Match Analysis: Lazio vs AS Roma – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 13 April 2025
- Time: 6:45 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Olimpico, Rome, Italy
Game Overview
The Lazio vs. AS Roma match is a crucial Derby della Capitale in the Serie A, with both teams vying for a top-four finish. The match is expected to be intense given the historical rivalry between the two clubs.
Key Factors to Consider
- Lazio have been unbeaten in their last nine 'home' matches against Roma, but Roma have had a strong run under Claudio Ranieri, being unbeaten in 15 league matches.
- Recent head-to-head matches show Roma aiming to continue their form, while Lazio seeks to maintain their unbeaten 'home' streak against Roma.
- Lazio will be without Patric and Nuno Tavares, while Roma misses Saud Abdulhamid and Paulo Dybala.
- The intense rivalry and high stakes for European qualification add significant pressure and motivation for both teams.
- Both teams are highly motivated, with Lazio looking to continue their home dominance and Roma seeking a league double over Lazio.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Lazio: 180, AS Roma: 160, Draw: 225 | Draw | ★★☆☆☆ 42% |
Spread | AS Roma: 0 -118, Lazio: 0 -102 | X2 (Draw or Roma) | ★★★★☆ 82% |
Over_under | Over: 2.25 -118, Under: 2.25 -102 | Over 2.25 | ★★★☆☆ 66% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Draw 40% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.25 5% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Draw at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Roma's recent form and the draw's high probability, the draw seems likely. However, Roma's chances are bolstered by their performance under Claudio Ranieri.
Predicted Score: 2-2