Match Analysis: Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: April 19, 2025
- Time: 12:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid
Game Overview
Rayo Vallecano, currently ranked 10th with 40 points, is hosting 13th-placed Valencia with 37 points in La Liga. Rayo Vallecano is looking to sweep the season series against Valencia.
Key Factors to Consider
- Rayo Vallecano has scored 34 goals and allowed 40, while Valencia has scored fewer goals (33) but conceded more (45). Rayo Vallecano has a -4 goal differential compared to Valencia's -12.
- In their last match, Rayo Vallecano won 1-0 against Valencia on December 7, 2024.
- No detailed injury reports are available for this match.
- Recent performances show Valencia has secured crucial wins, including a 1-0 victory over Sevilla, while Rayo Vallecano lost 3-1 to Athletic Bilbao.
- Both teams are motivated to improve their standings. Rayo Vallecano wants to maintain its position above Valencia.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Rayo Vallecano: 130, Valencia: 230, Draw: 215 | Rayo Vallecano to win | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Spread | Rayo Vallecano -0.25: -102, Valencia 25: -118 | Rayo Vallecano to cover -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Over_under | Over 2: -125, Under 2: 105 | Under 2 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Rayo Vallecano -3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2 13% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Rayo Vallecano has a slight edge due to home advantage and recent head-to-head success.
Predicted Score: Rayo Vallecano 1, Valencia 0