Match Analysis: Anthony Smith vs Zhang Mingyang – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-27
• Time: 3:15 AM UTC
• Location: Not Specified

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA match between Anthony Smith and Zhang Mingyang is set for April 27, 2025. This Light Heavyweight division fight is part of the UFC and will feature on the main card. Anthony Smith, a taller and more experienced fighter, faces Zhang Mingyang, who is younger and has shown promising skills in recent bouts.

Key Factors to Consider

• Anthony Smith has a record of 38-21-0, with a mix of wins by KO/TKO and submissions. Zhang Mingyang, on the other hand, has shown strong form but specific details about his record are not detailed in the available data.
• There are no previous head-to-head matches between the two fighters, making this a first encounter.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• As a main card fight, both fighters will be under intense scrutiny, which could impact performance.
• Motivation is likely high for both fighters due to the importance of the bout.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Anthony Smith: 350, Zhang Mingyang: -455	Zhang Mingyang	Not available
Spread	Anthony Smith: +3.5 (270), Zhang Mingyang: -3.5 (-400)	Zhang Mingyang	Not available
Over/under	Over 1.5: 160, Under 1.5: -210	Over 1.5	Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Zhang Mingyang -15%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 56%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 56% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Zhang Mingyang is favored due to his younger age and potentially better conditioning, but Anthony Smith's experience could pose a significant challenge.

Predicted Score: Decision or late round finish

Match Analysis: Gabriela Hristea vs Laura Grzyb – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-26
• Time: 3:00 AM UTC
• Location: PreZero Arena, Gliwice, Poland

Game Overview

This women's flyweight bout at KSW 105 features Gabriela Hristea, with a 1-0 record, facing Laura Grzyb, who is making her professional debut. The match is highly anticipated given their skills and the potential for an exciting contest between a seasoned fighter and a newcomer looking to make an impact.

Key Factors to Consider

• Gabriela Hristea's experience could be a significant advantage, while Laura Grzyb's unknown professional performance raises uncertainties.
• There is no previous head-to-head match to analyze.
• No injury reports are available.
• Circumstances such as crowd support and ring conditions might influence the fight dynamics.
• Both fighters will be highly motivated to secure a win, especially for Grzyb to prove herself in her first professional fight.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Gabriela Hristea: 170, Laura Grzyb: -250	Laura Grzyb to win	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Laura Grzyb -16%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Laura Grzyb at -16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on Hristea's experience, she might have an edge, but Grzyb's unpredictability and potential skills as an amateur could make this a competitive fight.

Predicted Score: NA

Match Analysis: David Onama vs Giga Chikadze – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: April 27, 2025
• Time: 1:15 AM UTC
• Location: T-Mobile Center, Kansas City – USA

Game Overview

This is a UFC Featherweight bout between David Onama and Giga Chikadze. Onama, nicknamed 'Silent Assassin,' is from Uganda, while Chikadze represents Georgia. The match features Onama, who is younger and slightly shorter than Chikadze, against an experienced striker in Chikadze.

Key Factors to Consider

• David Onama is known for his aggressive style, which could prove advantageous in terms of early pressure. Giga Chikadze, a skilled striker, might look to maintain distance and utilize his reach.
• There is no prior head-to-head encounter between these two fighters.
• No recent injury reports for either fighter are available.
• The fight venue in Kansas City could have a neutral impact on both fighters, with fan support potentially favoring the more well-known name, which might be Chikadze.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, seeking to climb the rankings in the featherweight division.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	David Onama -180, Giga Chikadze 150	David Onama	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	David Onama -3.5 110, Giga Chikadze 3.5 -150	David Onama	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5 -188, Under 2.5 145	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	David Onama -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Based on the current odds and performance trends, David Onama is favored to win due to his recent form and aggressive fighting style.

Predicted Score: Decision in favor of David Onama, reflecting his likely aggressive approach.

Match Analysis: Nicolas Dalby vs Randy Brown – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-27
• Time: 1:15 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Kansas City (assumed based on context)

Game Overview

Welterweight main card matchup between Randy Brown (19-6-0) and Nicolas Dalby (23-5-1). Brown holds physical advantages in height (6'3" vs 5'11"), reach (78" vs 74"), and striking accuracy (47% vs 43%). Dalby has superior average fight duration (13:39 vs 10:41) and recent momentum with 3 consecutive wins.

Key Factors to Consider

• Brown's 4.35 SLpM and 54% striking defense vs Dalby's durability (13:39 avg fight time). Brown's 0.6 submission attempts/15min vs Dalby's 0.1.
• First professional meeting between fighters
• No reported injuries from available data
• 4" reach advantage for Brown critical in striking exchanges
• Dalby (40) potentially facing later-career matchup importance vs Brown's (34) prime physical condition

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Dalby +215/Brown -265	Randy Brown moneyline	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Dalby +3.5 (-135)/Brown -3.5 (+100)	Brown -3.5 points	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 (-298)/Under 2.5 (+220)	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 85%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Randy Brown -7%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Randy Brown by decision (60% confidence) due to technical striking advantage and reach management

Predicted Score: Randy Brown via Unanimous Decision (29-28)

Match Analysis: Abusupyian Magomedov vs Michel Pereira – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-27
• Time: 1:15 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Event (specific venue not listed in sources)

Game Overview

Middleweight clash between Abus Magomedov (27-6-1) and Michel Pereira (31-12-0) in a UFC main card bout. Pereira is ranked No.14, while Magomedov enters with a 2-fight win streak. Pereira holds a 35% finish rate (11 KOs, 9 subs), while Magomedov's precise finish stats are unavailable but carries a 78-inch reach advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

• Magomedov: 2-fight win streak, Pereira: Most recent win vs. Potieria in May 2024[4]. Pereira lost via TKO in October 2024[4].
• First professional meeting
• No reported injuries in available data
• Magomedov's 4-year age advantage (34 vs. 30, though sources contradict about Pereira's age – actual appears closer to 31 from records)
• Pereira seeks rankings climb; Magomedov aims to rebound from Strickland loss (mentioned in ESPN context but dated)

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Magomedov +120, Pereira -142	Pereira moneyline	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Magomedov +3.5 (-140), Pereira -3.5 (+100)	Pereira to cover -3.5	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under	Over 1.5 (-200), Under 1.5 (+154)	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Michel Pereira 25%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Michel Pereira at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Pereira by decision (55% confidence) due to superior activity and rankings position, though Magomedov's reach could dictate pace.

Predicted Score: Pereira via unanimous decision (29-28 x3)

Match Analysis: Carlos Prates vs Ian Garry – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: April 26, 2025
• Time: 1:15 AM UTC
• Location: T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, Missouri

Game Overview

Ian Machado Garry and Carlos Prates will face off in a highly anticipated welterweight bout at UFC Fight Night. Garry, who recently suffered his first professional loss, seeks redemption against Prates, who is on an impressive winning streak with 10 consecutive knockouts. Prates' recent form and current undefeated UFC streak pose significant challenges for Garry.

Key Factors to Consider

• Prates has not lost since 2019 and has a strong knockout record, while Garry is returning from his first career loss.
• This will be the first meeting between the two fighters, making past direct comparisons irrelevant.
• No reported injuries for either fighter at this time.
• Garry may face pressure to rebound from his first loss, while Prates will aim to capitalize on his momentum.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with Garry seeking redemption and Prates aiming for a career-defining win.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Carlos Prates: +110, Ian Garry: -130	Ian Garry	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	Carlos Prates: +5.5 (-165), Ian Garry: -5.5 (+120)	Carlos Prates +5.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 3.5: -125, Under 3.5: -105	Over 3.5	★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ian Garry -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 3.5 -8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ian Garry at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ian Garry is favored due to his experience and skillset, but Prates' recent form suggests a competitive bout.

Predicted Score: Decision or late-round finish for Ian Garry

Match Analysis: Ikram Aliskerov vs Andre Muniz – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: April 27, 2025
• Time: 1:15 AM UTC
• Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The upcoming Middleweight division fight between Ikram Aliskerov and Andre Muniz promises to be an interesting matchup. Aliskerov is favored according to the live odds, while Muniz has a strong record with 24 wins.

Key Factors to Consider

• Ikram Aliskerov is favored with odds of -520, indicating a strong performance expectation. Andre Muniz has a notable record of 24-6 with a variety of win methods, which could pose challenges.
• There is no previous head-to-head data available for this matchup, leaving predictions reliant on individual performance records.
• No injury reports are available for either fighter.
• Motivation could play a role for both fighters, as they compete in a high-profile event.
• Both fighters are likely highly motivated due to the UFC stage and the competitive nature of the Middleweight division.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ikram Aliskerov -520, Andre Muniz 390	Ikram Aliskerov	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Andre Muniz +3.5 250, Ikram Aliskerov -3.5 -370	Andre Muniz +3.5	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under	Over 1.5 -130, Under 1.5 100	Under 1.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Andre Muniz 1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ikram Aliskerov is predicted to win based on the odds and his position as the favorite.

Predicted Score: Decision victory for Ikram Aliskerov

Match Analysis: Jimmy Flick vs Matt Schnell – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: April 26, 2025
• Time: 12:45 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Kansas City

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA fight between Jimmy Flick and Matt Schnell is scheduled for the Flyweight division. Both fighters have unique strengths and weaknesses, with Schnell being more aggressive in striking and Flick focusing on grappling.

Key Factors to Consider

• Matt Schnell has a higher striking rate with 4.39 strikes per minute, while Jimmy Flick excels in submission attempts with 4.3 per 15 minutes. Schnell's takedown defense is stronger, but Flick is more aggressive in grappling.
• This is their first encounter.
• No reported injuries for either fighter at this time.
• The crowd and environment at UFC Kansas City may influence fighter performance.
• Both fighters are motivated to secure a win, especially in a high-profile event like UFC.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Jimmy Flick +150, Matt Schnell -180	Matt Schnell	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Jimmy Flick +3.5, Matt Schnell -3.5	Matt Schnell	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds -110, Under 1.5 rounds -120	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Matt Schnell -7%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Matt Schnell is favored due to his striking efficiency, but Jimmy Flick's grappling skills pose a significant threat.

Predicted Score: Decision in favor of Matt Schnell.

Match Analysis: Gauge Young vs Evan Elder – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-26
• Time: 12:25 AM UTC
• Location: T-Mobile Center, Kansas City

Game Overview

Lightweight bout between Evan 'The Phenom' Elder (9-2-0) and Gauge 'Gee Money' Young (9-2-0) at UFC Kansas City. Elder holds physical advantages in height (5'10" vs 5'9"), reach (72" vs 70"), and striking defense (57% vs 44%). Young possesses superior striking accuracy (56% to 49%) but absorbs more strikes (5.40/min vs 4.79/min). Elder's grappling edge includes takedown attempts (0.63/15min) and submission threat (0.6/15min).

Key Factors to Consider

• Elder: 2 recent wins (Flowers, Valdez). Young's last fight was a loss (Salkilld). Elder's 11:51 avg fight time suggests early engagement vs Young's 15:00 full-round stamina.
• No prior match history between fighters.
• No injury data available from current sources.
• Young's orthodox stance vs Elder's switch stance creates tactical variance. Venue elevation (Kansas City ~910ft) minimal impact.
• Elder seeks third consecutive UFC win. Young aims to rebound from recent loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Elder -193 / Young +168	Elder Moneyline	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 (-240) / Under 2.5 (+190)	Over 2.5 Rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Evan Elder 68%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Evan Elder at 68% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 40.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Elder by decision (60% confidence) – superior defensive metrics and volume striking likely outweigh Young's accuracy advantage.

Predicted Score: Elder by Unanimous Decision (29-28)