Match Analysis: Swansea City vs Plymouth Argyle – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-09
- Time: 6:45 PM UTC
- Location: Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea, Wales
Game Overview
Swansea City faces Plymouth Argyle in an English Football League Championship match. Swansea has a slight edge given their home support and recent performances, but Plymouth has shown resilience in their outings.
Key Factors to Consider
- Swansea City is currently ranked 13th with a form of DWLLD, while Plymouth Argyle is ranked 21st with a form of LLWLD. Swansea's recent performance at home gives them an advantage.
- In their last 11 meetings, Swansea City won 8 times, with Plymouth winning once. This historical data leans towards Swansea having a higher chance of winning.
- No specific injury reports have been highlighted for this match, though both teams will aim to field their best lineups.
- Weather conditions could affect gameplay, but as there are no extreme forecasts reported, it is unlikely to be a significant factor.
- Both teams need points, but Plymouth's relegation worries may add to their motivation to earn a result away from home.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence | EV Pick |
---|---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Swansea City -155, Plymouth Argyle 420, Draw 270 | Swansea City | ★★★★☆ 75% | Swansea City -100% |
Spread | Swansea City -0.75 -122, Plymouth Argyle 75 102 | Swansea City -0.75 | ★★★☆☆ 65% | Swansea City -0.75 -100% |
Over_under | Over 2.5 102, Under 2.5 -122 | Under 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% | Under 2.5 -100% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Swansea City -5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 9% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the team dynamics and recent performances, Swansea City is likely to win this match.
Predicted Score: Swansea City 1-0 Plymouth Argyle