Santos might edge this game due to home advantage and past performance, but Bahia's motivation could lead to a close contest.
Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Santos