Match Analysis: CF Estrela vs FC Porto – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-26
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio Jose Gomes, Amadora, Portugal
Game Overview
CF Estrela Amadora is set to face FC Porto in a Primeira Liga match. Estrela Amadora is struggling, ranking 15th, while Porto is chasing a top-three finish, having strong recent performances.
Key Factors to Consider
- Estrela Amadora has struggled with form, losing four of their last six games and averaging under one goal per match. Porto, despite a recent loss, has won four of their last six league matches.
- Porto is unbeaten in the last four meetings with Estrela Amadora, winning three and drawing one. Estrela Amadora has failed to score in these encounters.
- No specific injury information is provided, but it could impact the match if significant players are missing.
- Motivation for Porto to secure a top-three finish could be a significant external factor.
- Porto is highly motivated to secure a top-three spot, while Estrela Amadora seeks to improve their standing and avoid relegation.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | CF Estrela +500, FC Porto -185, Draw +295 | FC Porto | ★★★★☆ 80% |
Spread | CF Estrela +1 -112, FC Porto -1 -108 | FC Porto -1 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 +100, Under 2.5 -120 | Under 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | FC Porto 8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 10% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
FC Porto is likely to win due to their stronger recent performance and the historical head-to-head advantage.
Predicted Score: 1-0 to FC Porto