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Santa Clara vs. Arouca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Santa Clara vs Arouca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-26
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada, Portugal

Game Overview

The upcoming Primeira Liga match between Santa Clara and Arouca will take place at Estadio de São Miguel. Santa Clara, mid-table with 47 points, have shown mixed recent form with 2 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw in their last 5 games. Arouca are lower in the table with 33 points and a recent run of 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses. Historically, encounters between these teams have been competitive with a slight edge to Arouca in total wins but Santa Clara stronger at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Santa Clara has a balanced goals scored and conceded record (29:29) and has been solid at home. Arouca has conceded significantly more goals (30:45) and have struggled on the road. Santa Clara's recent home form is better with 2 wins and a draw in last 5 home games versus Arouca's inconsistent away performance.
  • In 18 meetings since 2010, Santa Clara won 3 times, Arouca 9 times, with 6 draws. At home, Santa Clara has 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses against Arouca in last 8 home meetings. The most common result is 0-1 favoring Arouca. Recent matches have been tight.
  • No specific injury updates available from current data. Both teams likely to field strong lineups.
  • The match is played at Santa Clara’s home ground, giving them home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be normal with no disruptions.
  • Santa Clara need points to solidify mid-table position and potentially push higher, while Arouca will fight to avoid further slide down the table. Both teams have motivation but Santa Clara's home advantage and recent form provide better incentive.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Santa Clara: -105, Draw: 215, Arouca: 300 Santa Clara Win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Santa Clara -0.5: 102, Arouca +50: -122 Santa Clara -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: 105, Under 2.25: -125 Under 2.25 Goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Santa Clara 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Santa Clara to win in a close, low-scoring match.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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CF Estrela vs. FC Porto Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: CF Estrela vs FC Porto – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-26
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Jose Gomes, Amadora, Portugal

Game Overview

CF Estrela Amadora is set to face FC Porto in a Primeira Liga match. Estrela Amadora is struggling, ranking 15th, while Porto is chasing a top-three finish, having strong recent performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Estrela Amadora has struggled with form, losing four of their last six games and averaging under one goal per match. Porto, despite a recent loss, has won four of their last six league matches.
  • Porto is unbeaten in the last four meetings with Estrela Amadora, winning three and drawing one. Estrela Amadora has failed to score in these encounters.
  • No specific injury information is provided, but it could impact the match if significant players are missing.
  • Motivation for Porto to secure a top-three finish could be a significant external factor.
  • Porto is highly motivated to secure a top-three spot, while Estrela Amadora seeks to improve their standing and avoid relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline CF Estrela +500, FC Porto -185, Draw +295 FC Porto ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread CF Estrela +1 -112, FC Porto -1 -108 FC Porto -1 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 +100, Under 2.5 -120 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Porto 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

FC Porto is likely to win due to their stronger recent performance and the historical head-to-head advantage.

Predicted Score: 1-0 to FC Porto


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Gil Vicente vs. SC Farense Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Gil Vicente vs SC Farense – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 26 Apr 2025
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos, Portugal

Game Overview

Gil Vicente hosts SC Farense in a closely contested Primeira Liga matchup, with recent head-to-head results showing a balanced rivalry (3 wins each, 1 draw in 7 meetings). Gil Vicente won their most recent encounter 1-0 on December 14, 2024[2], but recent form discrepancies exist in the data (sources conflict on last 5 results for Gil Vicente, while Farense shows 1W-1D-3L)[3].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Conflicting data: One source shows Gil Vicente lost their last 5 games[3], but this directly contradicts their 1-0 win over Farense in December 2024[2]. Current season standings unavailable for precise analysis.
  • Perfect parity with 3 wins each (1 draw) in 7 meetings[3], including a recent Gil Vicente victory[2]. Goals per match historically low (2.14 average)[3].
  • No specific injury reports available in provided data.
  • Home advantage for Gil Vicente at Estadio Cidade de Barcelos[1], though historical head-to-head doesn't show strong home dominance.
  • Mid-table positioning likely for both teams based on limited standings data[5], but exact league positions unavailable.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gil Vicente +130 | Draw +205 | SC Farense +225 Gil Vicente/Draw (double chance) ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Gil Vicente -0.25 (-105) | SC Farense +25 (-115) SC Farense +0.25 (cover) ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.25 (+105) | Under 2.25 (-125) Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gil Vicente -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Value lies with home side given recent head-to-head success and slightly shorter odds, but low-scoring affair expected. Draw remains strong possibility given historical parity.

Predicted Score: 1-1 draw


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Famalicão vs. Braga Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Famalicão vs Braga – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 25 Apr 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Municipal de Famalicao, Vila Nova de Famalicao, Portugal

Game Overview

The match between Famalicão and Sporting Braga in the Portuguese Primeira Liga pits two teams with contrasting recent performances. Famalicão, while struggling in the league, has shown resilience in head-to-head matchups, while Braga is consistently strong. The game is crucial for Braga's position in the standings, potentially impacting their European qualification hopes.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Braga has been more consistent throughout the season compared to Famalicão. However, Famalicão's recent form against top-tier teams suggests potential for surprises.
  • Historically, Braga has the upper hand, but recent matches have been competitive, with Famalicão winning some key confrontations.
  • No significant injury reports have been highlighted for either team, but any last-minute absences could impact performance.
  • Home advantage could boost Famalicão, while Braga's pressure to maintain their position in the league could influence their strategy.
  • Both teams have strong motivations—Famalicão to upset and gain points, Braga to solidify their league standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Braga: 115, Famalicão: 235, Draw: 225 Draw or Braga win, given odds ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Braga: -0.25 -115, Famalicão: 25 -105 Braga to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 2.25 -118, Under: 2.25 -102 Over 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Braga -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 -4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Braga at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Braga's stronger season performance and historical edge, they are favored, but Famalicão's resilience and home advantage make this a competitive match.

Predicted Score: 2-1 Braga


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Vitória SC vs. Benfica Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Vitória SC vs Benfica – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 19 Apr 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimaraes, Portugal

Game Overview

This match between Vitória SC and Benfica is crucial for both teams' positions in the Primeira Liga. Benfica, currently second, seeks to maintain their position, while Vitória SC aims to consolidate their fifth place.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica has performed exceptionally well this season, boasting 22 wins out of 29 matches. Vitória SC has shown resilience with 12 wins and 12 draws in 29 games.
  • Historically, Benfica has dominated with 42 wins out of 59 matches against Vitória SC, who have won 7 games. The recent head-to-head shows Benfica's superiority.
  • No specific injury information is provided for this match, but both teams generally have a strong lineup.
  • Home advantage may slightly favor Vitória SC, but Benfica's overall form suggests they are less affected by away games.
  • Both teams are highly motivated. Benfica to maintain their title chase, and Vitória SC to secure a European spot.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Benfica: -165, Vitória SC: 440, Draw: 280 Benfica ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Benfica: -0.75 -125, Vitória SC: 75 105 Benfica -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2.5: -108, Under 2.5: -112 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benfica is likely to win due to their strong historical performance and current season form.

Predicted Score: Vitória SC 1 – 2 Benfica


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Arouca vs. CF Estrela Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Arouca vs CF Estrela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-19
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca, Portugal

Game Overview

This match between Arouca and CF Estrela Amadora is a crucial fixture in the Portuguese Primeira Liga. Both teams are towards the lower end of the league table, with Arouca in 12th place after recent corrections and Estrela Amadora in a similar position, highlighting the match's importance for both teams to secure better standings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Arouca has a mixed record with 7 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses, while Estrela Amadora has 5 wins, 8 draws, and 13 losses. Arouca generally performs better at home.
  • Recent head-to-head matches show Estrela Amadora won 2-1 in their last meeting, but Arouca has a strong history of scoring against Estrela.
  • No specific injuries mentioned for this match.
  • Weather conditions and home advantage might influence Arouca's performance.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to gain points and improve their league standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arouca: -105, CF Estrela: 290, Draw: 220 Arouca ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Arouca: -0.5 102, CF Estrela: 50 -122 Arouca -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 2.25 -112, Under: 2.25 -108 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arouca -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Arouca is likely to win given their home advantage and recent form compared to Estrela Amadora.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Arouca


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Estoril vs. Braga Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Estoril vs Braga – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-19
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril, Portugal

Game Overview

Estoril Praia, currently 9th in the Liga Portugal Betclic, hosts Sporting Braga, who are 3rd in the league. Braga has a strong head-to-head record, having won 17 out of 24 matches against Estoril. Braga's consistent performance and Estoril's fluctuating results suggest a challenging match for the home team.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Braga is significantly stronger, with more wins and points in the current season, boasting top scorers like R. Horta and Bruma. Estoril, while capable of surprises, struggles with consistency.
  • Braga dominates the head-to-head record with 17 wins compared to Estoril's 3. However, recent matches show Estoril improving slightly.
  • Miguel Ângelo da Silva Rocha from Estoril is noted with injury concerns, which may affect the team's midfield.
  • Home advantage could help Estoril, but Braga's form makes them favorites.
  • Braga is highly motivated to maintain a strong league position, potentially pushing them for a Champions League spot.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Braga: -105; Estoril: 280; Draw: 230 Braga ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Braga: -0.5 102; Estoril: 50 -122 Braga (-0.5) ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: 2.5 100; Under: 2.5 -120 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Braga 17%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Braga at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Braga is likely to win due to their superior form and head-to-head record.

Predicted Score: Estoril 0-2 Braga


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AVS Futebol SAD vs. Casa Pia Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: AVS Futebol SAD vs Casa Pia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-19
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do CD das Aves, Vila das Aves, Portugal

Game Overview

This match between AVS Futebol SAD and Casa Pia is part of the Portuguese Primeira Liga. AVS Futebol SAD ranks 16th, while Casa Pia holds the 8th position in the league.

Key Factors to Consider

  • AVS Futebol SAD has had a difficult season with more losses than wins, while Casa Pia has shown more consistency but struggles against lower-ranked teams.
  • There is limited recent head-to-head history, with one draw between the teams this season.
  • No significant injuries reported, though up-to-date information might not be available.
  • Form and recent performances will likely influence team strategy and motivation.
  • Casa Pia, being higher in the standings, has greater motivation to secure points and maintain their league position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline AVS Futebol SAD: +190, Casa Pia: -150, Draw: +200 Casa Pia ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread AVS Futebol SAD: +0 105, Casa Pia: -0 -125 Casa Pia ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2: -128, Under 2: +108 Under ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Casa Pia 38%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Casa Pia at 38% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Casa Pia's better league position and performance, they are likely to win, though the draw is not unlikely given AVS Futebol SAD's home advantage.

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Nacional vs. Gil Vicente Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Nacional vs Gil Vicente – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-19
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio da Madeira, Funchal

Game Overview

CD Nacional hosts Gil Vicente in a crucial Liga Portugal match on April 19, 2025. Both teams are struggling in the league, with Nacional ranked 11th and Gil Vicente 14th. Recent performances indicate that Nacional may face defensive challenges, while Gil Vicente has shown inconsistent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nacional has eight wins, five draws, and fourteen losses. Gil Vicente has six wins, eight draws, and thirteen losses. Nacional's recent loss to Santa Clara influenced morale, while Gil Vicente boosted confidence with a win over Boavista.
  • Gil Vicente won the recent encounter 2-1, and historically, they have shown mixed results against Nacional.
  • No detailed injury reports are available, but any absences could impact team strategies.
  • Home advantage might favor Nacional, but Gil Vicente's recent win could give them an edge.
  • Both teams are motivated to improve their league standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nacional: 140, Gil Vicente: 210, Draw: 200 Nacional win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Gil Vicente: 25 -125, Nacional: -0.25 105 Cover Nacional -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 2.25 -105, Under: 2.25 -115 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nacional 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nacional is favored due to home advantage and recent form improvement needs, though Gil Vicente's confidence boost could lead to an upset.

Predicted Score: 1-0 to Nacional


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Sporting Lisbon vs. Moreirense FC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sporting Lisbon vs Moreirense FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: April 18, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio José Alvalade

Game Overview

Sporting Lisbon, currently leading the league, faces Moreirense FC, who are positioned mid-table. This match is expected to be challenging given Sporting's strong home performance against Moreirense's struggle away from home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sporting Lisbon has a superior record, having won all their last eight home matches against Moreirense. Moreirense has only won three of their last 16 league games.
  • Sporting Lisbon has dominated with 20 wins in 27 league encounters against Moreirense.
  • No specific injury reports available for this match.
  • No significant external factors reported that would impact the game.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure a positive result, with Sporting aiming to maintain their league lead and Moreirense seeking to improve their standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon -400, Moreirense FC 1000, Draw 460 Sporting Lisbon win Not available
Spread Moreirense FC +1.75 -118, Sporting Lisbon -1.75 -102 Sporting Lisbon to cover Not available
Over_under Over 2.75 -120, Under 2.75 100 Over 2.75 Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon is predicted to win, given their strong home performance and historical dominance over Moreirense.

Predicted Score: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Moreirense FC


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