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Independiente del Valle vs. River Plate Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Independiente del Valle vs River Plate – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-23
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Sangolquí (presumed home venue for Independiente del Valle)

Game Overview

Crucial Group B match where Independiente del Valle (3 points) seeks a home win to challenge group co-leaders River Plate (4 points). River aims to solidify its position atop the group.

Key Factors to Consider

  • River Plate leads the group with 4 points alongside Barcelona SC. Independiente del Valle trails closely with 3 points, making this a pivotal match for knockout stage qualification[4].
  • No explicit historical data provided in sources, making this encounter potentially decisive in establishing a competitive dynamic.
  • No injury reports available in provided sources.
  • Home advantage for Independiente del Valle, with players emphasizing the need to capitalize on local support[4].
  • Independiente’s defender Hoyos stated: 'Vamos a ganar a River Plate,' reflecting high stakes and must-win mentality[4]. River seeks to avoid slip-ups against a determined opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Independiente del Valle: 140 | Draw: 200 | River Plate: 205 Draw (highest value play due to balanced stakes) ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Independiente del Valle -0.25 (105) | River Plate +25 (-135) River Plate +0.25 (covers most outcomes) ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2 (-125) | Under 2 (-105) Under 2 (both teams prioritize defensive stability in high-stakes match) ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Independiente del Valle 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tight contest likely ending in a draw, given River’s experience and Independiente’s home urgency.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Independiente del Valle vs. River Plate Prediction

Match Analysis: Independiente del Valle vs River Plate – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-04-23 Time: 12:30 AM UTC Location: Sangolquí (presumed home venue for Independiente del Valle) Game Overview Crucial Group B match where Independiente del Valle (3 points) seeks a home win to challenge group co-leaders River Plate (4 points). River aims to solidify […]

April 24, 2025 Independiente del Valle River Plate Soccer

MORE FROM COPA-LIBERTADORES

Estudiantes La Plata vs. Botafogo Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Estudiantes La Plata vs Botafogo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-24
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Ciudad de La Plata, La Plata, Argentina

Game Overview

The CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores Group A match features Estudiantes La Plata hosting Botafogo at the Estadio Ciudad de La Plata. Both teams are competing for crucial points in this group stage fixture with Estudiantes playing at home, giving them a slight advantage. The match is expected to be competitive, as both sides possess attacking threats but also show vulnerabilities in defense.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Estudiantes La Plata have shown solid form at home in the Copa Libertadores, scoring 3 goals and conceding 2 in their recent group matches. Botafogo have been competitive but have faced challenges on the road, having scored 2 and conceded 1 in recent encounters. Both teams have key midfielders who contribute to scoring and playmaking, including E. Piovi for Estudiantes and P. De Paula for Botafogo.
  • Recent head-to-head clashes indicate a close rivalry. Botafogo edged Estudiantes 2-1 in one match and had a 2-2 draw in another, suggesting a balanced but slightly favorable edge to Botafogo historically. However, home advantage for Estudiantes may impact the dynamic in this fixture.
  • Botafogo are missing defender Bartolomeu Jacinto Bastos and Fernando Marçal, and forward Nathan Ribeiro Fernandes due to injuries. Estudiantes have a full squad available with no major injury concerns reported, which could be a decisive factor.
  • The match being played in La Plata offers Estudiantes a home crowd advantage and familiarity with the pitch conditions. Travel and climate factors may also challenge Botafogo. Fan support and local conditions favor Estudiantes.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure three points to improve their standing in the group phase. Estudiantes want to capitalize on home advantage to push for qualification while Botafogo aims to maintain their competitiveness away from home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Botafogo: 2.45, Estudiantes La Plata: 1.2, Draw: 2 Estudiantes La Plata to win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Botafogo: -0.25 (-112), Estudiantes La Plata: +25 (-118) Estudiantes La Plata -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over: 2 (-120), Under: 2 (-110) Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Estudiantes La Plata 28%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Estudiantes La Plata at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Estudiantes La Plata are slightly favored to win this match due to home advantage, better squad fitness, and marginally better recent form. A closely contested game is expected, but Estudiantes' attacking edge and Botafogo's injury setbacks tilt the outcome in favor of the home side.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Libertad Asuncion vs. Sao Paulo Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Libertad Asuncion vs Sao Paulo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-24
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Dr. Nicolás Léoz, Asunción

Game Overview

Libertad Asuncion is set to face São Paulo in a pivotal Copa Libertadores Group D match. Libertad, playing at home, will look to capitalize on their familiarity with the venue to secure a crucial victory. São Paulo, known for their resilient performances, will aim to upset the hosts away from home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Libertad has shown strong home performances historically, while São Paulo has had mixed results on the road. Recent form suggests both teams are capable of creating scoring chances, though Libertad may have an edge in defense.
  • Historically, Libertad and São Paulo have a relatively even head-to-head record, though recent encounters have favored Libertad slightly.
  • No major injury concerns have been reported for either team leading up to this match.
  • Weather conditions and the home crowd could favor Libertad, while São Paulo might feel additional pressure playing away from home.
  • Both teams are highly motivated as they seek points to advance in the Copa Libertadores.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Libertad Asuncion: 205, São Paulo: 159, Draw: 182 Libertad Asuncion or Draw ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Libertad Asuncion: 0 110, São Paulo: 0 -130 Libertad Asuncion +0 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 1.75: -130, Under 1.75: 110 Under 1.75 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Libertad Asuncion 10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.75 26%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.75 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Libertad's home advantage and defensive solidity, they are slightly favored to win or draw.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Libertad Asuncion or a 1-1 draw


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Olimpia Asunción vs. Peñarol Montevideo Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Olimpia Asunción vs Peñarol Montevideo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-23
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Defensores del Chaco, Asunción

Game Overview

This match between Olimpia Asunción and Peñarol is a highly anticipated contest in the CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores. Both teams have rich histories in this competition, with Olimpia aiming to utilize their home advantage and Peñarol seeking to capitalize on their experience.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Olimpia has shown strong form recently, notably with a 3-1 win over Sportivo Luqueño in their domestic league. Peñarol, known for their continental success, will aim to leverage their roster depth and tactical acumen.
  • Historically, Peñarol has enjoyed success against Olimpia, including a semifinal win in 1961. However, Olimpia has had moments of triumph, like their 1-0 win in Asunción during the 1969 competition.
  • No significant injury reports have been highlighted for either team heading into this match.
  • Weather and crowd support could influence the game, with Olimpia likely benefiting from their home fans.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to perform well in the Copa Libertadores, but Olimpia's recent momentum might give them an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Olimpia Asunción: 125, Peñarol Montevideo: 250, Draw: 195 Olimpia Asunción ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Olimpia Asunción: -0.25 -115, Peñarol Montevideo: 25 -115 Olimpia Asunción ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 2 -102, Under: 2 -128 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Olimpia Asunción 17%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Olimpia Asunción at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Olimpia Asunción is expected to secure a narrow victory, driven by their home advantage and recent winning form.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Olimpia Asunción


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C.D. San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs. Velez Sarsfield Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: C.D. San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Velez Sarsfield – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 23 Apr 2025
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Felix Capriles, Cochabamba, Bolivia

Game Overview

Vélez Sarsfield leads Group H in the Copa Libertadores with 6 points, while San Antonio Bulo Bulo sits 3rd with 3 points. The match is critical for both teams' advancement prospects, with Vélez seeking to solidify their position and San Antonio aiming to close the gap.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vélez Sarsfield has shown superior form in Copa Libertadores, converting 60% of recent games into wins (6/10 matches)[5]. San Antonio has struggled with 3 wins and 6 losses in their last 10 outings[5].
  • Limited historical H2H data, but Vélez's stronger continental experience gives them an edge in tournament play[1][5].
  • No injury data available in provided sources.
  • High altitude (Cochabamba at 2,558m) could favor the home team's conditioning[4], balanced against Vélez's superior technical quality.
  • Vélez aims to maintain group leadership, while San Antonio needs a result to keep knockout stage hopes alive[4].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline San Antonio +360 / Vélez -140 / Draw +265 Vélez Sarsfield ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Vélez -0.75 (-112) Vélez covers ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-118) / Under 2.5 (-112) Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Velez Sarsfield 167%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Velez Sarsfield at 167% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 46.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vélez Sarsfield to edge victory through superior organization and finishing quality, though potential altitude impact could keep it competitive.

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Barcelona SC vs. Club Universitario de Deportes Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Barcelona SC vs Club Universitario de Deportes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-22
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha, Guayaquil, Ecuador

Game Overview

Barcelona SC hosts Club Universitario de Deportes in a crucial Copa Libertadores match. Barcelona SC is favored to win, but key player absences could affect their performance. Universitario needs a win to improve their group standing.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Barcelona SC has home advantage, but they face key player absences. Universitario is currently undefeated in their domestic league but struggles in Copa Libertadores
  • Limited recent head-to-head data available. However, Barcelona SC’s home advantage is significant.
  • Barcelona SC faces notable absences, while Universitario has no reported injuries.
  • Weather and crowd support could influence the match, favoring Barcelona SC.
  • Both teams are highly motivated; Universitario needs a win to stay competitive in the group.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Barcelona SC: -140, Club Universitario de Deportes: 420, Draw: 245 Barcelona SC win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Barcelona SC: -0.75 -112, Club Universitario de Deportes: 75 -118 Barcelona SC covers the spread ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 2 -128, Under: 2 -102 Over 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Barcelona SC -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Barcelona SC is likely to win, but Universitario's injury-free status and domestic form could make it competitive.

Predicted Score: 2-1 Barcelona SC win


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Colo Colo vs. Racing Club Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Colo Colo vs Racing Club – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-23
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Monumental David Arellano, Santiago, Chile

Game Overview

This CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores Group E match between Colo Colo and Racing Club takes place at Colo Colo's home stadium in Santiago. Both teams have competitive recent form and are motivated to advance in this key continental tournament. The match is expected to be tightly contested given Racing Club's strong squad and Colo Colo's home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Colo Colo recently drew 3-3 in their last Libertadores match and have shown resilience in domestic play with a mix of wins and draws. Racing Club has demonstrated solid form with recent wins in their domestic league and a strong attacking performance in Libertadores, led by key players like Maximiliano Salas and Hernan Gabriel Rojas.
  • Recent meetings have seen close contested encounters between Colo Colo and Racing Club, with balanced results reflecting the competitiveness of both sides in South American club competitions.
  • No major injury or suspension reports currently affect the starting lineups for either team, allowing both to field strong squads.
  • Playing at high altitude and in front of passionate home supporters favors Colo Colo. Weather is expected to be warm but stable, minimizing adverse conditions.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure group stage advantage in the Copa Libertadores with Colo Colo aiming to capitalize on home advantage while Racing Club will push for an away result to solidify their position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Colo Colo: 1.9, Racing Club: 1.45, Draw: 2.15 Racing Club win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Colo Colo: 1.05, Racing Club: 1.35 Racing Club -0 spread ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: 1.12, Under 2.25: 1.18 Over 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Racing Club 23%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Racing Club at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A closely matched game is projected with a slight edge to Colo Colo due to home advantage and recent scoring form. Expect a competitive tactical encounter with goal-scoring opportunities for both sides.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Internacional-RS vs. Nacional de Montevideo Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Internacional-RS vs Nacional de Montevideo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-23
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Beira-Rio, Porto Alegre

Game Overview

This Copa Libertadores match features Internacional-RS hosting Nacional de Montevideo. Internacional-RS have a solid home record and more historical dominance in direct confrontations. Both teams have shown the ability to score but Internacional-RS concedes fewer goals on average. Nacional is coming off mixed recent results, whereas Internacional is slightly more consistent overall.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Internacional-RS has won 5 of 10 historical meetings against Nacional, who only won once, with 4 draws. Internacional averages 1.3 points per game in these encounters, scoring 13 goals total, compared to Nacional’s 7. Recently, Internacional won 2, drew 2, and lost 1 in their last 5 matches, conceding an average of 0.4 goals per game. Nacional won 2, lost 3, with higher goals conceded at 1.2 per game, indicating a weaker defense.
  • Historically dominated by Internacional-RS with 5 wins to Nacional’s 1 in 10 meetings. Four matches ended in draws. Internacional also has a better goal differential and points per game advantage in direct clashes.
  • No specific injury information available from the data provided. Expect both teams to field close to full-strength squads.
  • The match is played at Internacional’s home ground, Estádio Beira-Rio, giving them a significant home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions have not been reported as concerns. Motivation is high for both sides given Copa Libertadores stakes.
  • Internacional-RS aims to leverage home advantage to secure maximum points to advance in the group stage. Nacional de Montevideo is motivated to improve their record and gain a result on the road, but historically performs less well away from home against this opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Internacional-RS: -300, Nacional de Montevideo: 900, Draw: 350 Internacional-RS to win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Internacional-RS -1.25: -125, Nacional de Montevideo +1.25: -105 Internacional-RS to cover -1.25 spread ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 2.25: -122, Under 2.25: -108 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Internacional-RS -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Internacional-RS is favored to win the match due to historical dominance, home advantage, and better defensive stats. Expect a controlled game from Internacional with limited goals conceded and a probable margin of 1-2 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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LDU Quito vs. Flamengo-RJ Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: LDU Quito vs Flamengo-RJ – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-22
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito, Ecuador

Game Overview

Copa Libertadores Group C clash where Flamengo (3rd place, 1W-0D-1L) faces LDU Quito (1st place, 2W-1D-0L) in a critical match for group standings. LDU's home advantage and superior current form could challenge Flamengo's individual quality.

Key Factors to Consider

  • LDU Quito leads Group C with 7 points (+2 GD), showing defensive solidity and home-pitch proficiency. Flamengo sits 3rd with 3 points (0 GD), needing redemption after inconsistent group-stage performances.
  • Historical H2H data shows competitive matchups, including a 2-2 draw in their most recent Libertadores meeting (May 2021)[2]. No recent conclusive dominance from either side.
  • Flamengo's Matías Viña (defender) confirmed injured[5], weakening their left defensive flank. No reported injuries for LDU Quito.
  • High-altitude conditions (Quito at 2,850m) favor home side's adaptation. Recent Copa Libertadores results suggest tactical discipline from both teams.
  • LDU seeks group leadership consolidation; Flamengo must win to avoid early elimination risks. Strong motivational parity despite differing table positions.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline LDU 225 | Draw 205 | Flamengo 130 Value bet on Draw ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Flamengo -0.25 (-108) | LDU +25 (-122) LDU +0.25 covers ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2 (-125) | Under 2 (-105) Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Flamengo-RJ 46%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Flamengo-RJ at 46% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tactical draw (1-1) with Flamengo controlling possession and LDU countering effectively. The altitude factor neutralizes Flamengo's technical advantage, while LDU's organized defense limits goal opportunities.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Alianza Lima vs. Club Atletico Talleres Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Alianza Lima vs Club Atletico Talleres – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-22
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Alejandro Villanueva (Matute)

Game Overview

Alianza Lima (1 point) faces Talleres (0 points) in a critical Group D match. Both teams trail Libertad (6 points) and São Paulo (4 points) and need a win to stay competitive. Alianza drew São Paulo 2-2 in their last Libertadores match, showing attacking potential, while Talleres lost both group games (0-1 to São Paulo, 0-2 to Libertad) and recently fell to Vélez Sarsfield domestically.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alianza shows defensive frailties (-1 goal difference) but home advantage; Talleres struggles offensively (-3 goal difference).
  • No recent H2H data found; this appears to be their first competitive meeting.
  • No injury reports available in provided sources.
  • Talleres arrives after a domestic loss; Alianza enters as slight favorites at home.
  • Both teams are desperate for points to maintain knockout stage hopes.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alianza 170 | Talleres 175 | Draw 190 Alianza Lima moneyline ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread 0 (-118 Alianza) | 0 (-112 Talleres) No spread advantage (pick'em) ★★★☆☆ 50%
Over/under Over 2 (-108) | Under 2 (-122) Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alianza Lima 22%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Alianza Lima at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tight match with Alianza leveraging home support. Expect under 2 goals due to both teams' scoring struggles.

Predicted Score: 1-0 Alianza Lima


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