Match Analysis: Real Sociedad vs Mallorca – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: April 12, 2025
- Time: 12:00 PM UTC
- Location: Reale Arena, San Sebastian, Spain
Game Overview
Real Sociedad hosts Mallorca in a La Liga match. Real Sociedad is coming off a 3-1 win over UD Las Palmas, while Mallorca lost 2-1 to RC Celta de Vigo. This match is crucial for both teams to improve their standings in the league.
Key Factors to Consider
- Real Sociedad ranks eighth in La Liga with a goal differential of -2. Mallorca is tenth with a goal differential of -8. Real Sociedad has scored 30 goals, while Mallorca has scored 29.
- Historically, Real Sociedad has performed well against Mallorca at home, with a common result being 1-0. In their last 20 home matches against Mallorca, Real Sociedad has won 15 times.
- Both teams have injuries but specific names are not highlighted as significant factors for this match. For Real Sociedad, Alvaro Odriozola is missing, and Brais Mendez is also out. Mallorca does not have reported injuries affecting this matchup significantly.
- The home advantage is a significant factor for Real Sociedad. However, Mallorca's away form has shown resilience.
- Both teams are motivated to win and improve their league standings. Real Sociedad seeks to secure a higher position, while Mallorca aims to move up from the tenth spot.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Real Sociedad: -125, Mallorca: 400, Draw: 240 | Real Sociedad win | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Spread | Real Sociedad: -0.5 -125, Mallorca: 50 105 | Real Sociedad covers the spread | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over_under | Over 2: -110, Under 2: -110 | Under 2 goals | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Real Sociedad -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2 5% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Real Sociedad is likely to win given their home advantage and past performance against Mallorca.
Predicted Score: 1-0 for Real Sociedad