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Ernesto Rodriguez vs. Mahmoud Fawzy Sebie Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Ernesto Rodriguez vs Mahmoud Fawzy Sebie – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-25
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Pearl Concert Theater at Palms Casino Resort, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Tuff-N-Uff 143: Rodriguez vs. Sebie is set to be a pivotal welterweight title fight. Ernesto 'Starboy' Rodriguez enters on a seven-fight win streak, including five victories in Tuff-N-Uff. Mahmoud Fawzy Sebie brings experience from PFL, Bellator MMA, and BRAVE CF. The fight features Rodriguez as a strong favorite against Sebie.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rodriguez is on a significant win streak and has performed well within the Tuff-N-Uff cage. Sebie has varied experience across multiple promotions but faces a tough opponent in Rodriguez.
  • No prior head-to-head matchups reported between Rodriguez and Sebie.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • Venue familiarity may slightly favor Rodriguez due to his Tuff-N-Uff experience, but both fighters have competed at high levels.
  • Both fighters seek a title and the recognition that comes with it; Rodriguez aims to continue his streak, while Sebie hopes to upset the favorite.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -850 for Ernesto Rodriguez, 450 for Mahmoud Fawzy Sebie Ernesto Rodriguez ★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ernesto Rodriguez -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Ernesto Rodriguez is likely to win given his current form and experience within Tuff-N-Uff.

Predicted Score: Decision or early finish for Ernesto Rodriguez.


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Cameron Saaiman vs. Malcolm Wellmaker Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Cameron Saaiman vs Malcolm Wellmaker – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-26
  • Time: 11:20 PM UTC
  • Location: Not Provided

Game Overview

This upcoming UFC Bantamweight Prelims fight between Cameron Saaiman and Malcolm Wellmaker promises to be an exciting matchup. Saaiman, with a record of 9-2, faces off against Wellmaker, who is undefeated at 8-0. Both fighters have different strengths and weaknesses, with Saaiman known for his aggression and Wellmaker for his knockout power.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cameron Saaiman is an aggressive fighter with a penchant for pushing the pace, which could force Wellmaker into his first real test at the UFC level. Wellmaker is a slow-paced but powerful fighter who relies on timing his knockout blows.
  • No previous head-to-head matches between these fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • Mental preparation and crowd support may play a role, but both fighters are accustomed to high-pressure situations.
  • Wellmaker seeks his first UFC win, while Saaiman aims to regain momentum after recent struggles.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Saaiman: -104, Wellmaker: -116 Saaiman via decision Not available
Over/under over: -165, under: 135 Under 2.5 rounds Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cameron Saaiman 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 41%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 41% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Saaiman's aggressive style and Wellmaker's power, the fight leans towards a decision victory for Saaiman.

Predicted Score: Predicting the fight goes the full three rounds, resulting in a decision victory.


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Jaqueline Amorim vs. Polyana Viana Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Jaqueline Amorim vs Polyana Viana – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-26
  • Time: 10:50 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC (unspecified venue)

Game Overview

Strawweight prelims bout between Jaqueline Amorim (Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu specialist) and Polyana Viana (BJJ-focused veteran). Amorim's detailed record is unavailable, while Viana shows recent losses via KO/TKO and submissions.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Viana shows inconsistency (13-7-0 record) with recent losses against grapplers. Amorim's stylistic details sparse but implied grappling focus from available data.
  • First meeting between fighters
  • No reported injuries
  • Standard UFC prelims environment
  • Viana needs rebound win after 3 losses in last 5. Amorim's career trajectory undisclosed.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Amorim -850 | Viana +600 Amorim ★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under Over 2.5 (+195) | Under 2.5 (-245) Under 2.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jaqueline Amorim -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Amorim by submission (Round 2) based on stylistic assumptions and Viana's recent sub loss to Lucindo

Predicted Score: Submission finish – No official score


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Timothy Cuamba vs. Roberto Romero Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Timothy Cuamba vs Roberto Romero – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: April 26, 2025
  • Time: 10:45 PM UTC
  • Location: T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, Missouri, United States

Game Overview

Featherweight prelims bout between two fighters looking for their first UFC win. Romero (8-4-1) enters as a slight favorite against Cuamba (8-3), who is 0-2 in UFC fights. Expect a technical striking battle between evenly matched competitors with similar physical attributes.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cuamba is 0-2 in UFC (decision losses), showing defensive holes while absorbing 60+ strikes in both fights[5]. Romero went 1-1 in Dana White's Contender Series before UFC debut loss[3].
  • First professional meeting between the fighters[2].
  • No reported injuries pre-fight[3].
  • Event occurs at standard elevation in Kansas City. Romero has more regional experience against Mexican competition[1][3].
  • High stakes for both – potential roster cuts loom for fighters who start 0-3 (Cuamba) or 0-2 (Romero) in UFC[3][5].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Romero -135 / Cuamba +115 Romero ML ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-245) / Under 2.5 (+195) Over 2.5 Rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Roberto Romero 16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Roberto Romero at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Romero via decision (55-45% edge) due to slightly superior composure under pressure and cleaner striking output. Cuamba's UFC experience against higher-caliber competition could surprise, but his defensive liabilities (60+ strikes absorbed in both UFC fights) make him vulnerable[5][3].

Predicted Score: Romero via Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)


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Joselyne Edwards vs. Chelsea Chandler Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Joselyne Edwards vs Chelsea Chandler – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-26
  • Time: 10:05 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

This matchup will feature Joselyne Edwards, a highly athletic bantamweight with a record of 14-6, facing Chelsea Chandler, who has a record of 6-3. Edwards, known for her physical advantages but history of close fights due to decision-making issues, looks to build on her last performance where she finished Tamires Vidal. Chandler, a wrestler struggling to adapt fully to bantamweight, may find success by exploiting Edwards' defensive wrestling weaknesses.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Edwards' athleticism and potential for complete performances against Chandler's wrestling skills.
  • No prior head-to-head match between Edwards and Chandler.
  • No reported injuries affecting the fighters.
  • Edwards' experience in close fights could play a role, but she has shown improvement recently.
  • Both fighters are likely highly motivated for victory, but Edwards' recent success could boost her confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Edwards -290, Chandler +245 Joselyne Edwards ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 -450, Under 2.5 +350 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Joselyne Edwards -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Joselyne Edwards is favored to win by decision.

Predicted Score: Decision for Joselyne Edwards


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Chris Gutierrez vs. John Castaneda Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Chris Gutierrez vs John Castaneda – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-27
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not Specified

Game Overview

Chris Gutierrez and John Castaneda are set for a bantamweight (or possibly featherweight as per some sources) fight in the UFC, with Gutierrez slightly favored in the moneyline odds. Both fighters have a strong record, with Gutierrez being slightly more favored due to his recent performance and statistics.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Chris Gutierrez has a win-loss-draw record of 21-6-2, while John Castaneda stands at 21-7-0. Gutierrez has shown better striking accuracy and defense.
  • There is no previous head-to-head fight between the two, so we rely on general performance metrics.
  • No recent injury information is available for either fighter.
  • The fight environment, such as crowd support and card placement, could influence the fighters' performance.
  • Both fighters will be motivated to win, given the stakes in the UFC.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gutierrez: -140, Castaneda: 120 Gutierrez to win ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: -380, Under 2.5: 305 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chris Gutierrez 28%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Chris Gutierrez at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on recent form and statistics, Chris Gutierrez is likely to emerge victorious.

Predicted Score: Gutierrez by Decision


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Adrian Bartosinski vs. Andrzej Grzebyk Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Adrian Bartosinski vs Andrzej Grzebyk – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-26
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: PreZero Arena, Gliwice, Poland

Game Overview

This MMA match between Adrian Bartosinski and Andrzej Grzebyk is part of KSW 105, competing in the welterweight division. The event occurs on April 26, 2025, at PreZero Arena in Gliwice, Poland.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Adrian Bartosinski, at 29 years old, faces Andrzej Grzebyk, aged 34. Both fighters will rely on their skill sets in the welterweight division. Performance indicators such as recent victories, strike accuracy, and grappling skills will be crucial.
  • There is no detailed history provided on past matches between the two fighters, but Grzebyk's experience might impact the head-to-head dynamics.
  • No specific injury updates are provided for either fighter, but monitoring their physical condition is essential.
  • Home advantage can influence Bartosinski, but Grzebyk's experience might help counter any such benefits.
  • Both fighters will be highly motivated, with the event being part of a significant KSW event.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Adrian Bartosinski: -310, Andrzej Grzebyk: 205 Adrian Bartosinski to win ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Adrian Bartosinski -18%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Adrian Bartosinski at -18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on the odds and age difference, Adrian Bartosinski appears to be the favorite. However, Andrzej Grzebyk's experience could make this a competitive fight.

Predicted Score: Decision or late-round finish in favor of Adrian Bartosinski


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Sara Bitto vs. Nicole Schaefer Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Sara Bitto vs Nicole Schaefer – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-26
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Unknown (BKFC Italy referenced in recent events)

Game Overview

BKFC women's matchup between Sara Bitto (coming off a decision win over Yamila Sanchez) and Nicole Schaefer (TKO victory over Daniela Graf). Both fighters appear active in BKFC, though specific MMA records are unclear from available data. Schaefer enters as the moneyline favorite (-200).

Key Factors to Consider

  • Schaefer's recent TKO win demonstrates finishing ability, while Bitto's unanimous decision shows consistency in longer fights
  • No direct H2H records found
  • No reported injuries
  • Potential event: BKFC Italy referenced in April 2025 coverage, though exact card placement unclear
  • Both fighters appear active in BKFC's women's divisions, suggesting high stakes for ranking advancement

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Schaefer -200 / Bitto +150 Schaefer by TKO/KO ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nicole Schaefer 50%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Nicole Schaefer at 50% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Schaefer favored by oddsmakers (-200) but Bitto's durability (5-round decision win) could create value at +150. Action likely goes to Schaefer's power striking if she can avoid prolonged exchanges.

Predicted Score: Schaefer by TKO (Round 2)


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Jimmy Sweeney vs. Rico Franco Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Jimmy Sweeney vs Rico Franco – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: April 25, 2025
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not Specified

Game Overview

The upcoming match between Jimmy Sweeney and Rico Franco is for the BKFC European Welterweight Championship. This bout is part of BKFC 73, featuring two significant title fights. Both fighters have extensive experience in bare-knuckle boxing.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jimmy Sweeney has a strong record with 19 wins and 4 losses, recently defending his title in BKB. Rico Franco, despite a tough loss against Austin Trout, seeks to rebound with a title win.
  • The two fighters have a history, completing a trilogy in previous matches under different promotions. Their past encounters suggest a closely contested bout.
  • No significant injury reports for either fighter.
  • The fight's co-main event status and Sweeney's debut in BKFC could influence performance, as might Franco's recent loss.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Franco looking to recover from his last loss and Sweeney aiming to make a strong BKFC debut.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jimmy Sweeney: -150, Rico Franco: 110 Jimmy Sweeney Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jimmy Sweeney -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Jimmy Sweeney is likely to win due to his recent success and experience in bare-knuckle boxing.

Predicted Score: N/A


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Charlie Falco vs. Jamie Abbott Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Charlie Falco vs Jamie Abbott – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-26
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

This MMA match between Charlie Falco and Jamie Abbott-Bissett will be a closely watched event. Both fighters have varying levels of experience and skills, but specific data on past encounters between them is not available. Jamie Abbott-Bissett has a mix of recent wins and losses, indicating inconsistency in performance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jamie Abbott-Bissett has shown both victories and defeats in recent fights, suggesting a need for consistency. Charlie Falco's recent performance data is not readily available.
  • No head-to-head history available between the two fighters.
  • No information on current injuries affecting either fighter.
  • The match's venue and crowd factors could impact performance, but specifics are not detailed.
  • Motivation levels may vary based on each fighter's current standing and upcoming opportunities.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -200 (Jamie Abbott-Bissett), 150 (Charlie Falco) Jamie Abbott-Bissett to win ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jamie Abbott -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Jamie Abbott at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jamie Abbott-Bissett is favored due to his recent activity and mixed results, suggesting experience against a wider variety of opponents.

Predicted Score: Not applicable in MMA


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