Match Analysis: Alavés vs Real Madrid – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-13
- Time: 2:15 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
Game Overview
Alavés hosts Real Madrid in a La Liga match. Real Madrid has a strong record against Alavés, winning their last meeting 3-2. Despite injuries and recent losses, Real Madrid is favored to win.
Key Factors to Consider
- Alavés has struggled with consistency this season, while Real Madrid boasts high-quality talent like Kylian Mbappé. However, Real Madrid faces injuries and recent defeats.
- Real Madrid generally dominates head-to-head matches, having won several recent encounters against Alavés.
- Real Madrid has several players sidelined, including Dani Alaba and Fede Valverde. Alavés also has injuries, notably Antonio Sivera and Tomás Conechny.
- Recent losses for Real Madrid could affect morale, but they remain a stronger side. Alavés will aim to capitalize on home advantage.
- Both teams have different motivations; Alavés seeks to climb the table, while Real Madrid fights to secure a top spot.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Alavés 400, Real Madrid -160, Draw 320 | Real Madrid win | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Spread | Alavés 75 @ 105, Real Madrid -0.75 @ -125 | Real Madrid covers spread | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over_under | Over 2.75 @ -108, Under 2.75 @ -112 | Over 2.75 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Real Madrid 14% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.75 6% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Real Madrid at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Real Madrid to win the match due to superior team strength and recent head-to-head performance.
Predicted Score: Alavés 1, Real Madrid 3