Match Analysis: Atalanta BC vs Bologna – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: April 13, 2025
- Time: 10:30 AM UTC
- Location: Gewiss Stadium, Bergamo, Italy
Game Overview
Atalanta BC and Bologna face off in a crucial Serie A match. Atalanta, favored at home, looks to continue its strong performance, while Bologna seeks an upset to enhance its standings.
Key Factors to Consider
- Atalanta has shown recent inconsistency with wins against Empoli and Juventus, but a loss to Fiorentina and Lazio. Bologna has been on a strong run with recent victories over Cagliari, Verona, Lazio, and Venezia.
- Recent head-to-heads favor Bologna, with wins in their last three matches against Atalanta.
- Atalanta has several key players sidelined, including Stefan Posch, Odilon Kossounou, Giorgio Scalvini, and Gianluca Scamacca. Bologna's injury list includes Davide Calabria.
- Atalanta's home advantage could play a role, but Bologna's recent form and past victories against Atalanta are significant factors.
- Both teams are highly motivated to gain points for different reasons—Atalanta to secure a top-four spot and Bologna to strengthen its position within the top six.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Atalanta BC: -105, Bologna: 285, Draw: 260 | Atalanta BC to win or draw | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | Atalanta BC: -0.5 -102, Bologna: 50 -118 | Atalanta BC to cover | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over_under | Over: 2.5 100, Under: 2.5 -120 | Over 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Atalanta BC 7% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 4% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Atalanta BC at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Atalanta's strong home record historically but Bologna's recent form and head-to-head success, the match could be closely contested. However, injuries and Bologna's recent momentum may tip the scales slightly in their favor.
Predicted Score: Atalanta BC 2, Bologna 1