Match Analysis: Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-12
- Time: 1:30 PM UTC
- Location: Holstein-Stadion, Kiel, Germany
Game Overview
Holstein Kiel faces FC St. Pauli in a crucial Bundesliga match, with both teams struggling for form. St. Pauli ranks 15th, while Holstein Kiel is 18th, indicating the importance of this match in their season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Holstein Kiel has struggled this season with only 18 points from 28 games, while St. Pauli has managed 25 points. Recent performances show mixed results for both teams.
- Historically, matches between Holstein Kiel and FC St. Pauli often end in competitive results, with the most common outcome being a 1-1 draw. However, St. Pauli has had a slight edge in recent matches.
- Both teams face injuries, with notable absences for Holstein Kiel including Patrick Erras and Benedikt Pichler, while St. Pauli misses players like Simon Zoller and Karol Mets.
- The home advantage could be crucial for Holstein Kiel, but they have struggled to capitalize on it consistently.
- Both teams are motivated to gain points to avoid relegation, with every match being critical to their season's outcome.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | FC St. Pauli: 135, Holstein Kiel: 205, Draw: 245 | Draw or St. Pauli Win | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Spread | FC St. Pauli: -0.25 102, Holstein Kiel: 25 -122 | Holstein Kiel +0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Over_under | Over 2.5: -105, Under 2.5: -115 | Over 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | FC St. Pauli 41% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 2% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: FC St. Pauli at 41% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given their recent performances and historical data, St. Pauli might have a slight edge, but the match could be closely contested, and a draw is plausible.
Predicted Score: 1-1 or 1-2 in favor of St. Pauli