Match Analysis: Timothy Cuamba vs Roberto Romero – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: April 26, 2025
• Time: 10:45 PM UTC
• Location: T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, Missouri, United States

Game Overview

Featherweight prelims bout between two fighters looking for their first UFC win. Romero (8-4-1) enters as a slight favorite against Cuamba (8-3), who is 0-2 in UFC fights. Expect a technical striking battle between evenly matched competitors with similar physical attributes.

Key Factors to Consider

• Cuamba is 0-2 in UFC (decision losses), showing defensive holes while absorbing 60+ strikes in both fights[5]. Romero went 1-1 in Dana White's Contender Series before UFC debut loss[3].
• First professional meeting between the fighters[2].
• No reported injuries pre-fight[3].
• Event occurs at standard elevation in Kansas City. Romero has more regional experience against Mexican competition[1][3].
• High stakes for both – potential roster cuts loom for fighters who start 0-3 (Cuamba) or 0-2 (Romero) in UFC[3][5].

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Romero -135 / Cuamba +115	Romero ML	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under	Over 2.5 (-245) / Under 2.5 (+195)	Over 2.5 Rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Roberto Romero 16%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Roberto Romero at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Romero via decision (55-45% edge) due to slightly superior composure under pressure and cleaner striking output. Cuamba's UFC experience against higher-caliber competition could surprise, but his defensive liabilities (60+ strikes absorbed in both UFC fights) make him vulnerable[5][3].

Predicted Score: Romero via Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)

Match Analysis: Joselyne Edwards vs Chelsea Chandler – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-26
• Time: 10:05 PM UTC
• Location: Not specified

Game Overview

This matchup will feature Joselyne Edwards, a highly athletic bantamweight with a record of 14-6, facing Chelsea Chandler, who has a record of 6-3. Edwards, known for her physical advantages but history of close fights due to decision-making issues, looks to build on her last performance where she finished Tamires Vidal. Chandler, a wrestler struggling to adapt fully to bantamweight, may find success by exploiting Edwards' defensive wrestling weaknesses.

Key Factors to Consider

• Edwards' athleticism and potential for complete performances against Chandler's wrestling skills.
• No prior head-to-head match between Edwards and Chandler.
• No reported injuries affecting the fighters.
• Edwards' experience in close fights could play a role, but she has shown improvement recently.
• Both fighters are likely highly motivated for victory, but Edwards' recent success could boost her confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Edwards -290, Chandler +245	Joselyne Edwards	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5 -450, Under 2.5 +350	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Joselyne Edwards -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Joselyne Edwards is favored to win by decision.

Predicted Score: Decision for Joselyne Edwards

Match Analysis: Chris Gutierrez vs John Castaneda – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-27
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Not Specified

Game Overview

Chris Gutierrez and John Castaneda are set for a bantamweight (or possibly featherweight as per some sources) fight in the UFC, with Gutierrez slightly favored in the moneyline odds. Both fighters have a strong record, with Gutierrez being slightly more favored due to his recent performance and statistics.

Key Factors to Consider

• Chris Gutierrez has a win-loss-draw record of 21-6-2, while John Castaneda stands at 21-7-0. Gutierrez has shown better striking accuracy and defense.
• There is no previous head-to-head fight between the two, so we rely on general performance metrics.
• No recent injury information is available for either fighter.
• The fight environment, such as crowd support and card placement, could influence the fighters' performance.
• Both fighters will be motivated to win, given the stakes in the UFC.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Gutierrez: -140, Castaneda: 120	Gutierrez to win	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -380, Under 2.5: 305	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Chris Gutierrez 28%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Chris Gutierrez at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on recent form and statistics, Chris Gutierrez is likely to emerge victorious.

Predicted Score: Gutierrez by Decision

Match Analysis: Adrian Bartosinski vs Andrzej Grzebyk – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-26
• Time: 6:00 PM UTC
• Location: PreZero Arena, Gliwice, Poland

Game Overview

This MMA match between Adrian Bartosinski and Andrzej Grzebyk is part of KSW 105, competing in the welterweight division. The event occurs on April 26, 2025, at PreZero Arena in Gliwice, Poland.

Key Factors to Consider

• Adrian Bartosinski, at 29 years old, faces Andrzej Grzebyk, aged 34. Both fighters will rely on their skill sets in the welterweight division. Performance indicators such as recent victories, strike accuracy, and grappling skills will be crucial.
• There is no detailed history provided on past matches between the two fighters, but Grzebyk's experience might impact the head-to-head dynamics.
• No specific injury updates are provided for either fighter, but monitoring their physical condition is essential.
• Home advantage can influence Bartosinski, but Grzebyk's experience might help counter any such benefits.
• Both fighters will be highly motivated, with the event being part of a significant KSW event.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Adrian Bartosinski: -310, Andrzej Grzebyk: 205	Adrian Bartosinski to win	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Adrian Bartosinski -18%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Adrian Bartosinski at -18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on the odds and age difference, Adrian Bartosinski appears to be the favorite. However, Andrzej Grzebyk's experience could make this a competitive fight.

Predicted Score: Decision or late-round finish in favor of Adrian Bartosinski

Match Analysis: Arbi Chakaev vs Jindrich Byrtus – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-26
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Unspecified (based on BetOnline odds publication date)

Game Overview

Lightweight bout between Arbi Chakaev (-155 moneyline favorite) and Jindrich Byrtus (+115 underdog), with limited public records available about their MMA careers. Both fighters appear active in combat sports as evidenced by BKFC references[1][2] and BetOnline listing this as a market-ready MMA bout[4][5].

Key Factors to Consider

• Insufficient MMA-specific performance data available. Chakaev shows market confidence as favorite, while Byrtus presents underdog value at +115[5].
• No available historical matchup records[1][2][4].
• No reported injuries pre-fight[1-5].
• Potential crossover from bare-knuckle boxing experience (BKFC backgrounds mentioned[1][2]) may influence striking approach.
• Byrtus carries momentum from being featured in multiple combat sports events[3], while Chakaev seeks to validate favorite status[5].

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Chakaev -155 / Byrtus +115	Chakaev moneyline	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Unspecified in available data[4][5]	N/A	N/A

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Arbi Chakaev 21%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Arbi Chakaev at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Chakaev by decision (medium confidence) due to market positioning as favorite, though Byrtus' underdog odds suggest tangible upset potential.

Predicted Score: Arbi Chakaev via split decision (48-47 x3) in 3-round contest

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Match Analysis: Ger Harris vs Marcus Ferreira – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: April 25, 2025
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: RDS, Dublin, Ireland

Game Overview

This MMA match between Ger Harris and Marcus Vinicius Ferreira pits two fighters with contrasting styles. Harris, known for his submission victories, faces Ferreira, who has recently shown a mix of winning methods including KO and submissions.

Key Factors to Consider

• Ger Harris holds a 5-2 record with multiple submission wins, while Marcus Vinicius Ferreira is 8-2, showcasing a diverse array of skills with recent victories via decision, knockout, and submission.
• No previous head-to-head match between the two fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight will be held in Dublin, which may favor Harris due to home support.
• Both fighters are motivated to improve their records and reputation in the MMA scene.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ger Harris -260, Marcus Ferreira 175	Ger Harris	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ger Harris 1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ger Harris at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ger Harris is favored to win this fight based on his home advantage and fighting style.

Predicted Score: Ger Harris Decision (Unanimous)

Match Analysis: Scott Harvey vs Leon Armes – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-26
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: RDS, Dublin, Ireland

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA fight between Scott Harvey and Leon Armes is scheduled as part of Cage Warriors 188 at the RDS in Dublin, Ireland. Both fighters are undefeated prospects in the featherweight division, with Scott Harvey holding a 4-0 record and Leon Armes a 3-0 record. The match is anticipated to be competitive given their unblemished records and recent performances.

Key Factors to Consider

• Scott Harvey has a perfect 4-0 professional MMA record, showing consistency and resilience in Cage Warriors events. Leon Armes holds a 3-0 record, featuring a mix of technical submissions and TKOs, demonstrating finishing ability and versatility.
• This will be the first encounter between Scott Harvey and Leon Armes, so no direct head-to-head history exists.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the match have been found in the current data.
• The fight takes place at a prominent venue, RDS in Dublin, which may favor Scott Harvey if he has more local support or experience fighting in such environments. Both fighters have momentum from recent wins, which could impact performance positively.
• Both fighters are undefeated and looking to maintain perfect records, increasing motivation. Leon Armes has a slightly shorter professional career but a recent win via unanimous decision shows preparedness, while Scott Harvey’s 4-0 record suggests confidence and momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Leon Armes: -125, Scott Harvey: -115	Leon Armes to win	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	Leon Armes -1.5: -110, Scott Harvey +1.5: -110	Leon Armes -1.5	★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -105, Under 2.5 rounds: -115	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Leon Armes -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Leon Armes at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the slightly better odds on Leon Armes (-125) and his recent finishing ability, alongside Scott Harvey's consistent undefeated streak (-115), the fight is expected to be very close. However, slight edge is given to Leon Armes due to the odds and finishing diversity, predicting a victory by decision or late stoppage.

Predicted Score: Leon Armes wins by 3-round unanimous decision or late stoppage

Match Analysis: Ciaran Brady vs Giovanni Fernandez – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-26
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: RDS, Dublin, Ireland

Game Overview

Cage Warriors 188 features a bantamweight matchup between undefeated Ciaran Brady (3-0) and Giovanni Fernandez (3-2). The event promises an exciting clash of skills, with Brady favored to win.

Key Factors to Consider

• Ciaran Brady is undefeated, indicating strong past performance, while Giovanni Fernandez has more experience with five fights.
• There is no recorded head-to-head history between Brady and Fernandez.
• No specific injury reports are available for either fighter.
• The fight is in Dublin, which might give Brady a slight hometown advantage.
• Both fighters are motivated to win, but Brady's undefeated streak might add extra pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-500 for Ciaran Brady, +300 for Giovanni Fernandez	Ciaran Brady	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ciaran Brady 2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ciaran Brady at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on his undefeated record and current odds, Ciaran Brady is likely to win.

Predicted Score: Ciaran Brady wins, potentially by knockout or decision.