Match Analysis: Venezia vs Monza – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-12
- Time: 1:00 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venice, Italy
Game Overview
This Serie A match between Venezia and Monza features two teams struggling at the bottom of the league table. Venezia ranks 19th, while Monza is in 20th place. Venezia has been favored due to their slightly better form and home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both teams are currently in poor form. Venezia has a slight edge with more wins and draws, but Monza has shown some resilience in close matches.
- Historically, Venezia has a slight edge over Monza, especially at home. In their last eight home meetings, Venezia won four and drew two against Monza.
- Monza and Venezia both have injuries to key players like Matteo Pessina for Venezia and Alfred Duncan for Venezia.
- Home field advantage could significantly boost Venezia’s chances. Monza has struggled in away games.
- Both teams are highly motivated to secure points and move up the table.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Monza: +390, Venezia: -135, Draw: +275 | Venezia Win | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Spread | Monza: +75 -115, Venezia: -0.75 -105 | Venezia Cover | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over_under | Over 2.25: -120, Under 2.25: +100 | Under 2.25 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Venezia -7% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 10% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Venezia is likely to win due to their home advantage and slightly better form compared to Monza.
Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Venezia