Match Analysis: Vasco da Gama vs Sport Recife – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: April 13, 2025
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Game Overview
Vasco da Gama, currently 11th in the Brasileiro Serie A, faces Sport Recife, who sits in 19th place. Vasco da Gama seeks to bounce back after a recent loss, while Sport Recife looks to improve their league position.
Key Factors to Consider
- Vasco da Gama has been strong at home, winning their last four matches against Sport Recife. Sport Recife, though, has shown resilience with several wins in recent matches.
- Vasco da Gama has won 9 of the 17 head-to-head matches, with Sport Recife winning 3 and 5 ending in draws.
- Vasco da Gama has Guilherme Estrella and David sidelined, while Sport Recife is missing Gonçalo Paciência, Dalbert, Rafael Thyere, and Zé Roberto.
- The home advantage for Vasco da Gama and the recent form of both teams will play significant roles.
- Vasco da Gama is motivated to climb the league table, while Sport Recife seeks to avoid further relegation threats.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Vasco da Gama: -110, Sport Recife: 320, Draw: 240 | Vasco da Gama | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | Vasco da Gama: -0.5 -105, Sport Recife: 50 -115 | Vasco da Gama | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over_under | Over 2.5: 132, Under 2.5: -160 | Under 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Vasco da Gama 1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 1% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Vasco da Gama at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Vasco da Gama is likely to win based on home performance and recent form.
Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Vasco da Gama