Match Analysis: Juventus vs Monza – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 27 Apr 2025
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Allianz Stadium, Turin, Italy
Game Overview
Juventus (5th in Serie A) hosts Monza (20th) in a match where Juventus seeks a season-series sweep after their 2-1 away win in December 2024. Juventus holds a significant quality and table-position advantage, while Monza struggles with form and league standing.
Key Factors to Consider
- Juventus has shown mixed recent form (W-L-D-W-L), while Monza is on a poor run (L-L-L-D-L). Juventus has scored 46 goals this season compared to Monza's 24 and has a stronger defensive record[1][4].
- Juventus won their previous encounter 2-1[2], maintaining historical dominance over Monza.
- No specific injury data available in provided sources.
- Home advantage for Juventus at Allianz Stadium, where they've been stronger this season[3][5].
- Juventus fighting for potential European qualification, Monza battling relegation desperation.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Juventus -550 | Draw 600 | Monza 1300 | Juventus win | ★★★★☆ 85% |
Spread | Juventus -2 (100) | Monza +2 (-120) | Juventus -2 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 3 (-110) | Under 3 (-110) | Under 3 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Juventus -8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 3 -1% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Juventus should control possession and create more scoring opportunities against Monza's leaky defense. Likelihood of multiple goals for home side given attacking quality.
Predicted Score: 2-0 Juventus