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Bahia vs. Atlético Nacional S.A Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Bahia vs Atlético Nacional S.A – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-25
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Brazil

Game Overview

The CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores Group F clash between Bahia and Atlético Nacional is set to take place at Arena Fonte Nova. Both teams are contending fiercely in the group, with Bahia currently ranked 2nd and Atlético Nacional 3rd. Recent matches show competitive balance with both teams having scored and conceded similar goals. Key players to watch include Bahia's Jean Lucas and Atlético Nacional's A. Morelos, both with 1 goal so far in the group stage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bahia has scored 2 goals and conceded 2 in the group, maintaining 4 clean sheets in recent matches, showing defensive solidity. Atlético Nacional has scored 3 and conceded 3 with fewer clean sheets but higher shots on goal, indicating a more attacking style. Bahia has home advantage playing at Arena Fonte Nova.
  • Previous encounters show tight matches with no decisive dominance by either team, though away matches have been challenging for both sides. Recent form indicates balanced competition within Group F.
  • No specific injury data was available, suggesting both teams are likely close to full strength.
  • Playing in Salvador gives Bahia home crowd advantage. Weather or pitch conditions are not reported as an issue. Both teams are motivated by group standings and advancement prospects.
  • Bahia, positioned 2nd in Group F, aims to consolidate their standing with a home win, while Atlético Nacional, sitting 3rd, need to gain points away to improve their qualification chances, adding to competitive intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bahia: -120, Atlético Nacional: 320, Draw: 245 Bahia win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Bahia: -0.5 -120, Atlético Nacional: +50 -110 Bahia to cover -0.5 spread ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: -122, Under 2.25: -108 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bahia -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Considering the home advantage, Bahia’s defensive record, and slightly better recent form, Bahia is favored to win narrowly. Expect a competitive match with limited goal margin.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Cerro Porteño vs. Sporting Cristal Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Cerro Porteño vs Sporting Cristal – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-24
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio la Nueva Olla

Game Overview

Crucial Group G match where Cerro Porteño seeks to extend their unbeaten home run in Libertadores (6 games), while Sporting Cristal aims to overcome historical struggles against the hosts.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cerro Porteño recently regained confidence with a league win, while Sporting Cristal arrives with potential injury concerns[1]. Cerro boasts a formidable home record (4W-2D in last 6 Libertadores home matches)[4].
  • Cerro Porteño remains undefeated in Libertadores against Cristal (2W-2D), including a 1-0 home win in 2023[4]. Historical dominance includes a 5-0 victory in 1973[4].
  • Sporting Cristal reportedly arrives 'herido' (injured/wounded)[1], though specific player absences aren't detailed.
  • Cerro's recent league struggles contrast with their Copa focus after exiting Apertura title race[1]. Cristal becomes the 10th team to reach 250 Libertadores matches[4].
  • High stakes for group positioning, with Cerro needing home wins and Cristal seeking to prove continental pedigree.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline CER: -135 | SCR: 370 | Draw: 255 Cerro Porteño Moneyline ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread CER -0.75 (-108) | SCR +75 (-122) Cerro Porteño -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.25 (-108) | Under 2.25 (-122) Under 2.25 Goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cerro Porteño 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Cerro Porteño at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Home advantage and historical dominance favor Cerro Porteño in a tight match, though goal difference suggests defensive caution.

Predicted Score: 1-0 (Cerro Porteño)


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Club Bolívar vs. Palmeiras-SP Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Club Bolívar vs Palmeiras-SP – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-24
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz, Bolivia

Game Overview

This match is part of the CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores between Club Bolívar and Palmeiras-SP. Bolívar has a strong home record, having won 9 consecutive home matches and remaining unbeaten in their last 10 home games. Palmeiras-SP is on a five-match winning streak and has not lost in their last seven games.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Club Bolívar is strong at home, while Palmeiras-SP has been performing well overall.
  • Palmeiras-SP leads the head-to-head with three wins out of four matches, scoring 12 goals to Bolívar's 4.
  • No specific information available about injuries for this match.
  • High-altitude conditions at Estadio Hernando Siles might favor Club Bolívar.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure points for advancing in the Copa Libertadores.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Club Bolívar: 100, Palmeiras-SP: 265, Draw: 230 Draw or Palmeiras-SP win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Club Bolívar: -0.5 102, Palmeiras-SP: 50 -132 Palmeiras-SP to cover +0.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -110, Under: 2.5 -120 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 50%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Palmeiras-SP 64%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Palmeiras-SP at 64% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Palmeiras-SP's strong recent form and head-to-head advantage, they are likely to win or at least draw. However, Bolívar's home record presents a significant challenge.

Predicted Score: 1-1 draw or a close win by Palmeiras-SP


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Central Córdoba vs. Deportivo Táchira Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Central Córdoba vs Deportivo Táchira – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-24
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Madre de Ciudades, Santiago del Estero

Game Overview

In the third group stage of the Copa Libertadores 2025, Central Córdoba hosts Deportivo Táchira. Central Córdoba is undefeated in its first two matches, while Deportivo Táchira has struggled against Argentine teams historically. The match is expected to favor Central Córdoba given their recent form and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Central Córdoba has shown strong performance with no losses in its first two matches, while Deportivo Táchira faces challenges in winning against Argentine teams.
  • The teams have never met in CONMEBOL competitions before.
  • No significant injury reports available.
  • Weather conditions in Santiago del Estero could potentially affect the match tempo.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure points, but Central Córdoba has higher expectations due to its home advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -280 (Central Córdoba), 800 (Deportivo Táchira), 340 (Draw) Central Córdoba win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread -1.25 (Central Córdoba) -118, 1.25 (Deportivo Táchira) -112 Central Córdoba to cover ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25 -120, Under 2.25 -110 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Central Córdoba -19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Central Córdoba is likely to win, given its recent form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: 1-0 Central Córdoba


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Atlético Bucaramanga vs. Fortaleza-EC Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Atlético Bucaramanga vs Fortaleza-EC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-24
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Américo Montanini, Bucaramanga, Colombia

Game Overview

Atlético Bucaramanga will host Fortaleza-EC in the CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores Group E match set for April 24, 2025. The game promises a competitive clash as both sides seek to advance in the prestigious South American tournament. The fixture will be played at Bucaramanga's home ground where Atlético Bucaramanga has the home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Bucaramanga recently demonstrated strong home form with a 4-0 win over Fortaleza CEIF in a domestic league match, highlighting solid attacking and defensive capabilities. Fortaleza-EC, meanwhile, has had mixed results including a recent 2-1 away loss to Vitória but remains an experienced Libertadores competitor with competitive squad depth.
  • There are no recent direct matches recorded between Atlético Bucaramanga and Fortaleza-EC in Copa Libertadores or major competitions. Historically, Atlético Bucaramanga has shown dominance over less prominent Fortaleza teams in domestic contests but this Libertadores encounter is a first competitive meeting against Fortaleza-EC.
  • No specific injury updates are currently available for either team ahead of the match. Both sides are expected to have their key players fit and ready to participate, maintaining their usual squad selections.
  • The match will be played at high altitude in Bucaramanga which may give the home side a physical edge. Additionally, Fortaleza-EC faces travel fatigue and adjustment to local conditions, potentially impacting their performance. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be typical for the region, with no adverse effects forecasted.
  • Both teams are motivated by Copa Libertadores group stage progression ambitions. Atlético Bucaramanga aims to leverage home advantage to secure valuable points, while Fortaleza-EC looks to assert their continental experience to win away from home and strengthen their group standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlético Bucaramanga: 190, Fortaleza-EC: 155, Draw: 200 Fortaleza-EC to win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Atlético Bucaramanga: 0 at +100, Fortaleza-EC: 0 at -130 Fortaleza-EC on spread ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2 goals: -115, Under 2 goals: -115 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fortaleza-EC 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Fortaleza-EC at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on recent form, home advantage, and odds analysis, Atlético Bucaramanga is slightly favored but this match is poised to be closely contested with a high chance of a draw or narrow win either side.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Estudiantes La Plata vs. Botafogo Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Estudiantes La Plata vs Botafogo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-24
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Ciudad de La Plata, La Plata, Argentina

Game Overview

The CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores Group A match features Estudiantes La Plata hosting Botafogo at the Estadio Ciudad de La Plata. Both teams are competing for crucial points in this group stage fixture with Estudiantes playing at home, giving them a slight advantage. The match is expected to be competitive, as both sides possess attacking threats but also show vulnerabilities in defense.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Estudiantes La Plata have shown solid form at home in the Copa Libertadores, scoring 3 goals and conceding 2 in their recent group matches. Botafogo have been competitive but have faced challenges on the road, having scored 2 and conceded 1 in recent encounters. Both teams have key midfielders who contribute to scoring and playmaking, including E. Piovi for Estudiantes and P. De Paula for Botafogo.
  • Recent head-to-head clashes indicate a close rivalry. Botafogo edged Estudiantes 2-1 in one match and had a 2-2 draw in another, suggesting a balanced but slightly favorable edge to Botafogo historically. However, home advantage for Estudiantes may impact the dynamic in this fixture.
  • Botafogo are missing defender Bartolomeu Jacinto Bastos and Fernando Marçal, and forward Nathan Ribeiro Fernandes due to injuries. Estudiantes have a full squad available with no major injury concerns reported, which could be a decisive factor.
  • The match being played in La Plata offers Estudiantes a home crowd advantage and familiarity with the pitch conditions. Travel and climate factors may also challenge Botafogo. Fan support and local conditions favor Estudiantes.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure three points to improve their standing in the group phase. Estudiantes want to capitalize on home advantage to push for qualification while Botafogo aims to maintain their competitiveness away from home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Botafogo: 2.45, Estudiantes La Plata: 1.2, Draw: 2 Estudiantes La Plata to win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Botafogo: -0.25 (-112), Estudiantes La Plata: +25 (-118) Estudiantes La Plata -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over: 2 (-120), Under: 2 (-110) Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Estudiantes La Plata 28%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Estudiantes La Plata at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Estudiantes La Plata are slightly favored to win this match due to home advantage, better squad fitness, and marginally better recent form. A closely contested game is expected, but Estudiantes' attacking edge and Botafogo's injury setbacks tilt the outcome in favor of the home side.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Independiente del Valle vs. River Plate Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Independiente del Valle vs River Plate – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-23
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Sangolquí (presumed home venue for Independiente del Valle)

Game Overview

Crucial Group B match where Independiente del Valle (3 points) seeks a home win to challenge group co-leaders River Plate (4 points). River aims to solidify its position atop the group.

Key Factors to Consider

  • River Plate leads the group with 4 points alongside Barcelona SC. Independiente del Valle trails closely with 3 points, making this a pivotal match for knockout stage qualification[4].
  • No explicit historical data provided in sources, making this encounter potentially decisive in establishing a competitive dynamic.
  • No injury reports available in provided sources.
  • Home advantage for Independiente del Valle, with players emphasizing the need to capitalize on local support[4].
  • Independiente’s defender Hoyos stated: 'Vamos a ganar a River Plate,' reflecting high stakes and must-win mentality[4]. River seeks to avoid slip-ups against a determined opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Independiente del Valle: 140 | Draw: 200 | River Plate: 205 Draw (highest value play due to balanced stakes) ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Independiente del Valle -0.25 (105) | River Plate +25 (-135) River Plate +0.25 (covers most outcomes) ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2 (-125) | Under 2 (-105) Under 2 (both teams prioritize defensive stability in high-stakes match) ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Independiente del Valle 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tight contest likely ending in a draw, given River’s experience and Independiente’s home urgency.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Libertad Asuncion vs. Sao Paulo Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Libertad Asuncion vs Sao Paulo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-24
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Dr. Nicolás Léoz, Asunción

Game Overview

Libertad Asuncion is set to face São Paulo in a pivotal Copa Libertadores Group D match. Libertad, playing at home, will look to capitalize on their familiarity with the venue to secure a crucial victory. São Paulo, known for their resilient performances, will aim to upset the hosts away from home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Libertad has shown strong home performances historically, while São Paulo has had mixed results on the road. Recent form suggests both teams are capable of creating scoring chances, though Libertad may have an edge in defense.
  • Historically, Libertad and São Paulo have a relatively even head-to-head record, though recent encounters have favored Libertad slightly.
  • No major injury concerns have been reported for either team leading up to this match.
  • Weather conditions and the home crowd could favor Libertad, while São Paulo might feel additional pressure playing away from home.
  • Both teams are highly motivated as they seek points to advance in the Copa Libertadores.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Libertad Asuncion: 205, São Paulo: 159, Draw: 182 Libertad Asuncion or Draw ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Libertad Asuncion: 0 110, São Paulo: 0 -130 Libertad Asuncion +0 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 1.75: -130, Under 1.75: 110 Under 1.75 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Libertad Asuncion 10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.75 26%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.75 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Libertad's home advantage and defensive solidity, they are slightly favored to win or draw.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Libertad Asuncion or a 1-1 draw


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C.D. San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs. Velez Sarsfield Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: C.D. San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Velez Sarsfield – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 23 Apr 2025
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Felix Capriles, Cochabamba, Bolivia

Game Overview

Vélez Sarsfield leads Group H in the Copa Libertadores with 6 points, while San Antonio Bulo Bulo sits 3rd with 3 points. The match is critical for both teams' advancement prospects, with Vélez seeking to solidify their position and San Antonio aiming to close the gap.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vélez Sarsfield has shown superior form in Copa Libertadores, converting 60% of recent games into wins (6/10 matches)[5]. San Antonio has struggled with 3 wins and 6 losses in their last 10 outings[5].
  • Limited historical H2H data, but Vélez's stronger continental experience gives them an edge in tournament play[1][5].
  • No injury data available in provided sources.
  • High altitude (Cochabamba at 2,558m) could favor the home team's conditioning[4], balanced against Vélez's superior technical quality.
  • Vélez aims to maintain group leadership, while San Antonio needs a result to keep knockout stage hopes alive[4].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline San Antonio +360 / Vélez -140 / Draw +265 Vélez Sarsfield ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Vélez -0.75 (-112) Vélez covers ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-118) / Under 2.5 (-112) Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Velez Sarsfield 167%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Velez Sarsfield at 167% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 46.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vélez Sarsfield to edge victory through superior organization and finishing quality, though potential altitude impact could keep it competitive.

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Olimpia Asunción vs. Peñarol Montevideo Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Olimpia Asunción vs Peñarol Montevideo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-23
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Defensores del Chaco, Asunción

Game Overview

This match between Olimpia Asunción and Peñarol is a highly anticipated contest in the CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores. Both teams have rich histories in this competition, with Olimpia aiming to utilize their home advantage and Peñarol seeking to capitalize on their experience.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Olimpia has shown strong form recently, notably with a 3-1 win over Sportivo Luqueño in their domestic league. Peñarol, known for their continental success, will aim to leverage their roster depth and tactical acumen.
  • Historically, Peñarol has enjoyed success against Olimpia, including a semifinal win in 1961. However, Olimpia has had moments of triumph, like their 1-0 win in Asunción during the 1969 competition.
  • No significant injury reports have been highlighted for either team heading into this match.
  • Weather and crowd support could influence the game, with Olimpia likely benefiting from their home fans.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to perform well in the Copa Libertadores, but Olimpia's recent momentum might give them an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Olimpia Asunción: 125, Peñarol Montevideo: 250, Draw: 195 Olimpia Asunción ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Olimpia Asunción: -0.25 -115, Peñarol Montevideo: 25 -115 Olimpia Asunción ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 2 -102, Under: 2 -128 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Olimpia Asunción 17%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Olimpia Asunción at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Olimpia Asunción is expected to secure a narrow victory, driven by their home advantage and recent winning form.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Olimpia Asunción


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