Match Analysis: VfL Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-11
- Time: 6:30 PM UTC
- Location: Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg
Game Overview
This match pits fifth-place RB Leipzig against twelfth-place VfL Wolfsburg in the 2024-25 Bundesliga. RB Leipzig seeks to improve its position while Wolfsburg aims to move up the table.
Key Factors to Consider
- RB Leipzig has a solid defense, allowing 1.3 goals per game, while scoring 1.6. VfL Wolfsburg scores 1.8 goals per match but concedes 1.5.
- Recently, RB Leipzig beat Wolfsburg 1-0 in the German Cup. However, they also lost 1-5 in their last Bundesliga meeting.
- No significant injury reports have been mentioned for either team.
- Home advantage might slightly favor Wolfsburg, but Leipzig's overall performance this season has been stronger.
- RB Leipzig has more to lose in terms of table positioning, which could motivate them to secure a win.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | RB Leipzig: 145, VfL Wolfsburg: 170, Draw: 270 | RB Leipzig to win | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Spread | RB Leipzig 0 -120, VfL Wolfsburg 0 100 | RB Leipzig to cover the spread | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Over_under | Over 2.75 -118, Under 2.75 -102 | Over 2.75 | ★★★☆☆ 52% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | RB Leipzig 3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.75 -2% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: RB Leipzig at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given RB Leipzig's recent form and VfL Wolfsburg's inconsistent performance, RB Leipzig is slightly favored to win.
Predicted Score: VfL Wolfsburg 1 – 2 RB Leipzig