Match Analysis: Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-26
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: GEODIS Park, Nashville, TN
Game Overview
The MLS match between Nashville SC and Chicago Fire is set for April 26, 2025, at GEODIS Park. Nashville SC comes into this game with strong home advantage and recent consistent home performances. Chicago Fire, currently with a record of 3-2-2 this season, recently lost 2-1 at New York Red Bulls, showing some susceptibility on the road but competitive spirit. Both teams have shown ability to score and concede goals, suggesting an open and competitive match.
Key Factors to Consider
- Nashville SC performs well at home with solid attacking and defensive balance. Chicago Fire has a slightly mixed record but remains competitive, particularly in away fixtures where they have shown resilience despite recent losses.
- Recent head-to-head encounters have been competitive; however, Nashville SC holds home advantage and has historically performed better in this fixture, which may influence the outcome.
- No significant injury updates have been reported for either side, indicating both teams should be near full strength for the match.
- Playing at GEODIS Park provides Nashville SC a strong home crowd advantage. Weather and pitch conditions appear standard for late April in Nashville, unlikely to impact gameplay.
- Nashville SC is motivated to capitalize on home advantage and build on their regular season momentum. Chicago Fire aims to recover from recent losses and improve their away form, maintaining playoff aspirations.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | chicago_fire: 300, nashville_sc: -115, draw: 275 | Nashville SC win | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Spread | chicago_fire_+50: -105, nashville_sc_-0.5: -115 | Nashville SC -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | over_2.75: -118, under_2.75: -102 | Over 2.75 goals | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Nashville SC 3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.75 2% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Nashville SC at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Nashville SC is favored to win at home given stronger home form and recent performance trends. A close match is expected, with Nashville likely to edge out Chicago Fire.
Predicted Score: 2-1