Match Analysis: AS Roma vs Hellas Verona – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-19
- Time: 6:45 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Olimpico, Rome, Italy
Game Overview
This Serie A match features AS Roma, currently 7th in the league, against Hellas Verona, positioned 14th. Roma has a strong home advantage and a significant edge in team statistics and recent performances.
Key Factors to Consider
- Roma has performed better overall this season, with 54 points from 32 games, while Verona has 32 points from the same number of matches. Roma's recent form includes wins against Cagliari and Lecce.
- In their last five meetings, Roma and Verona have had mixed results with Roma winning twice and losing twice, and one more recent win by Verona. Their most recent Serie A match saw Verona win 3-2 against Roma in November 2024.
- Notable injuries include Roma's P. Dybala and Verona's C. Tengstedt and T. Suslov being sidelined.
- Weather conditions are expected to be favorable for the match with no extreme temperatures or precipitation forecasted.
- Roma has more motivation to win due to their aspirations for Champions League qualification and maintaining a higher league standing.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -250, away: 700, draw: 370 | AS Roma | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Spread | home: -1.25 -108, away: 1.25 -112 | AS Roma -1.25 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | over: 2.5 102, under: 2.5 -122 | Over 2.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | AS Roma -16% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 11% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
AS Roma is likely to win this match given their home advantage, better standings, and recent performance trends.
Predicted Score: AS Roma 2 – 1 Hellas Verona