Match Analysis: Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-27
- Time: 3:30 PM UTC
- Location: Anfield, Liverpool
Game Overview
Liverpool needs one point to secure the Premier League title, facing a struggling Tottenham side with back-to-back losses. Anfield's home advantage and Liverpool's dominant season position them as heavy favorites.
Key Factors to Consider
- Liverpool has demonstrated tactical discipline and squad depth under Arne Slot, while Tottenham's defensive fragility and poor away form have persisted[2][5].
- Liverpool dominated Tottenham 6-3 in their previous encounter this season[5].
- Tottenham's Heung-min Son (foot) is likely absent, exacerbating their attacking deficiencies. Radu Dragusin is also sidelined[2].
- Anfield's high-stakes atmosphere with Liverpool on the brink of a title-clinching result[3].
- Liverpool requires only a draw to win the league, while Tottenham risks falling to 17th with another loss[2][5].
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Liverpool -400 | Tottenham +790 | Draw +530 | Liverpool (ML) | ★★★★★ 90% |
Spread | Liverpool -1.5 (-151) | Tottenham +1.5 (+114) | Liverpool -1.5 | ★★★★☆ 80% |
Over/under | Over 3.5 (-127) | Under 3.5 (-104) | Over 3.5 | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Liverpool -6% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3.5 16% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Liverpool to win comfortably, covering the spread with a high-scoring outcome.
Predicted Score: 4-1 Liverpool[2]