Match Analysis: Ipswich Town vs Arsenal – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: April 20, 2025
- Time: 1:00 PM UTC
- Location: Portman Road, Ipswich
Game Overview
Arsenal (2nd, 63 pts) faces relegation-threatened Ipswich Town (18th, 21 pts) in a Premier League clash. Arsenal seeks to maintain Champions League qualification momentum, while Ipswich fights for survival.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ipswich has 6 consecutive home losses and 1 clean sheet all season. Arsenal is unbeaten in 11 away EPL matches and has scored in 9 straight games[3][5].
- Arsenal holds 5 wins in last 7 meetings, including a 1-0 victory in December 2024[2][5]. The Gunners have kept clean sheets in their last 4 league matches against Ipswich[5].
- Ipswich's Jaden Philogene (MCL concern) and Kalvin Phillips (Achilles) are doubts[3]. Arsenal's Ben White (undisclosed) was recently benched but Partey returned[3].
- Ipswich's defense has conceded 2+ goals in 6 straight home games[5]. Arsenal averages 1.98 goals/game recently with 74% of shots coming inside the box[5].
- Arsenal must win to stay in title contention, while Ipswich needs points to escape the relegation zone[2][5].
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Arsenal -250 | Ipswich +620 | Draw +370 | Arsenal win | ★★★★☆ 85% |
Spread | Arsenal -1.5 (+110) | Ipswich +1.5 (-146) | Arsenal -1.5 covers | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 (-143) | Under 2.5 (+108) | Over 2.5 goals | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Arsenal 1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 7% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Arsenal to win comfortably given their superior form and Ipswich's defensive vulnerabilities
Predicted Score: 0-3 Arsenal