Match Analysis: Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: April 19, 2025
- Time: 9:30 PM UTC
- Location: São Januário, Rio de Janeiro
Game Overview
The match between Vasco da Gama and Flamengo is a highly anticipated Brazilian Serie A fixture. Vasco da Gama currently holds 6 points with a record of 2-0-1, while Flamengo has 4 points with a record of 1-1-0.
Key Factors to Consider
- Vasco da Gama has shown strong form in the league, winning two of their three games, but faces a tough opponent. Flamengo is known for its attacking prowess and depth, although they have had a mixed start.
- In recent meetings, Flamengo has dominated, including a 2-1 win in the Campeonato Carioca on March 8, 2025, and a 6-1 victory in Serie A last June.
- There is no detailed information available on injuries for either team.
- The match will take place in Rio de Janeiro, with weather conditions not likely to impact the game significantly.
- Both teams are motivated to gain points in the early stages of the season, but Flamengo's recent performances against Vasco da Gama give them a psychological edge.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -170 Flamengo, 500 Vasco da Gama, 290 Draw | Flamengo win | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Spread | -1 Flamengo 105, +1 Vasco da Gama -125 | Flamengo to cover | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 2.25 -118, Under 2.25 -102 | Over 2.25 goals | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Flamengo 3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.25 -4% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Flamengo at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Flamengo's recent dominance and strong team performance, they are likely to win this match.
Predicted Score: Flamengo 2-1 Vasco da Gama