Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-12
- Time: 5:00 AM UTC
- Location: Optus Stadium, Perth
Game Overview
The Cronulla Sutherland Sharks will face off against the Manly Warringah Sea Eagles in Round 6 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership. The Sharks are favored by bookmakers due to their strong defensive showing, while the Sea Eagles have been noted for scoring higher but also conceding more tries. Optus Stadium provides a neutral ground, but the Sharks' recent performances suggest they might not dominate as much as expected.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Sharks have shown a tight defense with an average losing margin of eight points, indicating their ability to keep games close. Manly, however, has been scoring well but struggling defensively.
- Historically, the Sea Eagles have a strong edge over the Sharks with a record of 75 wins to 31. However, recent performance trends might favor the Sharks slightly.
- Corey Waddell's suspension for Manly might affect their lineup, while Josh Aloiai returns to the Sea Eagles' starting side. The Sharks' injury list is not significantly impacting their lineup.
- The neutral venue eliminates home advantage for either team, making team performance the key factor.
- Both teams are motivated to win after recent performances, but the Sharks might feel more pressure as slight favorites.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | $1.50 for Sharks, $2.60 for Sea Eagles | Sea Eagles to win | ★★★☆☆ 52% |
Spread | -5.5 for Sharks, +5.5 for Sea Eagles | Sea Eagles +5.5 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Over_under | Over/Under 49.5 | Under 49.5 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 1044% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 49.5 3% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles at 1044% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 49.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Despite the Sharks being favorites, analysis suggests the Sea Eagles have a strong chance of winning due to their scoring potential. However, it is expected to be a close match.
Predicted Score: Sea Eagles 22, Sharks 20