Match Analysis: Hellas Verona vs Cagliari – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-28
- Time: 6:45 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi, Verona, Italy
Game Overview
Hellas Verona and Cagliari are both fighting to avoid relegation in Serie A, with Verona currently seven points above the relegation zone and Cagliari two points behind Verona. Both teams have struggled recently, with Verona without a win in four games and Cagliari suffering their 17th loss this season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Hellas Verona and Cagliari have both experienced poor form, but Verona's recent performances at home might give them an edge. Verona have only managed two wins in their last 10 games, while Cagliari have also struggled, winning only two in their last 10.
- Cagliari leads the head-to-head with 24 wins to Verona's 23 in 65 meetings. However, Verona's home record against Cagliari is stronger, winning seven of the last 13 matches at home.
- There are reported injuries for both teams, including Abdou Harroui and Roberto Piccoli, which might impact their lineups and strategy.
- The pressure to avoid relegation could significantly impact team performance, with both sides needing a win to secure their Serie A status.
- Both teams are highly motivated, given the significance of avoiding relegation. However, Cagliari's urgency might be slightly higher due to their current league position.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Cagliari 225, Hellas Verona 155, Draw 180 | Hellas Verona | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Spread | Cagliari 25 -136, Hellas Verona -0.25 113 | Hellas Verona -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Over/under | Over 2 -118, Under 2 -102 | Over 2 | ★★★☆☆ 52% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Hellas Verona 7% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2 -6% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Hellas Verona at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the home advantage and slightly better recent form, Hellas Verona might edge this match. However, it could be a closely contested affair with both teams desperately needing a win.
Predicted Score: 2-1