Match Analysis: Nacional vs Gil Vicente – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-19
- Time: 2:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio da Madeira, Funchal
Game Overview
CD Nacional hosts Gil Vicente in a crucial Liga Portugal match on April 19, 2025. Both teams are struggling in the league, with Nacional ranked 11th and Gil Vicente 14th. Recent performances indicate that Nacional may face defensive challenges, while Gil Vicente has shown inconsistent form.
Key Factors to Consider
- Nacional has eight wins, five draws, and fourteen losses. Gil Vicente has six wins, eight draws, and thirteen losses. Nacional's recent loss to Santa Clara influenced morale, while Gil Vicente boosted confidence with a win over Boavista.
- Gil Vicente won the recent encounter 2-1, and historically, they have shown mixed results against Nacional.
- No detailed injury reports are available, but any absences could impact team strategies.
- Home advantage might favor Nacional, but Gil Vicente's recent win could give them an edge.
- Both teams are motivated to improve their league standings.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Nacional: 140, Gil Vicente: 210, Draw: 200 | Nacional win | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Spread | Gil Vicente: 25 -125, Nacional: -0.25 105 | Cover Nacional -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Over/under | Over: 2.25 -105, Under: 2.25 -115 | Under 2.25 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Nacional 8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 8% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Nacional is favored due to home advantage and recent form improvement needs, though Gil Vicente's confidence boost could lead to an upset.
Predicted Score: 1-0 to Nacional