Match Analysis: Strasbourg vs Saint Etienne – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-26
- Time: 3:00 PM UTC
- Location: Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg, France
Game Overview
The Ligue 1 match features Strasbourg hosting Saint Etienne. Strasbourg, currently 7th in the league with 51 points, seeks to solidify their position outside European qualification spots. Saint Etienne sits precariously at 17th with 27 points, fighting to escape the relegation zone. Strasbourg come into this match undefeated in their last 10 league games, showcasing strong form, while Saint Etienne has found away matches challenging. Strasbourg is favored to win based on recent form and head-to-head statistics.
Key Factors to Consider
- Strasbourg has been in excellent form, undefeated in their last 10 league matches and boasting a 50% win rate in their last 6 home games. Saint Etienne, in contrast, has lost 50% of their last 6 away matches, reflecting struggles on the road.
- In the last 6 meetings, Strasbourg has won 50% of the matches against Saint Etienne. Notably, Saint Etienne defeated Strasbourg 2-0 in their last encounter on November 2, 2024, but Strasbourg has generally dominated the head-to-head in recent times.
- No specific injury data is available from the current information, but it is critical to monitor lineups close to matchday for potential absences that might impact either side's effectiveness.
- Playing at home in Stade de la Meinau gives Strasbourg an advantage, coupled with their strong home form. The relegation pressure on Saint Etienne adds psychological stress but might also motivate them to perform fiercely.
- Strasbourg aims to maintain a strong standing and possibly secure European qualification, while Saint Etienne is motivated by the urgent need to collect points to avoid relegation, increasing the competitive tension of the match.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | strasbourg: -165, saint_etienne: 390, draw: 350 | Strasbourg win | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | strasbourg_-1: -102, saint_etienne_+1: -118 | Strasbourg -1 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | over_3: -118, under_3: -102 | Under 3 goals | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Strasbourg -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 3 15% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Strasbourg is predicted to win based on their strong home form, superior league position, and recent head-to-head dominance, with Saint Etienne struggling away from home and under relegation pressure.
Predicted Score: 2-0
